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2009屆高三最新英語時文閱讀選23篇
1
2009politicalpredictions:Whatwillbethebigstory?
(CNN)-Thispastyearwasfullofunexpectedtwistsandturnsonthecampaigntrail.
BarackObamawilltakeofficewithabigto-dolistinfrontofhim.
Withanewpresidenttakingoverandahostofproblemsawaitinghim,there'snotelling
whatwillhappenin2009.
CNN'spoliticalanalystsandcontributorsofferedupsomeoftheirpredictionsforthe
upcomingyear:
EdRollins,Republicanstrategist
ThebiggeststorywillbethecontinuedviolenceintheMiddleEast—theIsrael/Hamaswar
andtheuncertaintyofwhetherwecanpullourtroopsoutofIraqandAfghanistan.
WhilemostAmericansandournewpresidentwillbefocusedontheongoingeconomic
crises,thenationalsecurityteamofHillaryClinton,RobertGatesandretiredGen.JamesJones
willbeinacrisis-a-daymodefortheforeseeablefuture.
Thesecondarystorywillbewhoplaystheroleofthetheloyaloppositiontothenew
president.WiththediminishedroleoftheRepublicanParty,doesitbecomeatrueopposition
partyledbytheconservativesbuildingforthefuture,orisitapartythatcrossestheaisletoseek
compromisewiththeDemocratsandthenewpresident?More:Politicianswhofellfromgrace
AnddoesJohnMcCainplaytheleadroleinbecomingthefacilitatorforcompromise?Ifthe
RepublicanPartyisnoteffective,doesthenationalmediabecometheoppositionvoice?
JeffreyToobin,senioranalyst
Theoverarchingpoliticalissueof2009willbetheeconomy.ItappearsthatPresident-elect
BarackObamawillbenefitfromwidespreadgoodwilland-thoughthisisnotcertain-asense
thatthingsarenearthebottom.
Thegreatunknowniswhethertherewillbeanyturnaround.Ifthereis,lookforDemocratsto
takecredit.Ifnot,lookforthemtocontinuetoblametheBushlegacy.
Theeconomywillbecentralintwoverydifferentpoliticalraces.TheVirginiagovernor's
racewillhelpestablishwhetherthecommonwealthhasbecomeatrulybluestate.It'sanopenseat
becausecurrentGov.TimKaineisineligibletosucceedhimself.TheDemsaremostlylow-profile
names,exceptforTerryMcAuliffe,thegreatClintonfundraiser,whowantstorunforthefirst
time.
TheotherraceisforNewYorkmayor.MikeBloombergengineeredachangeincitylawto
allowhimselftorunathirdtime,andhelookslikethefavoritetowin.Butwillthecity'smajor
economicproblemspromptaseriouschallengertoemerge?I'llbewatching.
JamesCarville,Democraticstrategist
2009willbeayearinwhichtheRepublicanPartywillbeconfrontedwithanear-catastrophic
ideologicalrift.Readaboutapredictionthat'pains'Carvilletomake
ThereisnoobviousRepublicanleaderonthehorizon,andthepartyiscaughtbetweenits
Southem/talk-radiobaseandtherestofthecountryonwhethertheyshouldopposeorcooperate
withObama'sadministration.
Thecombinationofthelackofanobviousleaderandthegeneralpoliticalcombustibilityof
theRepublicanPartywillleadtoadangerousfissurethatwillplagueituntilthe2012election
cycle.
HilaryRosen,Democraticstrategist
WillPresidentObama'ssolutionsfortheeconomybringpeopletogether?
Obamamadealotofcampaignpromises-onesIknowheintendstokeep.Butfixinghealth
care,creatinganewenergypolicy,investingineducationandprovidingformiddle-classtaxrelief
costalotofmoney.
Withaneconomyintatters,howthenewpresidentmarriesthisaggressiveagendatothe
all-importanttaskoffixingtheeconomywillbethebiggeststoryof2009.
Hestartswithtwothingsthatfewpresidentshavehad:ahugeamountofgoodwillfromthe
Americanpeopleand,importantly,acitizenrythatwantstoparticipateinthenewagenda.They
don'tcarewhichboxtheycheckedonElectionDay.Theycareabouttheirfragilepaycheck.
Itwillbeanexcitingyear,suretostartwithmorestockmarketscaresandmorelayoffs.ButI
haveahunchthatbynextNewYear'sEve,wewillberemarkingthatthebigpoliticalstoryof
2009wasthesuccessofPresidentObama'sfirstyearinoffice.
DonnaBrazile,Democraticstrategist
2009willpresentuswiththemostfundamentalbreakinAmericanpoliticaleconomy
discoursesincetheelectionofRonaldReaganin1980.
Whatistheroleofgovernment?Isgovernmenttheproblem(Reaganomics1980),oris
governmentisafundamentalpartofthesolution(Obama2008).Thisisanepochalshift.
FareedZakariastatedinNewsweekthat''governmentsaremorepowerfulthanmarkets."
Thereisaneedforanewbalancebetweenthestate/governmentandmarkets.Market
fundamentalismfailed(marketsarenotself-regulatingasthebanks,BernardMadoff,WorldCom,
etc.sopainfullyillustrated).
Thequestion:Whatkindofgovernment?Thiswillbethechallengeofthenewpresident,his
administrationandthenewCongress.
LeslieSanchez,Republicanstrategist
Themostinterestingpoliticalstoryin2009willbethesurprisinglydisharmonious
relationshipbetweenObamaandthecongressionalDemocraticleadership.
Obamawillwanttoleadfromthecenter,whileSpeakeroftheHouseNancyPelosiand
SenateMajorityLeaderHarryReidwillcontinuallypullhimleft.Tocomplicatematters,itshould
benotedthatReidistheGOP'stoptargettodefeatin2010.
PaulBegala,Democraticstrategist
AfterthecampaignsofJimmyCarter,WalterMondaleandMichaelDukakis,(theMount
LosemoreofmodernDemocraticpolitics),Democratsfinallystoppedblamingthevoters.
AndsobeganagreatconversationaboutwhatitmeanttobeaDemocrat.Theconversation
tookplaceoverorganictofuinyurtsinSantaBarbara,itwasfueledbyChassagne-Montrachetin
Georgetown,andwasconcludedwhilescarfingdownpimento-cheesesandwichesinall-nightbull
sessionsinthebasementofthegovernor'smansioninLittleRock.
WhatcamefromthatpainfulreassessmentwastheNewDemocratmovementembodiedby
BillClinton,andnowcarriedtothenextlevelbyObama.
Nowit*stheRepublicans'turn.
TheGOPneedstoaskitselftoughquestions:Aretheythepartythatbelievessodeeplyin
scienceandtechnologythattheybelievewecanshootasupersonicmissileoutofthesky,orare
theythepartythatbelieveshumanswalkedtheearthwithdinosaursafewthousandyearsago?
AretheythepartythatreachesouttoAfrican-Americans,oraretheythepartythathandsout
theracistsong“BaracktheMagicNegro?"
AretheythepartyofconservativeintellectualslikeDavidBrooksandthelateWilliamF.
Buckley,oraretheypartyofanti-intellectualknow-nothingslikeRushLimbaughandAnn
Coulter?
AretheythepartythatfeelssomorallysuperiortogayAmericansthattheywoulddenythem
equalrights,oraretheythepartythatcoversupforLarryCraig,MarkFoleyandtheRev.Ted
Haggard?
Aretheythepartythatbelieveseconomicincentivesshouldbetargetedtoatiny,wealthy
elite(likeBernardMadoffandKenLay)—oraretheythepartythatbelieveshundredsofmillions
ofmiddle-classconsumersdrivetheeconomy?
MarkShieldssaystherearetwokindsofpoliticalparties:thosethatseekoutconvertsand
thosethathuntdownheretics.Fundamentally,that*sthechoicetheGOPwillwrestlewithin2009.
Ifthey'reinterestedinseriouslythinkingthisthrough,IknowsomeexcellentyurtsinSanta
Barbara.
2
Study:Diamondslinkcomettomammalextinction
(CNN)—Tinydiamondsfoundinthesoilare"strongevidence*'acometexplodedonor
aboveNorthAmericanearly13,000yearsago,leadingtotheextinctionofdozensofmammal
species,accordingtoastudy.
DiamondsfoundinNorthAmericansoilsuggestacometledtotheextinctionofdozensof
mammalspecies.
Thescientificreportalsosuggeststhecataclysmalsoreducedthepopulationoftheearliest
peopletoinhabittheregionandtriggereda1,300-year-longcoldspellthatstretchedaroundthe
world.
Theheatgeneratedbytheextraterrestrialimpactlikelymeltedmuchofaglacierthatonce
coveredtheGreatLakesregion,sendingamassiveflooddowntheMississippiRiver,thestudy
said.
Accordingtothereport,thecoldwavesofglacialrunoffintotheGulfofMexicoshifted
AtlanticOceancurrents,changingclimatepatternsthroughouttheworldinacoolingperiod
knownastheYoungerDryas.
"Arareswarm"ofcometsrainedoverNorthAmericaabout12,900yearsago,sparkingfires
thatproducedchoking,leading"totheextinctionofalargerangeofanimals,includingmammoths,
acrossNorthAmerica,"thereportsaid.
Thestudywasconductedbyagroupofeightarchaeologistsandgeologistsfromthe
universitiesofOregonandCalifornia,NorthernArizonaUniversity,OklahomaUniversityand
DePaulUniversity.TheirfindingswerepublishedFridayinthejournalNature.
Theprehistorichumansknowntohaveinhabitedthecontinentatthetimeoftheevent—
huntersandgatherersdubbedtheClovisculture-sufferedamajordeclineinpopulationinthe
aftermath,thescientistssaid.
Thescientists,studyinglayersofsedimentdatedto12,900yearsagoatsixNorthAmerican
locations,includingonedirectlyontopofaClovissiteinMurraySprings,Arizona.Eachlayer
wasrichinnanodiamonds,whichareproducedunderhigh-temperature,high-pressureconditions
createdbycosmicimpacts,thereportsaid.
“Thenanodiamondsthatwefoundatallsixlocationsexistonlyinsedimentsassociatedwith
theYoungerDryasBoundarylayers,notaboveitorbelowit,"saidUniversityofOregon
archaeologistDouglasKennett."Thesediscoveriesprovidestrongevidenceforacosmicimpact
eventatapproximately12,900yearsagothatwouldhavehadenormousenvironmental
consequencesfbrplants,animalsandhumansacrossNorthAmerica."
TheothersitesstudiedwereinBullCreek,Oklahoma;Gainey,MichiganandTopper,South
Carolina,aswellasLakeHind,Manitoba;andChobot,intheCanadianprovinceofAlberta.
3
Playboyoftheeasternworld
Thefirstmodernnovelcelebratesitsl,OOOthbirthday
ITCONTAINSnomilitaryadventuresnorepicjourneys.Yet"TheTaleofGenji^^isinevery
wayJapan'sequivalentofHomer's"Iliad”.Firstmentionedinadiaryexactly1,000yearsago,in
late1008,ithasoverthecenturiesbeensubjecttochanges,adaptations,mutationsandtranslations
(nottomentionbeingremadeasamangacomic),allofwhichhavehelpeditnotjustsurvive,but
flourish.Todaythisaccountoftheamorousescapadesofanaristocraticaestheteiswidely
regardedasthefirstmodernorpsychologicalnovel.
Thebook'ssuccessliesinitsbroadappeal.Right-wingJapanesecommentatorspointto“The
TaleofGenji“andtakegreatprideinemphasisinghowmuchmoresophisticatedcivilisationwas
inJapaninthe11thcentuiycomparedwithEuropeatthattime.Formiddle-agedJapanese,
readingthebookatstudygroupsinadult-educationcentresisaspopular,andasquintessentially
Japanese,asflower-arrangingortheteaceremony.Feministsrejoicethattheauthor,Murasaki
Shikibu,wasawoman,evenifwritingfictionwasgenerallyregardedasfrivolousandlowbrow;
notanactivityformen.
Thebook's1,000thanniversaryisbeingcelebratedinJapanwithlectures,symposia,plays,
conferencesandconcerts.AlineofGenjiteaandGenjisweetsisalreadyonthemarketandthe
CDofanewlycomposedGenjisymphonygoesonsalethismonth.
Ruthlesslysummarised,thebook'sstorylinegoeslikethis.Theudazzlinglylovely^^Genji,
sonoftheemperorandoneofhislower-gradeconsorts,isirresistibletowomen.Heenjoysa
stringofaffairsasayoungman,evenabductingaten-year-oldgirlsohecanmouldherintothe
perfectlife-companion.Butsleepingwiththedaughteroftheleaderoftheopposingpolitical
factionisoneindiscretiontoomanyandGenjiisforcedintoexile.Recalledeventuallytothe
capital,hebuildshimselfamansionwithadifferentwomanineachofitsfourwings.Honoursare
heapeduponhimandheisofferedtheretiredemperor'sdaughterasawife.ButGenji'sroyal
bridebetrayshimwithanothermanandwhenhisbelovedmistressdiesafteralongillness,our
heartbrokenherofollowsherswiftlytothegrave.
Atthispointthereaderisonlytwo-thirdsofthewaythroughthebook,whichrunsto1,200
pagesinitsmostrecentEnglishtranslationandboastsacastofmorethan400.Thestoryresumes
withnewheroes.Twoyoungmen(thepurportedsonandgrandsonofGenji)arewooingatrioof
sisters.Oneofthemsuccumbstomarriage,butoftheothertwosisters,onestarvesherselftodeath
andtheotherchoosestobecomeanunratherthanfallintomalehands.Love,itturnsout,isnot
innocenthanky-panky,butsomethingnoxious,corrosive-evendeadly.
Sheerscaleisnotallthatisforbiddingaboutthebook.Japaneseprosewasstillinitsinfancy
inMurasaki'sday,sohersyntaxcanbeopaque.Sentenceslacksubjects,directspeechisoften
unattributedand,mostalarmingly,thecharacterschangenamesaccordingtotheirrankor
circumstances.Genji,forinstance,isvariouslyreferredtoasthecaptain,theconsultant,the
commander,thegrandcounsellor,thepalaceminister,thechancellorandthehonoraryretired
emperor.
Thesubjectmatterisalsochallenging.Thereispolygamy,bisexuality(whenoneyoung
womanrebuffshisadvances,Genjiconsoleshimselfwithheryoungerbrotherwhoturnsouttobe
“nobadsubstituteforhisungracioussister")andsomethingveryclosetoincest.Genjiisattracted
toFujitsubo,oneofhisfather'sconsorts,becauseofherresemblancetohisdeadmother.Even
thoughsheis,ineffect,hisstepmother,hefathersachildwithher.
Murasaki'slanguagewasalreadyarchaicandimpenetrableacenturyafteritwaswritten,so
theJapanesehavebeenreadingannotated,abridged,simplifiedandillustratedversionsofthe
booksinceasearlyasthe12thcentury.Thesameholdstruetoday.Inthelastcentury,four
Japanesewritersproducedatotalofsevenupdatedversionsofthebook.Themostrecentofthese
wasbyJakuchoSetouchi,afemalenovelistwhoseownworkdealswithissuesofwomen's
independence.Setouchi's"Genji“hassoldmorethan3mcopiessinceitwaspublishedin
December1996,asuccessthatKodansha,thepublisher,attributestotheauthor'sempathywith
thewomeninthetaleandhercolloquialwriting.Cannymarketingalsoplayedapart,with
Kodanshaorganisinglecturesanddiscussiongroupsalloverthecountryatthetimeofthelaunch.
Freerandlessreverentialadaptationsexistaswell.AlsofromKodanshaisWakiYamato's
“FleetingDreams",a“sugarandspiceandallthingsnice^^takeonGenjiinmangaformthathas
sold17mcopies.Forthosewhopreferalesssaccharineapproach,Shogakukan,arivalpublisher,
cameupwithanothermangaversionthatemphasisesthemaliciousfemalecharactersandincludes
plentyofexplicitsex.
Ittookuntilthe20thcenturybeforeacompleteEnglish-languageversionappeared.Arthur
Waley,aCambridgeclassicistwhotaughthimselfJapaneseandChinese,producedthefirst
Englishtranslationinsixinstalmentsbetween1925and1933.Waleywasmuchmoreinterestedin
readabilitythanfidelity.Hespeduptheplot,cutlongdescriptivescenesandtheoccasionalentire
chapter.Heclarifiedmanyofthesentences,addedpsychologicalbackgroundtothecharactersand
westernisedtheJapanesearchitecture.Theresultwasaprosemasterpiece,thoughonewhich
modernscholarsprefertocallanadaptationratherthanatranslation.
LyttonStrachey,aneighbourofWaley's,consideredhistranslation“beautifulinbits”,but
thereactionfromJapanwasmuchwarmer.EvenifWaley'sJapanesenoblemensoundalittlelike
early-20th-centuryCambridgeundergraduates,onecontemporaryJapanesewriterfamously
declaredthattheEnglishmanhadbreathedlifeintoaworkthathadbeentotteringaroundlikea
headlesscorpse.Indeed,Waley'sstatureinJapanissuchthatHeibonsha,anotherpublisher,
recentlyreleasedaretranslationofWaley's"Genji“backintoJapanese."Eveninthe
modern-languageversionsof'Genji',themajorityofJapanesereadersdon'tmakeitmuchpast
theopeningchapters,explainsTakaoHoshina,aneditoratHeibonsha."Waley'sisthemost
accessibleversionforustoo.^^
In1976EdwardSeidensticker,anacademicalreadycelebratedforhistranslationsof
YasunariKawabata,aNobelprize-winningnovelist,broughtoutanewversion.Tornbetween
admirationforWaley'snarrativeverveandhorroratthelibertieshehadtakenwiththetext,
Seidenstickerproduceda“Genji”thatwasdoggedlyfaithfulbutalittlelackingingrace.
ItwaslefttoRoyallTyler,whosecharmingandurbane“Genji“cameoutin2001,tochart
thecoursebetweentheexuberanceandtheexactitudeofhistwopredecessors.Perhapsbecausehe
livesintheAustralianbush,MrTylerwaswillingtorecognisethatreaderscanlosetheirwayin
thenovel'svastnessandsoprovidesahandykitoforientationtools:chapter-by-chapterlistsof
thecharactersandfootnotestoexplaintheimageryofthepoemsdottedthroughoutthetext.
“TheTaleofGenji”rewardsperseverance,butjustasyoungGenjiflitsfromonemistressto
thenext,sothereadercanchoosebetweenthethreeEnglishversionsofthestory.Effervescent
Waley,primSeidenstickerorsuaveTyler-whowillyoutaketobedwithyoutonight?
4
WhatSantacanbringEasternEurope
RadekSikorskiforNATOchief
THEreindeerareharnessed,thesledgeladen.SowhatwillSantaClausbringthe
ex-communistcountriesforChristmas?Desirablepresentsareeasytothinkof.Arespitefromthe
economicdownturn.AlesschauvinistattitudefromRussia.Amoreconsiderateapproachfrom
Germany.AttentionfromthenewAmericanadministration.Butthesebelonginthesame
charmingbutunrealisticcategoryasachild'swish-listonwhich“noschool",“afairycarriage^^
and"machinegun“arescrawledincrayon.
Rathermorelikely-andgenuinelydesirable—wouldbetheappointmentofsomeonefrom
theonce-captivenationstoatopinternationaljob.Sincethecollapseofcommunism,therecord
onthishasbeendismal.RussiachairedtheG-8(thoughmostofthecountriesattendingtheSt
Petersburgsummitdidsowhilewincingattheirhost'sbehaviour).SloveniaheldtheEuropean
Union'spresidencycompetently(thoughcloseinspectionrevealedatightFrenchembraceofthe
EU'snominalleadership).
Butintermsofthebigappointments,suchasrunningtheEUCommissionandNATOor
eventhelesserpostssuchasleadingtheOrganisationforSecurityandCo-operationinEurope,the
CouncilofEurope,theEuropeanBankforReconstructionandDevelopmentoranythingatthe
UnitedNations,itishardtofindanyonefromeasternEuropewhohasheldanythingremotely
resemblingatopjob.Themessageis:begratefulforyourEUcommissioners;nowshutup.
Thenewmember-statesofNATOandtheEUfeeltheyhavebeenratherpoorlytreatedinthe
pastyearorso.GermanysnubbedthemattheBucharestNATOsummit.TheEUtoldthemthey
weresillytocareaboutGeorgia,imposedasingleflimsysanctiononRussiaandthenwasunable
tomaintaineventhat.
MuchoftheresponsibilityfbrthislieswiththeFrenchpresident,NicolasSarkozy.Hehas
alsoflirtedwiththeKremlin'snewschemeforEuropeansecurity.Thisinvolveskickingthe
Americansout,sideliningNATO,andallowingRussiaandthebigEUcountriestostitchthingsup
betweenthem.
Inprivatebriefings,FrenchandotherwestEuropeanofficialsarealreadyunderminingthe
upcomingCzechEUpresidency,sneeringandjeeringattheideathatthedumpling-munching
peasantsofBohemiacanmatchthegrandeurofFrance.Theyalsogrosslyoverstatethe
importance(moreaccurately:nuisancevalue)oftheabrasiveCzechpresident,VaclavKlaus.All
EUstatesareequal,MrSarkozyconcedes.Butthebiggeroneshave“moreresponsibilities”(and
arelessequal,GeorgeOrwellmighthaveconcluded,thanothers).
Nextyear,iftheLisbontreatyisratified,thefollowingjobswillcomeopen:presidentsofthe
EUCommission(anexistingpost)andtheEUCouncil(anewone),plusEUforeignminister,
NATOsecretary-generalandpresidentoftheEuropeanparliament.Asthingsstand,theeast
Europeanswillgetonlythelastofthese—whichisbyfartheleastimportant.
Thatisnotjustunfair.It'srisky.ItwillalienatetheeastEuropeansandmaketheirpolitical
elitesfeelmutinous.EastEuropeancountrieshaveplentyofwaystoslowdownEU
decision-making.Sofar,theyhaveforthemostpartbeenatpainstoshowthattheyaregood
Europeans.Thatcannotbetakenforgranted.
Hereisapossiblewayout:theNATOtopjobshouldgotoaheavyweightAtlanticist
politician,withexpertiseindefencepolicy,fromanewmemberstate.Thatproducesashortlistof
roughlytwo:RadekSikorski,Poland'sforeignminister(andformerdefenceminister)orSasha
Vondra,theCzechdeputyprimeminister.Poland'sstatusasadefenceheavyweightmakesMr
Sikorski'scasethestronger.Let'shopeSantaseesitthatwaytoo.
AmericantradeandbudgetdeficitshavegrownworseandTreasurySecretaryHenry
PaulsonJr.,withPresidentHuJintaoofChina,hasnotbeenabletoallaytheproblem.
5
DollarShift:ChinesePocketsFilledasAmericans'Emptied
Usuallyit'stherichcountrylendingtothepoor.Thistime,it'sthepoorcountrylendingto
therich.n
—NiallFerguson
WASHINGTON一InMarch2005,alow-keyPrincetoneconomistwhohadbecomea
FederalReservegovernorcoinedanoveltheorytoexplainthegrowingtendencyofAmericansto
borrowfromforeigners,particularlytheChinese,tofinancetheirheavyspending.
Theproblem,hesaid,wasnotthatAmericansspendtoomuch,butthatforeignerssavetoo
much.TheChinesehavepiledupsomuchexcesssavingsthattheylendmoneytotheUnited
Statesatlowrates,underwritingAmericanconsumption.
Thiscolossalcreditcyclecouldnotlastforever,hesaid.Butinaglobaleconomy,the
transferofChinesemoneytoAmericawasamarketphenomenonthatwouldtakeyears,evena
decade,toworkitselfout.Fornow,hesaid,“weprobablyhavelittlechoiceexcepttobepatient.”
Today,thedependenceoftheUnitedStatesonChinesemoneylookslessbenign.Andthe
economistwhoproposedthetheory,BenS.Bernanke,isdealingwiththeconsequences,having
beenpromotedtochairmanoftheFedin2006,asthesecross-bordermoneyflowswerereaching
stratosphericlevels.
Inthepastdecade,Chinahasinvestedupwardof$1trillion,mostlyearningsfrom
manufacturingexports,intoAmericangovernmentbondsandgovernment-backedmortgagedebt.
Thathasloweredinterestratesandhelpedfuelahistoricconsumptionbingeandhousingbubble
intheUnitedStates.
China,someeconomistssay,lulledAmericanconsumers,andtheirleaders,intocomplacency
abouttheirspendthriftways.
“Thiswasablinkingredlight,”saidKennethS.Rogoff,aprofessorofeconomicsatHarvard
andaformerchiefeconomistattheInternationalMonetaryFund."Weshouldhavereactedtoit.”
Inhindsight,manyeconomistssay,theUnitedStatesshouldhaverecognizedthatborrowing
fromabroadforconsumptionanddeficitspendingathomewasnotaformulaforeconomic
success.Evenasthatweaknessisbecomingmorewidelyrecognized,however,theUnitedStates
islikelytobemoreaddictedthanevertoforeigncreditorstofinancerecordgovernmentspending
torevivethebrokeneconomy.
Tobesure,therewerefewreadyremedies.SomecriticsarguethattheUnitedStatescould
havepushedBeijinghardertoabandonitspolicyofkeepingthevalueofitscurrencyweak—a
policythatmadeitsexportslessexpensiveandhelpedturnitintotheworld'sleading
manufacturingpower.IfChinahadalloweditscurrencytofloataccordingtomarketdemandin
thepastdecade,itsexportgrowthprobablywouldhavemoderated.Anditwouldnothave
acquiredthesamevasthoardofdollarstoinvestabroad.
OtherssaytheFederalReserveandtheTreasuryDepartmentshouldhaveseentheChinese
lendingfbrwhatitwas:agiantstimulustotheAmericaneconomy,notunlikeinterestratecutsby
theFed.ThesecriticssaytheFedunderAlanGreenspancontributedtothecreationofthehousing
bubblebyleavinginterestratestoolowfortoolong,evenasChineseinvestmentfurtherstokedan
easy-moneyeconomy.TheFedshouldhavecutinterestrateslessinthemiddleofthisdecade,
theysay,andstartedraisingthemsooner,tohelpreducespeculationinrealestate.
Today,withthewreckagearoundhim,Mr.Bernankesaidheregrettedthatmorewasnot
donetoregulatefinancialinstitutionsandmortgageproviders,whichmighthavepreventedthe
floodofinvestment,includingthatfromChina,frombeingsobadlyused.ButtheFed'srolein
regulationislimitedtobanks.Andstricterregulationbyitselfwouldnothavebeenenough,he
insisted.
“Achievingabetterbalanceofinternationalcapitalflowsearlyoncouldhavesignificantly
reducedtheriskstothefinancialsystem,MMr.Bernankesaidinaninterviewinhisoffice
overlookingtheWashingtonMall.
“However,“hecontinued,"thiscouldonlyhavebeendonethroughinternationalcooperation,
notbytheUnitedStatesalone.Theproblemwasrecognized,butsufficientinternational
cooperationwasnotforthcoming/'
Theinactionwasbecauseofarangeoffactors,politicalandeconomic.Bytheyardsticksthat
appearedtomattermost-prosperityandgrowth—therelationshipbetweenChinaandthe
UnitedStatesalsoseemedtobepayingofffbrbothcountries.Neitherhadastrongincentiveto
breakanaddiction:Chinatostrongexportgrowthandfinancialstability;theUnitedStatesto
cheapimportsandlow-costforeignloans.
InWashington,Chinawastreatedasathreatbysomepeople,butmostlybecauseitlured
awaymanufacturingjobs.OthersarguedthatChina'sheavylendingtothiscountrywasrisky
becauseChineseleaderscoulddecidetowithdrawmoneyatamoment'sno
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