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TheImpactofArtificialIntelligenceonLearning,Teaching,andEducation
Policiesforthefuture
Author:Tuomi,Ilkka
Editors:Cabrera,Marcelino;Vuorikari,Riina;Punie,Yves
EUR29442EN
PAGE\*roman
ii
ThispublicationisaScienceforPolicyreportbytheJointResearchCentre(JRC),theEuropeanCommission’sscienceandknowledgeservice.Itaimstoprovideevidence-basedscientificsupporttotheEuropeanpolicymakingprocess.ThescientificoutputexpresseddoesnotimplyapolicypositionoftheEuropeanCommission.NeithertheEuropeanCommissionnoranypersonactingonbehalfoftheCommissionisresponsiblefortheusethatmightbemadeofthispublication.
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Address:EdificioExpo.C/IncaGarcilaso3,E-41092Seville(Spain)Email:
marcelino.cabrera@ec.europa.eu
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JRC113226EUR29442EN
PDF ISBN978-92-79-97257-7 ISSN1831-9424 doi:10.2760/12297
Luxembourg:PublicationsOfficeoftheEuropeanUnion,2018
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Howtocitethisreport:Tuomi,I.TheImpactofArtificialIntelligenceonLearning,Teaching,andEducation.Policiesforthefuture,Eds.Cabrera,M.,Vuorikari,R&Punie,Y.,EUR29442EN,PublicationsOfficeoftheEuropeanUnion,Luxembourg,2018,ISBN978-92-79-97257-7,doi:10.2760/12297,JRC113226.
Title:TheImpactofArtificialIntelligenceonLearning,Teaching,andEducation
Abstract
Thisreportdescribesthecurrentstateoftheartinartificialintelligence(AI)anditspotentialimpactforlearning,teaching,andeducation.Itprovidesconceptualfoundationsforwell-informedpolicy-orientedwork,research,andforward-lookingactivitiesthataddresstheopportunitiesandchallengescreatedbyrecentdevelopmentsinAI.Thereportisaimedforpolicydevelopers,butitalsomakescontributionsthatareofinterestforAItechnologydevelopersandresearchersstudyingtheimpactofAIoneconomy,society,andthefutureofeducationandlearning.
Contents
Preface 1
Executivesummary 2
Introduction 5
WhatisArtificialIntelligence? 7
Athree-levelmodelofactionforanalysingAIanditsimpact 7
ThreetypesofAI 10
Data-basedneuralAI 10
Logic-andknowledge-basedAI 12
RecentandfuturedevelopmentsinAI 13
Modelsoflearningindata-basedAI 15
Towardsthefuture 16
AIimpactonskillandcompetencedemand 17
SkillsineconomicstudiesofAIimpact 18
Skill-biasedandtask-biasedmodelsoftechnologyimpact 20
AIcapabilitiesandtasksubstitutioninthethree-levelmodel 21
Trendsandtransitions 22
NeuralAIasdata-biasedtechnologicalchange 23
Educationasacreatorofcapabilityplatforms 23
DirectAIimpactonadvanceddigitalskillsdemand 25
Impactonlearning,teaching,andeducation 27
Currentdevelopments 27
“NoAIwithoutUI” 28
TheimpactofAIonlearning 28
Impactoncognitivedevelopment 30
TheimpactofAIonteaching 31
AI-generatedstudentmodelsandnewpedagogicalopportunities 31
Theneedforfuture-orientedvisionregardingAI 32
Re-thinkingtheroleofeducationinsociety 32
Policychallenges 34
References 37
PAGE
11
Preface
ArtificialIntelligence(AI)iscurrentlyhighonthepoliticalandresearchagendasaroundtheworld.Withtheemergenceofeverynewtechnology,thereisalwaysbothalotofhypeandscepticismarounditsimplicationsforsocietyandtheeconomy.AlthoughacknowledgingthatthefoundationsforAIhavebeenalreadyaroundforseveraldecades,recenttechnologicalbreakthroughsareacceleratingwhatAIcoulddo.Thisstudylooksatwhatthiscouldmeanforlearning,teaching,andeducation.ItaimstoprovideacriticalreviewandprospectiveangleonrelevantAIdevelopmentsasabasisforwell-informedpolicy-orienteddiscussionsaboutthefutureofthesedomains.
ThisreportisacontributiontotheDigitalEducationActionPlan1whichforeseespolicyresearchandguidanceontheimpactandpotentialofdigitaltechnologiesineducation.ItisdoneonbehalfoftheDirectorate-GeneralforEducation,Youth,SportandCulture,authoredbyIlkkaTuomiandeditedbytheJRC.Anotherreport,appraisingAIfromdifferentperspectives,entitled"ArtificialIntelligence:AEuropeanperspective",willbereleasedsoonunderthelabelofJRCflagshipreports,providinganoverallassessmentofopportunitiesandchallengesofAIfromaEuropeanoutlook,andsupportingthedevelopmentofEuropeanactionintheglobalAIcontext.
TheJRChascarriedoutresearchonLearningandSkillsfortheDigitalErasince2005.Itaimstoprovideevidence-basedpolicysupporttotheEuropeanCommissionanditsMemberStatesonhowtoharnessthepotentialofdigitaltechnologiestoencourageinnovationineducationandtrainingpractices;improveaccesstolifelonglearning;andimpartthenew(digital)skillsandcompetencesneededforemployment,personaldevelopmentandsocialinclusion.Morethan20majorstudieshavebeenundertakenontheseissues,resultinginmorethan120differentpublications.
Recentworkhasfocusedonthedevelopmentofdigitalcompetenceframeworksforcitizens(DigComp),educators(DigCompEdu),educationalorganisations(DigCompOrg)andconsumers(DigCompConsumers).Aframeworkforopeninguphighereducationinstitutions(OpenEdu)wasalsopublishedin2016,alongwithacompetenceframeworkforentrepreneurship(EntreComp).Someoftheseframeworksareaccompaniedby(self-)assessmentinstruments.TheJRCisalsoentrustedtodevelopafutureframeworkforpersonalandsocialdevelopment,includinglearningtolearn.AdditionalresearchhasbeenundertakenonLearningAnalytics,MOOCs(MOOCKnowledge,MOOCs4inclusion),Computationalthinking(Computhink)andpoliciesfortheintegrationandinnovativeuseofdigitaltechnologiesineducation(DigEduPol).
MoreinformationonallourstudiescanbefoundontheJRCSciencehub:https://ec.europa.eu/jrc/en/research-topic/learning-and-skills.
1CommunicationfromtheCommissiontotheEuropeanParliament,theCouncil,theEuropeanEconomicandSocialCommitteeandtheCommitteeoftheRegionsontheDigitalEducationActionPlan(COM(2018)237final).
Executivesummary
AttheNovember2017GothenburgSummit,theCommissionpresentedtheCommunication'StrengtheningEuropeanIdentitythroughEducationandCulture',thatsetoutavisionforaEuropeanEducationAreaandannouncedadedicatedDigitalEducationActionPlan2,whichaimstofosterdigitalskillsandcompetencesforallcitizens.TheActionPlanfocusesonimplementationandtheneedtostimulate,supportandscaleuppurposefuluseofdigitalandinnovativeeducationpractices.Ithasthreepriorities:makingbetteruseofdigitaltechnologyforteachingandlearning;developingrelevantdigitalcompetencesandskillsforthedigitaltransformation;andimprovingeducationthroughbetterdataanalysisandforesight.ArtificialIntelligence(AI)willhaveanimpactonallthese,andinthelastprioritytheCommunicationspecificallyinvitestoexploreitsimpactineducationandtrainingthroughpilots.ThispolicyforesightreportsuggeststhatinthenextyearsAIwillchangelearning,teaching,andeducation.Thespeedoftechnologicalchangewillbeveryfast,anditwillcreatehighpressuretotransformeducationalpractices,institutions,andpolicies.ItisthereforeimportanttounderstandthepotentialimpactofAIonlearning,teaching,andeducation,aswellasonpolicydevelopment.
AIiscurrentlyhighonthepoliticalagendasaroundtheworld.SeveralEUMemberStateshavedeclareditasapoliticalpriority.InfluentialstudiesnowsuggestthatperhapsoneintwooccupationsintheindustrializedcountriesislikelytobecomeautomatedusingalreadyexistingAItechnologies.PolicymakersattheEuropeanParliamenthavehighlightedtheimportanceoftheissue,andtheEuropeanCommission,inits2018annualworkprogramme,setsitswishtomakethemostofAI,whichwillincreasinglyplayaroleinoureconomiesandsocieties3.AIisnowoftencalled“thenextelectricity.”Thetransformativeimpactofgeneralpurposetechnologies,likeAI,however,becomesvisibleonlygradually,whensocietiesandeconomiesreinventthemselvesasusersofnewtechnologies.Technologicalchangebringssocialandculturalchangethatisreflectedinlifestyles,norms,policies,socialinstitutions,skills,andthecontentandformsofeducation.
Wideavailabilityofcheapprocessingpowerandvastamountsofdatainrecentyearshaveenabledimpressivebreakthroughsinmachinelearningandcreatedextraordinarycommercialandresearchinterestinartificialneuralnetworks,i.e.computationalmodelsbasedonthestructureandfunctionsofbiologicalneuralnetworks.NeuralAI,andmachinelearningmethodsassociatedwithit,arenowusedforreal-timelanguageprocessingandtranslation,imageanalysis,driverlesscarsandautonomousvehicles,automatedcustomerservice,frauddetection,processcontrol,syntheticart,servicerobots,andinmanyotherapplications.Althoughsomeofthisexcitementmaybebasedonunrealisticexpectationsandlimitedknowledgeofthecomplexitiesoftheunderpinningtechnologies,itisreasonabletoexpectthattherecentadvancesinAIandmachinelearningwillhaveprofoundimpactsonfuturelabourmarkets,competencerequirements,aswellasinlearningandteachingpractices.Aseducationalsystemstendtoadapttotherequirementsoftheindustrialage,AIcouldmakesomefunctionsofeducationobsoleteandemphasizeothers.Itmayalsoenablenewwaysofteachingandlearning.
2CommunicationfromtheCommissiontotheEuropeanParliament,theCouncil,theEuropeanEconomicandSocialCommitteeandtheCommitteeoftheRegionsontheDigitalEducationActionPlan(COM(2018)237final).
3CommunicationfromtheCommissiontotheEuropeanParliament,theCouncil,theEuropeanEconomicandSocialCommitteeandtheCommitteeoftheRegionsCommissionWorkProgramme2018-Anagendaforamoreunited,strongerandmoredemocraticEurope(COM(2017)650final).
IntheEuropeanframeworkprogrammesforresearchandtechnologicaldevelopment,AItechnologieshavebeenstudiedandappliedineducationalcontextsinmanyprojectsfocusingontechnology-enabledlearning.TheseprojectshaveusedtechnologiesthathavedeeptieswithAIresearch,includingnaturallanguageprocessing,patternrecognition,intelligenttutoring,probabilisticAIplanning,intelligentagents,AIgameengines,andadaptiveusermodelsinpersonalizedlearningenvironments(PLE).Theimpactofthesetechnologiesinpracticaleducationalsettingshasbeenrelativelymodestuntilrecently.Technicaldevelopmentsovertherecentyears,however,suggestthatthesituationmaybechangingrapidly.
Themainintentofthepresentreportistohelpeducatorsandpolicymakerstomakesenseofthesepotentiallyveryimportanttechnicaldevelopments.TounderstandtheimpactofAI,weneedtounderstandwhatAIisandwhatitcando.Inthecurrent“AIavalanche”thisisnotalwayseasy.DeepexpertiseinAItechnologyisscarce,andmanyeducatorsandpolicymakersnowstruggletogetuptodatewithbasicknowledgeinthisarea.Inthemidstofself-drivingcars,speakingrobots,andthefloodof“AImiracles”,itmaybeeasytothinkthatAIisrapidlybecomingsuperintelligent,andgainallthegoodandevilpowersawardedtoitinpopularculture.This,ofcourse,isnotthecase.ThecurrentAIsystemsareseverelylimited,andtherearetechnical,social,scientific,andconceptuallimitstowhattheycando.Perhapssurprisingly,well-establishedresearchonhumanlearningprovidesimportanttoolsandconceptsthathelpusunderstandthestate-of-the-artandfutureofAI.ManycurrentAIsystemsuserathersimplifiedmodelsoflearningandbiologicalintelligence,andlearningtheoriesthushelpusgainbetterunderstandingofthecapabilitiesofcurrentAIsystems.
TherewillbegreateconomicincentivestouseAItoaddressproblemsthatarecurrentlyperceivedasimportantbyeducationaldecision-andpolicy-makers.Thiscreatespolicychallenges.Foreducationaltechnologyvendorsitiseasytosellproductsthatsolveexistingproblems,butitisverydifficulttosellproductsthatrequirechangesininstitutions,organizationsandcurrentpractices.Toavoidhard-wiringthepast,itwouldbeimportanttoputAIinthecontextofthefutureoflearning.PolicymaybeneededtoorientdevelopmentinAItowardssociallyusefuldirectionsthataddressthechallenges,opportunities,andneedsofthefuture.AsAIscalesup,itcaneffectivelyroutinizeoldinstitutionalstructuresandpracticesthatmaynotberelevantforthefuture.Future-orientedwork,therefore,isneededtounderstandthepotentialimpactofAItechnologies.Howthispotentialisrealizeddependsonhowweunderstandlearning,teachingandeducationintheemergingknowledgesocietyandhowweimplementthisunderstandinginpractice.Future-orientedpolicyexperimentation,assuggestedbytheDigitalEducationActionPlan,may,therefore,beaneffectivewaytoaddressthischallenge..
RecentAIbreakthroughsarebasedonsupervisedmachinelearning.Acriticalsuccessfactorofthesesystemsistheavailabilityofhugeamountsofpre-categorizedtrainingdata.Incontrasttologic-andknowledge-basedapproachestoAI,wethereforecharacterizetheseas“data-based”AIsystemsinthisreport.Manyofthese“deep-learning”neuralAIsystemsmaywellbecharacterizedas“datavores.”Atpresent,themostimportanttechnicalbottleneckofAI,therefore,istheavailabilityofdata.Thisisaqualitativelynewdevelopmentinthehistoryofcomputingandinformationprocessing.Withoutaccesstovasttrainingdatasets,itisverydifficulttodevelopsuccessfulAIsystems.Inthisreport,weputforwardanargumentthatEUpoliciescouldcreatedataplatformsthatcouldredefinethecompetitivelandscapeforlearning-andeducation-orientedAIsystems.
AsthesesupervisedAIlearningalgorithmsarebasedonhistoricaldata,theycanonlyseetheworldasarepetitionofthepast.Thishasdeepethicalimplications.When,forexample,studentsandtheirachievementsareassessedusingsuchAIsystems,theassessmentisnecessarilybasedoncriteriathatreflectculturalbiasesandhistoricallysalientmeasuresofsuccess.Supervisedlearningalgorithmscreateunavoidablebiases,andthesearecurrentlyextensivelydebated.Fromamorefundamentalethicalpointofview,however,theexpressionofhumanagencyrequirescapabilitytomakeauthenticchoicesthatdonotonlyrepeatthepast.AlthoughtherearealreadyAIsystemsthatdealwithcreativeactivities,AIsystemswillhavegreatdifficultiesindealingwithpeoplewhoarecreative,innovative,andnotonlyaveragerepresentationsofvastcollectionsofhistoricalexamples.
ItisoftenassumedthatAIsystemsenablenewlevelsofpersonalisationanddiversityforinformationsystems;muchofthis,however,resultsfromfine-grainedcategorizationthatputsusersintopre-definedclasses.Althoughthesesystemsmaybeabletoefficientlysimulatepersonalisation,theydonotnecessarilysupportdeeperlevelsofdiversity.AtpresentwecansaythattheuseAIsystemsineducationalsettingswillshapethedevelopmentofhumancognitionandself-efficacy,butwedon’tknowhow.Itisthereforeimportanttocontinuouslyevaluate,forexample,howtheuseofAIineducationalcontextsconstrainsandenableshumanpossibilitiesforresponsibleandethicalaction.AIsystemscanbeexcellentpredictivemachines,butthisstrengthmaybeanimportantweaknessindomainswherelearninganddevelopmentareimportant.AcontributionofthisreportistoshowthatdifferenttypesofAIandmachinelearningsystemsoperateondifferentlayersofhumanbehaviour4.Mostimportantly,thelevelofmeaningfulactivity—whichinsocio-culturaltheoriesoflearningunderpinsadvancedformsofhumanintelligenceandlearning—remainsbeyondthecurrentstateoftheAIart.
OneofthemostsuccessfulapplicationareasinAIhasbeenvideoprocessing.Therewillbestrongeconomicinterestsinusingvideo-connectedAIsystemsinclassroomsandtocomplementthecollecteddatawithdatafromsocialmediaandInternetofthings(IoT)platforms.Asitbecomestechnicallypossibletomonitorstudentemotionsandattentioninrealtimeandusesuchdatatohelpteachersandstudents,AIprivacyandsecuritybecomeimportanttopicsalsoineducation.Similarly,AIsystemsarewellsuitedforcollectinginformalevidenceofskills,experience,andcompetencefromopendatasources,includingsocialmedia,learnerportfolios,andopenbadges.Thiscreatesbothethicalandregulatorychallenges.
Severalhigh-profileeconometricstudiesonthefutureofworkhaveshownthatmanyoccupationscanbeautomatedwithcurrentAItechnologies.Thesestudieshavereliedontask-andskill-biasedmodelsoftechnicalchange.Inthisreport,wearguethatadata-biasedmodelismoreappropriateforcurrentAIsystems.Wealsoexploreasimilarmethodologytoseehowthefutureoftheteachingprofessionmightlooklike.Theresultssuggestthatmanycurrentlydefinedhigh-priorityteachertasksmightbeautomated.However,thisisbasedontheassumptionthattheroleofteachersisrathermechanicalandpurelyinstructionalwithsummativeassessmentplayingacentralrole,reflectingdeepbeliefsaboutthefunctionsofeducationandthesocialinstitutionsaroundit.Ineducationalsystemsthatemphasizedevelopmentand,forexample,socialcompetences,formativeassessmentmightbehigheronthelist.Asaresult,thereisariskthatAImightbeusedtoscaleupbadpedagogicalpractices.IfAIisthenewelectricity,itwillhaveabroadimpactinsociety,economy,andeducation,butitneedstobetreatedwithcare.
4Readersmayalsobeinterestedin“HUMAINT”,aninterdisciplinaryJRCprojectaimingtounderstandtheimpactofmachineintelligenceonhumanbehaviour,withafocusoncognitiveandsocio-emotionalcapabilitiesanddecisionmaking(seehttps://ec.europa.eu/jrc/communities/community/humaint).
Introduction
Allhumanactionsarebasedonanticipatedfutures.Wecannotknowthefuturebecauseitdoesnotexistyet,butwecanuseourcurrentknowledgetoimaginefuturesandmakethemhappen.Thebetterweunderstandthepresentandthehistorythathascreatedit,thebetterwecanunderstandthepossibilitiesofthefuture.Toappreciatetheopportunitiesandchallengesthatartificialintelligence(AI)creates,weneedbothgoodunderstandingofwhatAIistodayandwhatthefuturemaybringwhenAIiswidelyusedinthesociety.AIcanenablenewwaysoflearning,teachingandeducation,anditmayalsochangethesocietyinwaysthatposenewchallengesforeducationalinstitutions.Itmayamplifyskilldifferencesandpolarizejobs,oritmayequalizeopportunitiesforlearning.TheuseofAIineducationmaygenerateinsightsonhowlearninghappens,anditcanchangethewaylearningisassessed.Itmayre-organizeclassroomsormakethemobsolete,itcanincreasetheefficiencyofteaching,oritmayforcestudentstoadapttotherequirementsoftechnology,deprivinghumansfromthepowersofagencyandpossibilitiesforresponsibleaction.Allthisispossible.NowisagoodtimetostartthinkingaboutwhatAIcouldmeanforlearning,teaching,andeducation.Thereisalotofhype,andthetopicisnotaneasyone.Itis,however,bothimportant,interesting,andworththeeffort.
Since2013,whenFreyandOsborne5estimatedthatalmosthalfofU.S.jobswereatahighriskofbecomingautomated,AIhasbeenontopofpolicymakers’agendas.Manystudieshavereplicatedandrefinedthisstudy,andthegeneralconsensusnowisthatAIwillgeneratemajortransformationsinthelabourmarket.6Manyskillsthatwereimportantinthepastarebecomingautomated,andmanyjobsandoccupationswillbecomeobsoleteortransformedwhenAIwillbeincreasinglyused.Atthesametime,therehasbeenatremendousdemandforpeoplewithskillsinAIdevelopment,leadingtosevenfiguresalariesandsign-upfees.ChinahasannouncedthatitaimstobecometheworldleaderinAIandgrowa150billionAIecosystemby2030.TheU.S.DepartmentofDefenseinvestedabout2.5billionUSDinAIin2017,andthetotalprivateinvestmentintheU.S.isnowprobablyover20billionUSDperyear.In2017,therewereabout1200AIstart-upsinEurope,7andtheEuropeanCommissionaimstoincreasethetotalpublicandprivateinvestmentinAIintheEUtobeatleast20billioneurosbytheendof2020.8
Inlimitedtasks,AIalreadyexceedshumancapabilities.Lastyear,withjustaboutonemonthofsystemdevelopment,researchersatStanfordwereabletouseAItodiagnose
14typesofmedicalconditionsusingfrontal-viewX-rayimages,exceedingthehumandiagnosticaccuracyforpneumonia.9In2017,givennodomainknowledgeexceptthegamerules,anartificialneuralnetworksystem,AlphaZero,achievedwithin24hoursasuperhumanlevelofplayinthegamesofchess,shogi,andGo.10InMay2018,GoogleCEOSundarPichaicausedafirestormwhenhedemonstratedinhiskeynoteanAIsystem,Duplex,thatcanautonomouslyscheduleappointmentsonthephone,foolingpeopletothinktheyarediscussingwithanotherhuman.Inthemidstofself-drivingcars,speakingrobots,andthefloodofAImiracles,itmaybeeasytothinkthatAIisrapidlybecomingsuperintelligent,andgainallthegoodandevilpowersawardedtoitinpopularculture.This,ofcourse,isnotthecase.ThecurrentAIsystemsareseverelylimited,andtherearetechnical,social,scientific,andconceptuallimitstowhattheycando.Asone
5FreyandOsborne(2013,2017).
6E.g.,EuropeanPoliticalStrategyCentre(EPSC2018),UnitedStatesGovernmentAccountabilityOffice(GAO2018),FinnishSteeringGroupofArtificialIntelligenceProgramme(2017),andUKHouseofLords(2018).
7 DatafromtheU.K.HouseofLordsSelectCommitteeonArtificialIntelligencereport(HouseofLords2018,48).
8 ArtificialIntelligenceforEurope(EC2018b).
9 Rajpurkaretal.(2017).
10 Silveretal.(2017).
recentauthornoted,AImayberidingaone-trickponyasalmostallAIadvancesreportedinthemediaarebasedonideasthataremorethanthreedecadesold.11AparticularchallengeofthecurrentlydominantlearningmodelsusedinAIisthattheycanonlyseetheworldasarepetitionofthepast.Theavailablecategoriesandsuccesscriteriathatareusedfortheirtrainingaresuppliedbyhumans.Personalandculturalbiases,thus,areaninherentelementinAIsystems.Athree-levelmodelofhumanactionpresentedinthenextsectionsuggeststhatnormsandvaluesareoftentacitandexpressedthroughunarticulatedemotionalreactions.Perhapssurprisingly,therecentsuccessesinAIalsorepresenttheoldestapproachtoAIandonewherealmostalltheintelligencecomesfromhumans.
InsteadofabeginningofanAIrevolution,wecouldbeattheendofone.This,ofcourse,dependsonwhatwemeanbyrevolution.ElectricitydidnotrevolutionizetheworldwhenVoltafoundawaytostoreitin1800orwhenEdisonGeneralElectricCompanywasincorporatedin1889.Thetransformativeimpactofgeneralpurposetechnologiesbecomesvisibleonlygradually,whensocietiesandeconomiesreinventthemselvesasusersofnewtechnologies.Technologicalchangerequiresculturalchangethatisreflectedinlifestyles,norms,policies,socialinstitutions,skills,andeducation.Becauseofthis,AI—nowoftencalledthe"newelectricity"—mayrevolutionizemanyareasoflifewhenitistakenintouseevenifitkeepsondrivingits"one-trick"ponyfortheforeseeablefuture.Manyinterestingthingswillhappenwhenalreadyexistingtechnologieswillbeadopted,adapted,andappliedforlearning,teaching,andeducation.Forexample,AImayenablebothnewlearningandteachingpractices,anditmaygenerateanewsocial,cultural,andeconomiccontextforeducation.
BelowweasksimplequestionsthatillustratetherelevanceofAIforeducationalpoliciesandpractices.Whichvocationsandoccupationswillbecomeobsoleteinthenearfuture?Whatarethe21stCenturyskillsinaworldwhereAIiswidelyused?HowshouldAIbeincorporatedintheK-12curriculum?HowwillAIchangeteaching?Shouldreal-timemonitoringofstudentemotionsbeallowedinclassrooms?CanAIfairlyassessstudents?DoweneedfewerclassroomsbecauseofAI?DoesAIreducetheimpactofdyslexia,dyscalculia,orotherlearningdifficulties?Thesequestionsaresimpletoask,andrelevantforunderstandingthefutureoflearning,teaching,andeducation.Theanswers,ofcourse,aremorecomplex.
Themainaimofthisreportistoputtheseandothersimilarquestionsinacontextwheretheycanbemeaningfullyaddressed.Wedonotaimtoprovidefinalanswers;instead,wehopetoprovidebackgroundthatwillfacilitatediscussionontheseandotherimportantquestionsthatneedtobeaskedasAIbecomesincreasinglyvisibleinthesocietyandeconomyaroundus.Todothis,wehavetofirstopenthe"blackbox"ofAIandpeekinside.ThereareseveralthingsAIcandowell,andmanythingsitcannotdo.AtpresentthereisanavalancheofreportsandnewspaperarticlesonAI,anditisnotalwayseasytodistinguishimportantmessagesfromnoise.Itis,however,importanttounderstandsomekeycharacteristicsofcurrentAItobeabletoimaginerealisticfutures.Inthenextsections,weputAIinthecontextoflearning,teaching,andeducation,andthenfocusonthespecificformofAI,adaptiveartificialneuralnetworks,thathavegeneratedtherecentinterestinAI.
11 Somers(2017
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