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因子表現(xiàn)概述因子處理與測(cè)試說(shuō)明在規(guī)模、e、波動(dòng)率價(jià)值、流動(dòng)性、動(dòng)量與轉(zhuǎn)、技術(shù)、盈利、成長(zhǎng)質(zhì)量紅利和致預(yù)期二個(gè)類(lèi)風(fēng)格中擇具代表且10回測(cè)表現(xiàn)較好的48個(gè)因子作為風(fēng)格細(xì)分因子,細(xì)分因子總表詳見(jiàn)附錄二。在因子數(shù)據(jù)處理方面,首先對(duì)所有因子進(jìn)行去極值處理;接下來(lái)對(duì)于除對(duì)數(shù)市值外的其他因子做行業(yè)市值中性化,行業(yè)選擇為中信一級(jí)行業(yè)分類(lèi),對(duì)數(shù)市值因子只做行業(yè)中性化處理;最后所因在面行oe標(biāo)化因據(jù)處方詳附一。因子合成方面,對(duì)于每一個(gè)因子大類(lèi),將如上處理后的細(xì)分因子乘以因子方向后進(jìn)行等權(quán)合成,表示該大類(lèi)風(fēng)格因子的因子值。因子方向表示截面因子值與未來(lái)收益的負(fù)相關(guān),分記為1與,方向長(zhǎng)回的果因本身的輯定。對(duì)十二個(gè)大類(lèi)因子以及8個(gè)細(xì)分因子,在滬深30、中證50、中證100以nd全A成股共4股票中別行試測(cè)試程含C分分層回測(cè)、回歸分析,詳細(xì)介紹見(jiàn)附錄一。為了統(tǒng)一符號(hào),在測(cè)試時(shí)細(xì)分因子值要乘以因子方。測(cè)試參數(shù)擇上,使最近年的子數(shù)據(jù)計(jì)算度C,事實(shí)上這輸?shù)氖莗eaan秩相系即RnkC,下中的C指代ak值;外層測(cè)層為5月調(diào)。跟蹤測(cè)果括近月C值近年C、回間C均、一月多頭超額、近一年多頭超額、回測(cè)期間多頭超額、最近一月多空收益、近一年多空收、測(cè)間空益和測(cè)間t絕均值其多超為以子方向后因子值最大的分層組合收益減對(duì)應(yīng)的股票池基準(zhǔn)收益;多空收益為多乘以因子方向后因子值最大的分層組合,空乘以因子方向后因子值最小的分層組合時(shí)的收益。需要注意的一點(diǎn)是,由于將因子值進(jìn)行因子方向調(diào)整,只有數(shù)值為正的C表因有合和預(yù)的現(xiàn)大類(lèi)風(fēng)格因子表現(xiàn)從最一的C來(lái)在wnd全A票中較好因有動(dòng)171技術(shù)16和量轉(zhuǎn)586;深300股票中現(xiàn)好因有術(shù)(13.8、盈利(1.7)和流動(dòng)性0.48;在中證50股票池中表現(xiàn)較好的因子波率19.流動(dòng)(94和模7.35;中證000中表現(xiàn)較好的因子有波動(dòng)率1.5、技術(shù)(1.)和流動(dòng)性(9.6??傮w來(lái)看,在上個(gè)月中,整體表現(xiàn)較為突出的因子為波動(dòng)率、技術(shù)和流動(dòng)性。另外,這三因在證00票和wd全A中C現(xiàn)較突。圖:最一月(0,50,10,wd全)025020015010005000-.05-.10-.15-.20-.25數(shù)據(jù)來(lái)源:,wind

最近一月

3050100ind全A圖:近年C均值(30,50,100,wd全)014012010008006004002000-.02-.04-.06數(shù)據(jù)來(lái)源:,wind

最近一年均值

3050100ind全A圖:回測(cè)期間C均值30,5,10,wd全)012010008006004002000-.02-.04數(shù)據(jù)來(lái)源:,wind

回測(cè)期間均值

3050100ind全A從因多超收看上月wnd全A股池因子現(xiàn)不;月深3股票中現(xiàn)優(yōu)因有技因和量子因子頭額益別為1.2、和0.上中證500股票中表較的子有利子規(guī)因和利因子多超收分為1.46、1.和.1;上中證100票表現(xiàn)較優(yōu)的因子有技術(shù)因子、波動(dòng)率因子和質(zhì)量因子,多頭超額收益分別為12、0.68和0.4。圖:最近一月多頭超(0,0,10,wd全)最近一多頭額002001000-.01-.02-.03

3050100ind全A-.04數(shù)據(jù)來(lái)源:,wind圖:近一年多頭超額0,50,10,wd全)030025020015010005000-.05數(shù)據(jù)來(lái)源:,wind

最近一多頭額

3050100ind全A圖:回測(cè)期間多頭超(0,0,10,wd全)060050040030020010000-.10-.20-.30數(shù)據(jù)來(lái)源:,wind

回測(cè)期多頭額

3050100ind全A從因多組收來(lái),上在wnd全A池中表較的子技因子和量轉(zhuǎn)子因空組收分為2.和0.61;滬深300票池,表現(xiàn)較優(yōu)的因子有技術(shù)因子、動(dòng)量因子和盈利因子,因子多空組合收益分別為5.001.7和1.52在證50票中現(xiàn)較的子波率子、規(guī)模因子和流動(dòng)性因子,因子多空組合收益分別為38、284和2.;在中證1000股票池中,表現(xiàn)較優(yōu)的因子有技術(shù)因子、動(dòng)量反轉(zhuǎn)因子和波動(dòng)率因子,因子多空合額益為3.520.95和08。圖:最近一月多空收(0,0,10,wd全)006005004003002001000-.01-.02-.03-.04數(shù)據(jù)來(lái)源:,wind

最近一多空益

3050100ind全A圖:近一年多空收益0,50,10,wd全)040035030025020015010005000-.05-.10-.15數(shù)據(jù)來(lái)源:,wind

最近一多空益

3050100ind全A圖:回測(cè)期間多空收(0,0,10,wd全)100080060040020000-.20-.40數(shù)據(jù)來(lái)源:,wind

回測(cè)期多空益

3050100ind全A從回分結(jié)看在wnd全A票中除、質(zhì)、致期個(gè)子,其余子t檢均著其他票中各子歸分顯性有降。圖1:回測(cè)期間t值絕值均值(30,50,100,wd全)回測(cè)期間值對(duì)值值700600500400300200100000數(shù)據(jù)來(lái)源:,wind

3050100ind全A量?jī)r(jià)細(xì)分因子跟蹤為了方便比較與敘述,將細(xì)分因子劃分為量?jī)r(jià)因子部分和財(cái)務(wù)因子部分。本章介紹量細(xì)因的現(xiàn)。表:量?jī)r(jià)細(xì)分因子測(cè)結(jié)果(d全)細(xì)分因子 最近一月 近一年ICIC 均值

回測(cè)期間IC均值

最近一多頭超

近一年頭超額

回測(cè)期多頭超capbeavo_1mvo_3m_o_aday_m_o_aday_m_o_aday_sd_m_o_aday_sd_mep

4.65%8.04%10.07%9.69%8.54%11.03%11.38%10.90%1.15%

7.35%0.82%11.11%11.67%13.45%12.98%10.46%11.54%3.56%

3.25% 1.76%0.07% 2.28%8.60% 1.88%8.86% 1.87%9.21% 1.87%8.62% 1.95%8.53% 1.60%9.18% 1.59%2.37% 2.52%

26.04%3.73%19.21%21.00%28.97%27.00%22.30%23.03%19.29%

50.39%9.49%29.32%31.56%40.06%34.76%37.74%38.64%18.48%sp_qudy_sock_m_uove_sd_m_uove_sd_m_vsd_m_uove_1m_uove_3m_evesa_1m_evesa_av_1m_evesa_aday_m_evesa_dscee_1m_eseva_s_1m_oeu_oe_1yIASco_uove_pce_1mco_uove_pc_c_eu_1m數(shù)據(jù)來(lái)源:,ind

4.28%0.12%5.20%5.88%5.49%1.43%6.50%5.46%5.93%11.45%6.01%5.27%3.10%7.60%14.92%11.45%5.40%5.12%

7.54%5.20%1.46%10.34%9.50%1.44%9.58%9.11%6.83%5.53%8.12%4.43%6.34%1.20%5.67%5.53%7.58%6.36%

4.52%3.09%3.34%9.18%8.82%2.13%8.51%8.09%5.07%5.03%6.62%2.56%4.48%2.55%4.02%5.03%6.88%4.80%

2.00%1.80%1.20%2.36%2.28%2.00%2.24%2.21%1.77%0.86%2.25%1.26%1.67%2.63%0.43%0.86%1.54%1.26%

22.97%21.29%13.85%22.39%22.75%6.18%17.28%17.77%12.59%9.01%13.97%16.80%15.43%11.87%16.18%9.01%16.75%16.93%

33.73%31.21%27.05%44.78%49.15%12.98%35.73%36.55%17.31%15.29%26.92%17.02%17.92%25.25%16.05%15.29%43.88%25.61%表:量?jī)r(jià)細(xì)分因子測(cè)結(jié)果(滬深3)細(xì)分因子 最近一月 近一年ICIC 均值

回測(cè)期間IC均值

最近一多頭超

近一年頭超額

回測(cè)期多頭超cap

9.86%

0.07%

2.09% 1.10%

7.70%

8.47%beavo_1mvo_3m_o_aday_m_o_aday_m_o_aday_sd_m_o_aday_sd_mepsp_qudy_sock_m_uove_sd_m_uove_sd_m_vsd_m_uove_1m_uove_3m_evesa_1m_evesa_av_1m_evesa_aday_m_evesa_dscee_1m_eseva_s_1m_oeu_oe_1yIASco_uove_pce_1mco_uove_pc_c_eu_1m數(shù)據(jù)來(lái)源:,ind

19.53%7.82%7.48%3.70%2.05%5.51%2.37%17.85%2.75%2.20%6.57%1.91%1.53%0.21%0.17%0.67%9.33%10.07%14.11%3.31%6.97%17.23%20.77%10.07%9.36%1.01%

3.94%4.73%7.58%7.38%8.69%4.73%8.58%3.76%7.19%3.64%0.48%3.84%5.06%4.74%5.77%5.82%4.65%5.70%2.83%4.97%4.93%2.26%7.56%5.70%4.50%5.04%

1.57%2.18%2.98%2.63%3.05%2.10%4.65%1.70%1.21%0.84%0.01%3.57%4.45%1.81%3.67%3.62%4.67%6.09%4.18%2.64%3.94%0.51%5.09%6.09%5.37%3.80%

2.31%2.44%2.64%1.98%1.93%1.75%1.55%3.71%2.83%2.99%1.22%2.90%1.85%1.99%2.18%1.86%1.43%1.19%1.38%0.74%1.99%2.55%1.54%1.19%1.04%1.10%

0.43%5.12%7.53%10.00%11.47%8.00%10.53%10.52%15.40%12.54%3.22%4.09%7.05%10.07%4.54%7.02%10.96%7.89%4.02%12.43%7.41%4.98%5.71%7.89%9.27%14.56%

5.42%8.70%10.76%10.09%11.86%5.31%7.63%3.69%12.50%2.12%8.02%2.46%17.52%16.38%12.68%17.54%33.90%25.81%23.31%19.88%13.83%6.21%11.65%25.81%41.96%20.87%表:量?jī)r(jià)細(xì)分因子測(cè)結(jié)果(中證5)細(xì)分因子 最近一月 近一年ICIC 均值

回測(cè)期間IC均值

最近一多頭超

近一年頭超額

回測(cè)期多頭超cap 7.35%bea 3.85%vo_1m 16.97%vo_3m 20.23%_o_aday_m 20.57%_o_aday_m 21.70%_o_aday_sd_m 14.69%_o_aday_sd_m 18.90%ep 3.90%p 5.40%sp 1.24%_qudy_sock_m 1.20%_uove_sd_m 7.49%_uove_sd_m 10.98%

3.16%4.11%8.33%9.11%7.80%9.14%6.55%8.82%3.75%5.77%3.78%2.21%6.36%6.85%

0.11% 1.42%1.08% 0.16%5.23% 1.30%5.45% 1.08%5.26% 1.25%5.31% 1.55%4.62% 0.98%5.79% 0.77%2.05% 0.40%2.61% 0.06%2.26% 0.19%1.78% 0.39%4.86% 0.56%5.06% 0.73%

16.72%9.44%13.67%13.10%10.31%12.18%12.63%13.19%12.69%14.08%14.99%8.86%9.50%9.32%

8.30%5.91%15.18%9.88%3.62%7.91%18.15%12.49%2.01%8.49%14.41%4.74%14.42%10.62%_vsd_m 5.08%

3.41%

2.88%

0.52%

0.91%

1.08%_uove_1m_uove_3m_evesa_1m_evesa_av_1m_evesa_aday_m_evesa_dscee_1m_eseva_s_1m_oeu_oe_1yIASco_uove_pce_1mco_uove_pc_c_eu_1m數(shù)據(jù)來(lái)源:,ind

11.17%13.05%0.05%0.48%1.06%0.68%8.86%4.29%4.55%0.48%1.96%9.43%

6.72%7.12%0.90%0.44%2.51%0.10%0.36%0.02%0.30%0.44%3.38%1.68%

5.07%4.68%2.40%1.97%3.97%0.83%1.52%2.24%1.40%1.97%4.00%2.52%

1.38%0.22%0.32%0.28%0.89%0.68%0.61%0.59%1.07%0.28%0.80%0.75%

8.27%5.79%5.57%0.92%6.10%6.36%5.29%4.43%5.12%0.92%5.81%7.72%

7.67%8.25%13.61%11.92%20.02%9.42%2.39%2.76%3.27%11.92%20.78%11.02%表:量?jī)r(jià)細(xì)分因子測(cè)結(jié)果(中證10)細(xì)分因子 最近一月 近一年ICIC 均值

回測(cè)期間IC均值

最近一多頭超

近一年頭超額

回測(cè)期多頭超cap 4.52%

6.91%

2.99% 0.31%

14.72% 19.06%beavo_1mvo_3m_o_aday_m_o_aday_m_o_aday_sd_m_o_aday_sd_mepsp_qudy_sock_m_uove_sd_m_uove_sd_m_vsd_m_uove_1m_uove_3m_evesa_1m_evesa_av_1m_evesa_aday_m_evesa_dscee_1m_eseva_s_1m_oeu_oe_1yIASco_uove_pce_1mco_uove_pc_c_eu_1m數(shù)據(jù)來(lái)源:,ind

8.00%9.57%10.41%10.15%9.92%11.50%12.47%4.02%0.57%2.63%2.47%10.86%12.85%2.58%11.31%11.18%5.69%13.00%9.95%2.24%3.17%3.99%15.32%13.00%3.08%4.41%

1.43%8.81%10.60%8.54%9.65%6.85%10.06%4.89%4.76%2.90%1.87%8.23%9.49%3.99%8.35%8.90%6.07%5.19%7.50%3.23%5.81%3.07%5.80%5.19%6.78%6.42%

0.29%7.44%8.71%7.49%7.42%6.82%8.63%2.78%3.16%1.97%1.99%8.43%8.73%4.45%8.03%7.87%4.24%4.18%6.08%1.93%3.89%2.75%3.65%4.18%5.74%3.96%

0.65%0.53%0.75%0.71%0.72%0.53%0.76%0.12%0.31%0.15%0.67%0.37%0.39%0.33%0.79%0.32%0.32%2.21%0.54%0.37%0.39%1.14%1.26%2.21%0.43%0.69%

2.95%14.71%16.33%13.23%15.90%10.37%18.04%17.60%18.29%17.10%9.74%9.34%14.70%6.17%8.63%12.27%6.71%5.74%8.82%10.28%8.13%12.28%12.63%5.74%14.68%11.94%

16.89%22.41%23.32%16.08%13.85%16.43%26.31%3.60%24.26%20.71%0.34%19.94%35.34%7.18%16.61%24.54%2.06%1.88%13.92%4.44%0.21%7.56%7.96%1.88%28.06%5.02%規(guī)模從C列以分層圖中以出規(guī)因整體在wnd全A中不錯(cuò)的表。規(guī)因類(lèi)只含對(duì)市值nap個(gè)細(xì)因,測(cè)結(jié)總中可以出最一月nap子除深30股池中有相不的現(xiàn)。圖:規(guī)模因子C序及累計(jì)(d全) 圖1:規(guī)模因子分層回(d全)數(shù)據(jù)來(lái)源:,ind 數(shù)據(jù)來(lái)源:,ind圖1:規(guī)模因子C序列及累計(jì)(滬深30) 圖1:規(guī)模因子分層回(滬深30) 數(shù)據(jù)來(lái)源:,ind 數(shù)據(jù)來(lái)源:,ind圖1:規(guī)模因子C序列及累計(jì)(中證50) 圖1:規(guī)模因子分層回(中證50)數(shù)據(jù)來(lái)源:,ind 數(shù)據(jù)來(lái)源:,ind圖1:規(guī)模因子C序列及累計(jì)(中證10) 圖1:規(guī)模因子分層回(中證100) 數(shù)據(jù)來(lái)源:,ind 數(shù)據(jù)來(lái)源:,indBta從C序列以分測(cè)圖可看Bea體上四股池表均不。在Bea大因中含bea個(gè)分子上表現(xiàn)然佳。圖1:Bea因子C序及累計(jì)(d全) 圖2:Bea因子分層回(d全) 數(shù)據(jù)來(lái)源:,ind 數(shù)據(jù)來(lái)源:,ind圖2:Bea因子C序及累計(jì)(滬深30) 圖2:Bea因子分層回(滬深30) 數(shù)據(jù)來(lái)源:,ind 數(shù)據(jù)來(lái)源:,ind圖2:Bea因子C序及累計(jì)(中證50) 圖2:Bea因子分層回(中證50) 數(shù)據(jù)來(lái)源:,ind 數(shù)據(jù)來(lái)源:,ind圖2:Bea因子C序及累計(jì)(中證10) 圖2:Bea因子分層回(中證100) 數(shù)據(jù)來(lái)源:,ind 數(shù)據(jù)來(lái)源:,ind波動(dòng)率從波動(dòng)因的C圖以及層回測(cè)值可看出,動(dòng)率因在整回測(cè)區(qū)間內(nèi)現(xiàn)錯(cuò)在近月中波率子除深300票外有的表。從細(xì)分因子來(lái)看,上個(gè)月在中證50中表現(xiàn)較好的細(xì)分因子有3月日內(nèi)振幅差_hgho_nada_3(頭超益1.51日收率動(dòng)o_1頭超額收益1.;在中證1000中表現(xiàn)較好的細(xì)分因子有3月日內(nèi)振幅標(biāo)準(zhǔn)差_hgho_nada_d_3(多超收益.763月收率波動(dòng)vo_3(多頭超益0.7圖2:波動(dòng)率因子C序列及累計(jì)(d全)圖2:波動(dòng)率因子分層測(cè)(d全)數(shù)據(jù)來(lái)源:,ind 數(shù)據(jù)來(lái)源:,ind圖2:波動(dòng)率因子C序列及累計(jì)(滬深3) 圖3:波動(dòng)率因子分層測(cè)(滬深30) 數(shù)據(jù)來(lái)源:,ind 數(shù)據(jù)來(lái)源:,ind圖3:波動(dòng)率因子C序列及累計(jì)(中證5) 圖3:波動(dòng)率因子分層測(cè)(中證50)數(shù)據(jù)來(lái)源:,ind 數(shù)據(jù)來(lái)源:,ind圖3:波動(dòng)率因子C序列及累計(jì)(中證10) 圖3:波動(dòng)率因子分層測(cè)(中證10)數(shù)據(jù)來(lái)源:,ind 數(shù)據(jù)來(lái)源:,ind價(jià)值總體看價(jià)因在個(gè)回區(qū)中在wnd全A上效顯。近個(gè),在除深00均現(xiàn)。值子含細(xì)因有pbp、p上三因子在wd全A和深00股票中頭額表現(xiàn)較回。圖3:價(jià)值因子C序列及累計(jì)(d全) 圖3:價(jià)值因子分層回(d全) 數(shù)據(jù)來(lái)源:,ind 數(shù)據(jù)來(lái)源:,ind圖3:價(jià)值因子C序列及累計(jì)(滬深30) 圖3:價(jià)值因子分層回(滬深30)數(shù)據(jù)來(lái)源:,ind 數(shù)據(jù)來(lái)源:,ind圖3:價(jià)值因子C序列及累計(jì)(中證50) 圖4:價(jià)值因子分層回(中證50) 數(shù)據(jù)來(lái)源:,ind 數(shù)據(jù)來(lái)源:,ind圖4:價(jià)值因子C序列及累計(jì)(中證10) 圖4:價(jià)值因子分層回(中證100) 數(shù)據(jù)來(lái)源:,ind 數(shù)據(jù)來(lái)源:,ind流動(dòng)性流動(dòng)性子的C序以及分回測(cè)圖明,動(dòng)性因在整個(gè)測(cè)期中,在wnd全A及證100成分股池占,著優(yōu)其兩股最一月中,流動(dòng)性因子在除滬深30外均表現(xiàn)良好。從細(xì)分因子來(lái)看,上個(gè)月在中證500中表現(xiàn)較好的細(xì)分因子有3月?lián)Q手率標(biāo)準(zhǔn)差_unove_sd_3(多頭超額0.73;上個(gè)月在中證1000中表現(xiàn)較好的細(xì)分因子有1月非流動(dòng)性沖擊_qudy_k_1(頭超額0.6圖4:流動(dòng)性因子C序列及累計(jì)(d全)圖4:流動(dòng)性因子分層測(cè)(d全)數(shù)據(jù)來(lái)源:,ind 數(shù)據(jù)來(lái)源:,ind圖4:流動(dòng)性因子C序列及累計(jì)(滬深3) 圖4:流動(dòng)性因子分層測(cè)(滬深30)數(shù)據(jù)來(lái)源:,ind 數(shù)據(jù)來(lái)源:,ind圖4:流動(dòng)性因子C序列及累計(jì)(中證5) 圖4:流動(dòng)性因子分層測(cè)(中證50)數(shù)據(jù)來(lái)源:,ind 數(shù)據(jù)來(lái)源:,ind圖4:流動(dòng)性因子C序列及累計(jì)(中證10) 圖5:流動(dòng)性因子分層測(cè)(中證10)數(shù)據(jù)來(lái)源:,ind 數(shù)據(jù)來(lái)源:,ind動(dòng)量、反轉(zhuǎn)從動(dòng)量反因的C序列圖及分層測(cè)凈可以看,在整回測(cè)間,在wnd全A深300票池均向在最一中動(dòng)及轉(zhuǎn)子在除深00中證500外有向現(xiàn)從分子來(lái),個(gè)在深0中表現(xiàn)較的分有1月平反子_eve_avg_1(頭額1.1;上個(gè)在證000中較好細(xì)因有1平均轉(zhuǎn)子_ve_ag_1m(多額2.2圖5:動(dòng)量因子C序列及累計(jì)(d全) 圖5:動(dòng)量因子分層回(d全) 數(shù)據(jù)來(lái)源:,ind 數(shù)據(jù)來(lái)源:,ind圖5:動(dòng)量因子C序列及累計(jì)(滬深30) 圖5:動(dòng)量因子分層回(滬深30)數(shù)據(jù)來(lái)源:,ind 數(shù)據(jù)來(lái)源:,ind圖5:動(dòng)量因子C序列及累計(jì)(中證50) 圖5:動(dòng)量因子分層回(中證50)數(shù)據(jù)來(lái)源:,ind 數(shù)據(jù)來(lái)源:,ind圖5:動(dòng)量因子C序列及累計(jì)(中證10) 圖5:動(dòng)量因子分層回(中證100)數(shù)據(jù)來(lái)源:,ind 數(shù)據(jù)來(lái)源:,ind技術(shù)整個(gè)測(cè)間看技因子除證00的池現(xiàn)優(yōu)在近月,技術(shù)除證500的池正表。細(xì)因子看上月滬深300中表現(xiàn)好細(xì)因有R(C0.77,頭額154BAS(C10.0,多頭超額1.1圖5:技術(shù)因子C序列及累計(jì)(d全) 圖6:技術(shù)因子分層回(d全)數(shù)據(jù)來(lái)源:,ind 數(shù)據(jù)來(lái)源:,ind圖6:技術(shù)因子C序列及累計(jì)(滬深30) 圖6:技術(shù)因子分層回(滬深30)數(shù)據(jù)來(lái)源:,ind 數(shù)據(jù)來(lái)源:,ind圖6:技術(shù)因子C序列及累計(jì)(中證50) 圖6:技術(shù)因子分層回(中證50)數(shù)據(jù)來(lái)源:,ind 數(shù)據(jù)來(lái)源:,ind圖6:技術(shù)因子C序列及累計(jì)(中證10) 圖6:技術(shù)因子分層回(中證100) 數(shù)據(jù)來(lái)源:,ind 數(shù)據(jù)來(lái)源:,ind財(cái)務(wù)細(xì)分因子跟蹤表:財(cái)務(wù)細(xì)分因子測(cè)結(jié)果(d全)細(xì)分因子 最近一月 近一年ICIC 均值

回測(cè)期間IC均值

最近一多頭超

近一年頭超額

回測(cè)期多頭超oa_qa 0.82%oe_qa 1.06%e_a_qa 0.05%pos_o_cos_qa 0.51%oc_qa 0.21%oa_qa_yy 4.99%e_a_qa_yy 4.82%eps_basc_qa_yy 4.75%opo_qa_yy 5.25%ope_ev_ua_yy 5.80%po_o_eb_qa 0.25%veoy_uove_qa 2.84%acc_cv_uove_qa 5.52%ope_ecas_o_pe_ev_m 2.23%o_asses_cas_ecovey_m 1.33%oasse_uove_qa 2.61%dv_ao_m 2.55%co_peg 6.68%co_oe 1.83%co_o_yy 6.40%co_oe_yy 11.05%數(shù)據(jù)來(lái)源:,ind

1.37%1.14%0.32%0.53%1.11%0.41%0.30%0.56%0.24%0.25%0.79%0.02%1.76%0.32%0.33%0.10%4.11%2.42%0.37%0.34%1.27%

1.39% 1.55%1.66% 1.60%1.33% 1.94%1.73% 1.70%1.61% 1.41%1.50% 1.90%1.14% 1.94%1.60% 2.15%1.43% 2.14%1.54% 2.44%0.89% 1.96%1.71% 1.15%1.54% 0.73%1.30% 1.96%1.71% 1.69%1.11% 1.10%3.40% 2.17%1.56% 2.30%0.78% 2.16%0.73% 2.37%1.05% 2.48%

5.99%6.78%6.44%5.58%6.08%14.06%15.03%13.71%13.12%11.39%5.05%12.39%18.49%10.13%10.62%13.00%17.43%16.55%11.96%10.87%14.15%

16.12%17.26%7.16%9.85%17.76%27.94%27.82%28.98%28.88%28.48%11.80%12.98%29.55%7.42%17.30%18.90%23.10%29.67%16.91%24.12%23.62%表:財(cái)務(wù)細(xì)分因子測(cè)結(jié)果(滬深3)細(xì)分因子 最近一月 近一年ICIC 均值

回測(cè)期間IC均值

最近一多頭超

近一年頭超額

回測(cè)期多頭超oa_qa 0.51%oe_qa 1.87%e_a_qa 3.81%pos_o_cos_qa 1.82%oc_qa 1.83%oa_qa_yy 6.51%e_a_qa_yy 12.51%eps_basc_qa_yy 1.81%opo_qa_yy 0.68%ope_ev_ua_yy 0.17%po_o_eb_qa 2.92%veoy_uove_qa 7.26%acc_cv_uove_qa 2.99%ope_ecas_o_pe_ev_m 5.08%o_asses_cas_ecovey_m 0.66%oasse_uove_qa 5.95%dv_ao_m 14.11%co_peg 10.29%co_oe 0.72%co_o_yy 6.48%co_oe_yy 13.85%數(shù)據(jù)來(lái)源:,ind

4.47% 4.815 0.41%5.81% 0.52% 0.65%3.21% 1.57% 0.82%2.72% 1.78% 0.48%4.67% 0.01% 0.65%1.28% 0.74% 3.37%0.89% 0.81% 3.86%0.82% 0.14% 3.37%0.43% 0.12% 2.44%0.70% 1.82% 1.43%0.60% 0.32% 0.76%0.64% 0.81% 0.63%3.01% 0.80% 1.27%1.16% 1.41% 1.06%0.34% 1.03% 1.40%1.82% 1.58% 0.54%6.72% 2.47% 3.16%3.09% 0.53% 0.18%6.04% 0.24% 1.17%4.11% 0.59% 1.54%1.75% 0.44% 2.79%

0.56%2.77%0.17%0.94%2.24%1.94%0.78%2.56%3.46%4.31%1.18%8.58%11.13%7.21%2.67%4.44%13.71%2.06%0.26%2.00%1.57%

3.23%3.71%1.00%1.69%8.62%7.01%3.62%7.46%5.38%12.49%1.08%4.26%9.03%3.30%2.10%1.42%3.02%21.60%2.60%4.31%15.92%表:財(cái)務(wù)細(xì)分因子測(cè)結(jié)果(中證5)細(xì)分因子 最近一月 近一年ICIC 均值

回測(cè)期間IC均值

最近一多頭超

近一年頭超額

回測(cè)期多頭超oa_qa 5.64%oe_qa 2.98%e_a_qa 7.55%pos_o_cos_qa 7.92%oc_qa 6.71%oa_qa_yy 2.30%

2.03%1.77%2.59%2.75%1.36%0.09%

0.58% 1.23%1.32% 1.72%0.76% 0.93%1.15% 1.07%1.41% 1.61%1.44% 0.24%

0.85% 2.86%3.99% 11.30%1.10% 11.46%0.04% 5.91%2.97% 12.11%5.68% 14.18%e_a_qa_yyeps_basc_qa_yy

4.94%7.13%

0.04%0.08%

1.29% 0.20%1.28% 0.15%

8.48%9.01%

14.68%21.55%opo_qa_yy

5.98%

0.96%

1.78%

0.01%

9.58%

20.95%ope_ev_ua_yypo_o_eb_qaveoy_uove_qaacc_cv_uove_qaope_ecas_o_pe_ev_mo_asses_cas_ecovey_moasse_uove_qadv_ao_mco_pegco_oeco_o_yyco_oe_yy數(shù)據(jù)來(lái)源:,ind

6.04%5.72%8.92%7.73%5.71%4.52%1.03%0.19%2.46%1.18%5.24%8.07%

0.37%1.62%1.59%2.05%0.17%1.29%0.66%5.26%1.79%0.58%0.42%1.29%

1.76%0.10%3.02%0.18%0.43%1.29%1.64%2.58%0.36%0.79%0.53%1.08%

0.44%1.67%2.46%0.77%0.32%1.07%1.59%1.46%0.80%0.16%0.08%1.46%

5.00%1.17%11.06%18.27%4.59%10.81%11.52%18.77%5.29%7.43%4.79%7.36%

8.05%2.80%16.90%23.19%11.06%11.31%19.01%6.79%6.51%5.49%8.42%3.04%表:財(cái)務(wù)細(xì)分因子測(cè)結(jié)果(中證10)細(xì)分因子 最近一月 近一年ICIC 均值

回測(cè)期間IC均值

最近一多頭超

近一年頭超額

回測(cè)期多頭超oa_qa 0.39%oe_qa 2.21%e_a_qa 0.85%pos_o_cos_qa 1.72%oc_qa 0.74%

0.39%0.96%1.28%1.00%1.11%

2.26%2.75%2.15%2.32%2.57%

0.49%0.14%0.20%0.24%0.70%

4.54%8.15%4.08%3.50%5.85%

6.92%17.96%3.92%2.81%9.84%oa_qa_yye_a_qa_yyeps_basc_qa_yyopo_qa_yyope_ev_ua_yypo_o_eb_qaveoy_uove_qaacc_cv_uove_qaope_ecas_o_pe_ev_mo_asses_cas_ecovey_moasse_uove_qadv_ao_mco_pegco_oeco_o_yyco_oe_yy數(shù)據(jù)來(lái)源:,ind

5.39%3.77%1.09%5.49%7.56%2.34%4.42%6.81%7.15%5.86%4.96%0.74%7.89%0.87%7.38%9.72%

0.73%0.34%1.51%1.07%0.49%1.23%0.30%1.04%0.37%1.04%0.75%2.83%4.39%3.22%2.01%3.33%

2.02%1.34%2.43%1.60%2.42%1.83%1.86%1.51%1.35%2.02%2.15%2.55%2.36%1.41%1.55%1.51%

0.17%0.15%0.33%0.12%0.07%0.10%7.760.17%0.46%0.30%0.02%0.45%0.37%0.40%0.50%0.83%

11.05%9.70%10.06%10.93%8.33%5.04%6.46%11.25%4.48%6.30%11.05%17.32%17.13%13.19%11.55%14.54%

17.76%13.00%16.93%13.86%18.87%5.25%2.99%7.52%7.08%2.44%8.89%23.12%17.18%0.46%14.54%10.57%盈利盈利子整回區(qū)上,在wnd全A中證000分股具相穩(wěn)表現(xiàn)。最一中盈因證50有的表。細(xì)因來(lái),個(gè)月在wnd全A中利分因均現(xiàn)差單度凈率ne_ag_qu(超額194,季成費(fèi)用率poo_co_qu多超額1.70圖6:盈利因子C序列及累計(jì)(d全) 圖6:盈利因子分層回(d全)數(shù)據(jù)來(lái)源:,ind 數(shù)據(jù)來(lái)源:,ind圖6:盈利因子C序列及累計(jì)(滬深30) 圖7:盈利因子分層回(滬深30)數(shù)據(jù)來(lái)源:,ind 數(shù)據(jù)來(lái)源:,ind圖7:盈利因子C序列及累計(jì)(中證50) 圖7:盈利因子分層回(中證50)數(shù)據(jù)來(lái)源:,ind 數(shù)據(jù)來(lái)源:,ind圖7:盈利因子C序列及累計(jì)(中證10) 圖7:盈利因子分層回(中證100)數(shù)據(jù)來(lái)源:,ind 數(shù)據(jù)來(lái)源:,ind成長(zhǎng)成長(zhǎng)因子整個(gè)測(cè)區(qū),在證100成分票池有相對(duì)優(yōu)的現(xiàn)。在最近月,長(zhǎng)子四個(gè)票中現(xiàn)不。細(xì)因上月在wd全A和深30表出回。圖7:成長(zhǎng)因子C序列及累計(jì)(d全) 圖7:成長(zhǎng)因子分層回(d全)數(shù)據(jù)來(lái)源:,ind 數(shù)據(jù)來(lái)源:,ind圖7:成長(zhǎng)因子C序列及累計(jì)(滬深30) 圖7:成長(zhǎng)因子分層回(滬深30)數(shù)據(jù)來(lái)源:,ind 數(shù)據(jù)來(lái)源:,ind圖7:成長(zhǎng)因子C序列及累計(jì)(中證50) 圖:成長(zhǎng)因子分層回(中證50)數(shù)據(jù)來(lái)源:,ind 數(shù)據(jù)來(lái)源:,ind圖8:成長(zhǎng)因子C序列及累計(jì)(中證10) 圖8:成長(zhǎng)因子分層回(中證100) 數(shù)據(jù)來(lái)源:,ind 數(shù)據(jù)來(lái)源:,ind質(zhì)量質(zhì)量子整回區(qū)在wnd全A和中證00股池有較穩(wěn)的表現(xiàn)。最一中質(zhì)因子證500票有正的現(xiàn)從分子來(lái),上個(gè)月在中證50中表現(xiàn)較好的細(xì)分因子有單季度存貨周轉(zhuǎn)率nvenoy_unoe_qu(頭額2.4單度潤(rùn)債比率po_o_debqua(多額1.6圖8:質(zhì)量因子C序列及累計(jì)(d全) 圖8:質(zhì)量因子分層回(d全)數(shù)據(jù)來(lái)源:,ind 數(shù)據(jù)來(lái)源:,ind圖8:質(zhì)量因子C序列及累計(jì)(滬深30) 圖8:質(zhì)量因子分層回(滬深30) 數(shù)據(jù)來(lái)源:,ind 數(shù)據(jù)來(lái)源:,ind圖8:質(zhì)量因子C序列及累計(jì)(中證50) 圖8:質(zhì)量因子分層回(中證50)數(shù)據(jù)來(lái)源:,ind 數(shù)據(jù)來(lái)源:,ind圖8:質(zhì)量因子C序列及累計(jì)(中證10) 圖9:質(zhì)量因子分層回(中證100)數(shù)據(jù)來(lái)源:,ind 數(shù)據(jù)來(lái)源:,ind紅利紅利子整回區(qū)上表較平。最一月,利子在wd全A和證100獲正超收益。圖9:紅利因子C序列及累計(jì)(d全) 圖9:紅利因子分層回(d全)數(shù)據(jù)來(lái)源:,ind 數(shù)據(jù)來(lái)源:,ind圖9:紅利因子C序列及累計(jì)(滬深30) 圖9:紅利因子分層回(滬深30)數(shù)據(jù)來(lái)源:,ind 數(shù)據(jù)來(lái)源:,ind圖9:紅利因子C序列及累計(jì)(中證50) 圖9:紅利因子分層回(中證50) 數(shù)據(jù)來(lái)源:,ind 數(shù)據(jù)來(lái)源:,ind圖9:紅利因子C序列及累計(jì)(中證10) 圖9:紅利因子分層回(中證100)數(shù)據(jù)來(lái)源:,ind 數(shù)據(jù)來(lái)源:,ind一致預(yù)期一致期子整回區(qū)間在wind全A證1000票中現(xiàn)。在最近一月中,一致預(yù)期因子在四個(gè)股票池中表現(xiàn)均為負(fù)向。從細(xì)分因子來(lái)看,上個(gè)月在證500中現(xiàn)的細(xì)因是致期Gnpeg多超額%圖9:預(yù)期因子C序列及累計(jì)(wd全) 圖10:預(yù)期因子分層測(cè)wd全) 數(shù)據(jù)來(lái)源:,朝陽(yáng)永續(xù),wind 數(shù)據(jù)來(lái)源:,朝陽(yáng)永續(xù),wind圖10:預(yù)期因子C序列及累計(jì)(滬深30) 圖10:預(yù)期因子分層測(cè)(滬深30)數(shù)據(jù)來(lái)源:,朝陽(yáng)永續(xù),wind 數(shù)據(jù)來(lái)源:,朝陽(yáng)永續(xù),wind圖10:預(yù)期因子C序列及累計(jì)(中證50) 圖10:預(yù)期因子分層測(cè)(中證50)數(shù)據(jù)來(lái)源:,朝陽(yáng)永續(xù),wind 數(shù)據(jù)來(lái)源:,朝陽(yáng)永續(xù),wind圖10:預(yù)期因子C序列及累計(jì)(中證10) 圖10:預(yù)期因子分層測(cè)(中證10)數(shù)據(jù)來(lái)源:,朝陽(yáng)永續(xù),wind 數(shù)據(jù)來(lái)源:,朝陽(yáng)永續(xù),wind附錄一:因子測(cè)試方法在使用因子數(shù)據(jù)進(jìn)行測(cè)試時(shí),首先需要對(duì)因子數(shù)據(jù)進(jìn)行預(yù)處理。因子數(shù)據(jù)預(yù)處理一般包括缺失值處理、去極值、標(biāo)準(zhǔn)化、市值中性化、行業(yè)中性化與因子正交化等。缺失值處理:缺失值填補(bǔ)的方法包括插值法、前值填充法、中位數(shù)填充法等,為保證理法回,們一采前填的式填缺值。去極值:因子值需要滿(mǎn)足一個(gè)合理的分布區(qū)間,在數(shù)據(jù)搜集和計(jì)算的過(guò)程中,可能會(huì)產(chǎn)生異常值,影響后續(xù)研究,因此需要在截面上對(duì)因子的極端值進(jìn)行處理,這一方面可以排除錯(cuò)誤數(shù)據(jù),另一方面使因子的分布更合理。去極值可以有效避免存在異常數(shù)據(jù)的個(gè)股被選入策略組合對(duì)策略收益造成負(fù)面影響。常見(jiàn)的去極值方法包括縮尾法、中位數(shù)法和三倍標(biāo)準(zhǔn)差法。例如,縮尾法將因子值在截面上從小到排,后指分位區(qū)之的端替換分點(diǎn)值。??={

?????), ??>1???(??,??(??, ??<??(??,??, ????????.其中????為子??的??分位數(shù)????去極以的正值。標(biāo)準(zhǔn)化:不同因子的量綱有差別,所以需要對(duì)數(shù)據(jù)進(jìn)行標(biāo)準(zhǔn)化,以便于對(duì)不同量綱的子行較分。一用oe方對(duì)因數(shù)進(jìn)標(biāo)化。??

=?????,??其中,??為截面上因子暴露序列??的均值,為因子暴露序列??的標(biāo)準(zhǔn)差,??為標(biāo)準(zhǔn)化的子。中性化:同行業(yè)、不同市值、不同風(fēng)格的股票因子分布可能會(huì)存在顯著差異,所以在單因子測(cè)試之前,應(yīng)對(duì)因子進(jìn)行處理,剔除掉因子中包含的其他因素。在實(shí)際操中一會(huì)慮業(yè)、值中化。行業(yè)中性化的方法有兩種,一是使用行業(yè)啞變量對(duì)因子進(jìn)行LS回歸,使用得的殘代因值第種方是行對(duì)子行標(biāo)化。市值中性化采用市值(或?qū)?shù)市值)對(duì)因子值進(jìn)行OS回歸,使用得到的殘差替因子值。由于回歸后的殘差與所有自變量均正交,一般會(huì)同時(shí)進(jìn)行行業(yè)和市值的中性化處理,將行業(yè)因子和市值因子一起納入線(xiàn)性模型進(jìn)行回歸,回歸后得到的殘即去了業(yè)素和值素響的子值公如:??=∑??,??????+??,??????+??,??其中,??為??時(shí)刻單因子在截面上的因子暴露向量,????為所有股票在??行業(yè)的暴露向量,????為股票在市值(或?qū)?shù)市值)上的暴露向量,??,??、??,????為對(duì)應(yīng)的行業(yè)和值子益??為回歸得殘,行市值性后因暴。在因子數(shù)據(jù)預(yù)處理完成之后,就開(kāi)始對(duì)因子進(jìn)行測(cè)試。因子測(cè)試環(huán)節(jié)主要包括C分析分回與歸析。C分析:主要衡因子截面的選股力。因的C值指的因子??期暴露??與??+期收??+1之的n相系,即????=??????(??,??+1),其中??+1為時(shí)??到時(shí)刻??+1的所有股票的收益率序列,??為數(shù)據(jù)預(yù)處理后的因子暴露。C值衡量了一個(gè)股票池中,因子本期暴露度和個(gè)股下期收益率之間的線(xiàn)性相關(guān)程度,也可認(rèn)為其反映了利用該因子預(yù)測(cè)下期股票收益率的穩(wěn)健程度。C的絕對(duì)值越大表明該因子越有效,選股能力越強(qiáng)。在實(shí)際應(yīng)用中,ean相關(guān)系數(shù)易受到極端值的影響,先對(duì)因子暴露和收益率序列在截面上進(jìn)行排序得到排序值,再求相關(guān)數(shù)得的pean秩相關(guān)數(shù)則能健的表現(xiàn)子與收率間的相關(guān)系所通用n相系Rnk)行C析。分層回測(cè):在每一期截面上對(duì)因子暴露進(jìn)行排序打分,根據(jù)因子得分將股票池分為??層,然后觀測(cè)每一層資產(chǎn)組合累計(jì)收益的表現(xiàn)情況,這是進(jìn)行因子有效性評(píng)最直觀的方法。分層回測(cè)法

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