農(nóng)產(chǎn)品價(jià)格相對(duì)上漲對(duì)農(nóng)民收入的影響探析,微觀經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)論文

農(nóng)產(chǎn)品價(jià)格相對(duì)上漲對(duì)農(nóng)民收入的影響探析,微觀經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)論文題目農(nóng)產(chǎn)品價(jià)格相對(duì)上漲對(duì)農(nóng)民收入的影響探析第一章第二章3.13.2.13.2.24.14.24.34.44.5結(jié)論/以下為參考文獻(xiàn)摘要隨著我們國家經(jīng)濟(jì)快速發(fā)展，國民收入分配出現(xiàn)明顯的兩極分化。近些年，在城鄉(xiāng)居民收入比高居不下的同時(shí)，農(nóng)村內(nèi)部居民收入差距也在加速擴(kuò)大，農(nóng)民處于明顯的收入嚴(yán)重低下的地位。經(jīng)濟(jì)快速發(fā)展的道路上出現(xiàn)如此尷尬的局面，很顯然對(duì)將來經(jīng)濟(jì)、社會(huì)發(fā)展是非常不利的。導(dǎo)致我們國家農(nóng)民收入低的原因諸多，如農(nóng)業(yè)的產(chǎn)業(yè)性特征、制度因素和政策因素不合理等等。然而，隨著我們國家市場(chǎng)經(jīng)濟(jì)的進(jìn)一步完善和成熟，市場(chǎng)機(jī)制以及與此相應(yīng)的價(jià)格機(jī)制對(duì)農(nóng)民收入的影響會(huì)越來越大，農(nóng)產(chǎn)品價(jià)格以及農(nóng)民勞動(dòng)要素價(jià)格的高低將成為影響農(nóng)民收入的非常重要或基礎(chǔ)性的因素。本文首先從理論出發(fā)，對(duì)國內(nèi)外關(guān)于價(jià)格與收入的相關(guān)理論進(jìn)行集中梳理，并對(duì)當(dāng)下國內(nèi)外關(guān)于農(nóng)產(chǎn)品價(jià)格與農(nóng)民收入的理論進(jìn)行分析評(píng)述。其次，結(jié)合我們國家改革開放以來農(nóng)產(chǎn)品價(jià)格和農(nóng)民收入的歷史數(shù)據(jù)，對(duì)兩者的發(fā)展歷程及現(xiàn)在狀況特點(diǎn)進(jìn)行描繪敘述分析。再次，基于平衡價(jià)格理論，分析農(nóng)產(chǎn)品價(jià)格上漲與農(nóng)民增收的相關(guān)性；橫向比照美國、澳大利亞、中國、菲律賓、肯尼亞和布基納法索六個(gè)國家，以及縱向比照我們國家各個(gè)發(fā)展階段農(nóng)產(chǎn)品價(jià)格和農(nóng)民收入的變動(dòng)情況；并以糧食為例，通過協(xié)整與誤差修正模型定量分析農(nóng)產(chǎn)品價(jià)格變動(dòng)對(duì)農(nóng)民收入的實(shí)際影響程度，從理論和實(shí)證兩個(gè)方面嚴(yán)謹(jǐn)深切進(jìn)入地論證了農(nóng)產(chǎn)品價(jià)格上漲與農(nóng)民增收之間具有正向相關(guān)關(guān)系。除此之外，筆者根據(jù)現(xiàn)前階段我們國家農(nóng)產(chǎn)品價(jià)格與農(nóng)民收入的發(fā)展現(xiàn)在狀況對(duì)兩者將來的發(fā)展趨勢(shì)進(jìn)行了預(yù)測(cè)，以為農(nóng)民收入短期內(nèi)仍會(huì)隨著農(nóng)產(chǎn)品價(jià)格絕對(duì)上漲，并且增速周期性波動(dòng)擴(kuò)大；但從長期來看，農(nóng)民可能會(huì)由于農(nóng)產(chǎn)品價(jià)格相對(duì)增速波動(dòng)走低，而面臨減收。最后，基于全文研究成果提出促進(jìn)農(nóng)產(chǎn)品價(jià)格相對(duì)合理上漲的對(duì)策建議，主要包括：保證農(nóng)產(chǎn)品市場(chǎng)供應(yīng)平穩(wěn)和農(nóng)產(chǎn)品價(jià)格大體穩(wěn)定，防止谷賤傷農(nóng)降低農(nóng)業(yè)生產(chǎn)成本，促進(jìn)農(nóng)產(chǎn)品價(jià)格相對(duì)上漲；改善農(nóng)產(chǎn)品的供應(yīng)構(gòu)造，構(gòu)成物以稀為貴.本文關(guān)鍵詞語：農(nóng)產(chǎn)品價(jià)格相對(duì)上漲農(nóng)民收入AbstractWiththerapideconomicdevelopmentofourcountry,thedistributionofnationalincomeisstartingtopolarizeapparently.Inrecentyears,whentheincomeratioofurbanandruralresidentsremainshigh,theincomegapamongruralresidentsisalsoexpandingincreasinglyandtheincomeoffarmersisinaseriouslylowposition.Theappearanceofsuchawkwardsituationonpathofrapideconomicdevelopmentissignificantlyunfavorabletoeconomicandsocialdevelopmentinfuture.Manyfactorsleadtothelowincomeoffarmers,suchastheindustrialcharacterofagriculture,theunreasonableregimenandpolicyandsoon.However,withtheperfectionandmaturingofmarket-orientedeconomyinChina,marketmechanismandcorrespondingpricemechanismwillplayamoreimportantroleaffectingtheincomeoffarmers,thepriceofagriculturalproductsandthelaborpriceoffarmerswillbecomethevitalorfundamentalfactorinaffectingfarmersincome.Startingfromthetheory,thispaperfirstlycombstherelatedtheoryofpriceandincomebothdomesticandabroad,andreviewsthetheoryofagriculturalpriceandfarmersincome.Second,wedescriptivelyanalyzethedevelopmentpath,thecurrentsituationandcharacteristicoftheagriculturalpriceandfarmersincomebasedontheirhistoricaldata.Third,basedonequilibriumpricetheory,thispaperdiscussesthecorrelationbetweenrisingpriceofagriculturalproductsandtheincomegrowthoffarmers.Thenwedoalateralcomparisonofagriculturalpriceandfarmersincomeamongsixcountries:theUnitedStates,Australia,China,thePhilippines,KenyaandBurkinaFaso.Andlongitudinallycomparesthechangesofagriculturalpriceandfarmersincomeofourcountryindifferentperiods.Furthermore,takegrainasanexample,analyzequantitativelytheactualeffectsofpricefluctuationonfarmersincomebyusingcointegrationanderrorcorrectionmodel.Therefore,weverifyrigorouslyanddeeplythatrisingpriceofagriculturalproductsandincomegrowthoffarmersarepositivelyrelatedfromthetheoryanddemonstration.Meanwhile,wemakeforecastonthegrowingtrendbetweenagriculturalpriceandfarmersincomeaccordingtotheirstatusquo,andfindoutthatintheshortrunfarmersincomewouldincreaseastheabsolutepriceofagriculturalproductsriseandthespeedisexpandingperiodically,whileinthelongrun,farmersmightfacedecreasingincomeastherelativerisingspeedoftheagriculturalpricedescends.Finally,basedontheresearchresults,thispaperofferssomepolicysuggestionstopromotethereasonableincreasingofagriculturalproductsrelatively,whichincludeensuringthestablesupplyofagriculturalproductsandkeepingthepriceatareasonableleveltopreventLowgrainpricehurtsthefarmers,reducingtheagriculturalproductioncosttopromotetherelativeriseofagriculturalpriceandimprovingthesupplystructureofagriculturalproductstoaccomplishAthingisvaluedifitisrare.Keywords:agriculturalpricefarmersincomerelativelyincrease目錄第1章引言1.1選題根據(jù)1.1.1選題來源1.1.2選題意義1.1.3國內(nèi)外研究動(dòng)態(tài)1.2研究方式方法與構(gòu)造布置1.2.1研究方式方法1.2.2技術(shù)道路1.2.3全文研究架構(gòu)1.3創(chuàng)新與缺乏1.3.1研究特色與創(chuàng)新1.3.2缺乏之處第2章國內(nèi)外關(guān)于農(nóng)產(chǎn)品價(jià)格與農(nóng)民收入相關(guān)性研究的理論綜述2.1經(jīng)典西方經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)理論關(guān)于價(jià)格與收入相關(guān)性的理論綜述2.1.1以勞動(dòng)價(jià)值論為基礎(chǔ)的相關(guān)理論2.1.2以庸俗價(jià)值論為基礎(chǔ)的相關(guān)理論2.1.3以平衡價(jià)格論為基礎(chǔ)的相關(guān)理論2.2當(dāng)下國內(nèi)外關(guān)于農(nóng)產(chǎn)品價(jià)格與農(nóng)民收入相關(guān)性的理論綜述2.2.1農(nóng)產(chǎn)品價(jià)格上漲與農(nóng)民增收正強(qiáng)相關(guān)2.2.2農(nóng)產(chǎn)品價(jià)格上漲與農(nóng)民增收正弱相關(guān)2.2.3農(nóng)產(chǎn)品價(jià)格上漲與農(nóng)民增收負(fù)相關(guān)第3章農(nóng)民收入與農(nóng)產(chǎn)品價(jià)格的基本概念及我們國家現(xiàn)前階段兩者關(guān)系的基本大概情況3.1農(nóng)民、農(nóng)民收入和農(nóng)產(chǎn)品價(jià)格的概念界定3.1.1農(nóng)民3.1.2農(nóng)民收入3.1.3農(nóng)產(chǎn)品價(jià)格3.2我們國家農(nóng)民收入與農(nóng)產(chǎn)品價(jià)格的現(xiàn)在狀況分析3.2.1改革開放以來我們國家農(nóng)民收入與農(nóng)產(chǎn)品價(jià)格的發(fā)展歷程3.2.2現(xiàn)前階段我們國家農(nóng)民收入與農(nóng)產(chǎn)品價(jià)格的特點(diǎn)第4章農(nóng)產(chǎn)品價(jià)格相對(duì)上漲對(duì)農(nóng)民增收影響的理論分析與實(shí)證驗(yàn)證4.1農(nóng)產(chǎn)品價(jià)格與農(nóng)民收入的相關(guān)性4.1.1農(nóng)產(chǎn)品價(jià)格與農(nóng)民收入的基本關(guān)系4.1.2國際統(tǒng)計(jì)數(shù)據(jù)對(duì)農(nóng)產(chǎn)品價(jià)格和農(nóng)民收入互相關(guān)系的講明4.2現(xiàn)前階段影響我們國家農(nóng)產(chǎn)品價(jià)格的主要因素4.2.1引起我們國家農(nóng)產(chǎn)品整體價(jià)格上漲的主要原因4.2.2引起我們國家農(nóng)產(chǎn)品價(jià)格波動(dòng)增大的主要因素4.3我們國家農(nóng)產(chǎn)品價(jià)格上漲與農(nóng)民增收之間的相關(guān)性--以糧食為例4.4我們國家農(nóng)產(chǎn)品價(jià)格對(duì)農(nóng)民收入影響程度的實(shí)證驗(yàn)證4.4.1變量、模型及數(shù)據(jù)的選取4.4.2實(shí)證方式方法講明4.4.3實(shí)證分析4.