黑龍江省旅游產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)分析

1、黑龍江省旅游產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)分析與優(yōu)化孫曉（綏化學(xué)院 黑龍江 綏化152061）摘要：關(guān)鍵詞：0引言1.黑龍江省旅游產(chǎn)業(yè)現(xiàn)狀2.研究方法 2.1灰色關(guān)聯(lián)分析法（萬美元）表 黑龍江省國際旅游產(chǎn)業(yè)比較數(shù)列(萬美元)Tab. Comparison sequence of intemational tourism industry in Heilongjiang Provine年份2002200320042005200620072008總收入（X0）交通(X1)游覽(X2)住宿(X3)餐飲(X4)購物(X5）娛樂(X6)郵電通訊(X7)其他(X8)297175557.08475.474487.272525.9

2、511262.74802.361129.253476.89243644556.07389.823678.962070.949233.96657.83925.832850.59302156163.87362.582205.701752.4713717.61694.951238.824079.033404311812.93578.734425.594323.467659.682417.051429.811395.764923312948.281230.839108.113840.1714179.10984.661821.625120.236427022944.392377.996619.81520

3、5.8716903.012377.992442.265270.148699526620.482609.858612.517133.5930013.281739.92957.837307.58 （i=0，1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8） （t=1,2,3,4,5,6,7）X0=(1,0.82,1.02,1.15,1.66,2.16,2.93),X1=(1,0.82,1.11,2.13,2.33,4.13,4.79)X2=(1,0.82,0.76,1.22,2.59,5.00,5.49) ,X3=(1,0.82,0.49,0.99,2.03,1.48,1.92)X4=(1,0.82,0.69,1.

4、71,1.52,2.06,2.82),X5=(1,0.82,1.22,0.68,1.26,1.50,2.66)X6=(1,0.82,0.87,3.01,1.23,2.96,2.17),X7=(1,0.82,1.10,1.26,1.61,2.16,2.62)X8=(1,0.82,1.73,0.40,1.47,1.52,2.10)求差序列i，得到1=(0,0,0.09,0.98,0.67,1.97,1.86),2=(0,0,0.25,0.07,0.93,2.84,2.56)3=(0,0,0.53,0.16,0.37,0.69,1.01),4=(0,0,0.32,0.57,0.14,0.10,0.1

5、0)5=(0,0,0.20,0.47,0.40,0.66,0.26),6=(0,0,0.15,1.87,0.43,0.80,0.76)7=(0,0,0.08,0.12,0.04,0,0.31) , 8=(0,0,0.16,0.74,0.18,0.65,0.83)求兩極差:=2.84 =0取p=0.5，代入關(guān)聯(lián)系數(shù)公式得：1=(1,1,0.940,0.592,0.679,0.687,0.433) 2=(1,1,0.850,0.953,0.604,0.608,0.357)3=(1,1,0.728,0.899,0.793,0.962,0.584)4=(1,1,0.816,0.714,0.910,1,

6、0.934)5=(1,1,0.877,0.751,0.789,0.605,0.845)6=(1,1,0.904,0.432,0.768,0.553,0.651)7=(1,1,0.947,0.922,0.973,1.136,0.821)8=(1,1,0.899,0.657,0.888,0.711,0.631)黑龍江省國際旅游收入與各部門的關(guān)聯(lián)度Correlation between international tourism income and sectors in Heilongjiang Provine部門交通瀏覽住宿餐飲購物娛樂郵電通訊其他關(guān)聯(lián)性0.7620.7670.8520.9110

7、.8380.7580.9710.8272.2 SSM分析法 Hj,0=aij,0/Aj,0 Hj,t=aij,t/Aj,t PDi=Pi+Di 項(xiàng)目 全 國 黑龍江省 年份 2002 2008 2002 (%) 2008 (%) 合計(jì) 20385 40843 297 869.95 長途交通 5260 12487 51.71 17.41 251.42 28.90 游覽 1431 2202 4.75 1.60 26.10 3.00 住宿 2565 4860 44.87 15.11 86.13 9.90 餐飲 1660 3873 25.26 8.51 71.34 8.20 商品銷售 4211 853

8、4 112.63 37.92 300.13 34.50 娛樂 1525 2970 8.02 2.70 17.40 2.00 郵電通訊 720 1002 11.29 3.80 29.58 1.70 市內(nèi)交通 882 1355 3.86 1.30 14.79 3.40 其他 2131 3560 34.77 11.71 73.08 8.40 黑龍江變化率(rij)全國變化率(Rj)黑龍江標(biāo)準(zhǔn)化規(guī)模()份額分量(Nij)結(jié)構(gòu)偏離分量(Pij)競爭力偏離 (Dij)基期占全國比例(Hj,0)末期占全國比例(Hj,t)偏離分量(PDij)長途交通游覽住宿餐飲購物娛樂郵電通訊市內(nèi)交通其他3.864.490.

9、921.821.661.171.622.831.101.370.540.891.331.030.950.390.540.671334.2333.38564.62205.692326.5860.0239.8916.71363.471833.1717.98505.19274.222388.4656.8815.628.96243.735271.22238.193509.743093.219173.83703.39426.67198.212087.7912866.411878.20110.311240.217188.24177.271386.29885.421499.170.00980.00330.01750.01520.02670.00530.01570.00440.01630.02010.01190.01770.01840.03520.00590.02950.01090.020518137.632116.403620.054333.4216362.08880.661812.961083.643586.96指標(biāo)游客增長總量（Gi）相對增