第十五章 項(xiàng)目風(fēng)險(xiǎn)評(píng)估管理

第十五章

項(xiàng)目風(fēng)險(xiǎn)評(píng)估管理一、項(xiàng)目風(fēng)險(xiǎn)管理概念風(fēng)險(xiǎn)性與不確定性確定型風(fēng)險(xiǎn)型不確定型P=1σ=3？??一、項(xiàng)目風(fēng)險(xiǎn)管理概念風(fēng)險(xiǎn)是指損失發(fā)生的不確定性(或可能性)。一項(xiàng)行動(dòng)具有多種可能性，且其將來的結(jié)果是不肯定的，就叫做有風(fēng)險(xiǎn)。做沒有把握的事情，可能會(huì)有風(fēng)險(xiǎn)。風(fēng)險(xiǎn)是一種不確定性，不確定性不一定都表現(xiàn)為風(fēng)險(xiǎn)。一逐、項(xiàng)迅目弓風(fēng)瀉險(xiǎn)飯管希理辭概棕念項(xiàng)迫目詢風(fēng)仔險(xiǎn)項(xiàng)炮目旬風(fēng)勾險(xiǎn)欄就期是亭項(xiàng)孝目鞠壽彎命棕周頌期軟內(nèi)噸的汗風(fēng)地險(xiǎn)底，餓即稅可緒能就導(dǎo)脅致值項(xiàng)六目說損綠失漢的慘不趨確得定卻性攏。項(xiàng)女目圣壽魯命吸周查期熊各虜階暫段麗可報(bào)能碗的踐風(fēng)菠險(xiǎn)何事陪件吼如匪圖8程-甜1（白轉(zhuǎn)婦下梅一畏頁靜）援所辯示樸。項(xiàng)唯目壘風(fēng)綁險(xiǎn)想是梁所問有畢影惑響是項(xiàng)舞目仆目嘩標(biāo)敬實(shí)賀現(xiàn)兔的孫不脆確喉定純性鑒因虛素個(gè)集分合鉗。風(fēng)潮險(xiǎn)=名?（紫事亦件滲、孔不刃確涼定籠性互、嶺結(jié)美果拌）風(fēng)詢險(xiǎn)=亦?（熔事購故次、守安野全卷措原施責(zé)）風(fēng)終險(xiǎn)勾隨蜜著經(jīng)不精確紐奉定模性籌和鄉(xiāng)豐結(jié)度果恩的貝嚴(yán)蛾重釘性數(shù)增儉加慢而咽增幸大稠，它隨擋著騰安謊全銷措童施反的羞增冒加擠而坊減并小誤。缺湯少唯相醫(yī)應(yīng)壞專預(yù)業(yè)陸的專弄家對(duì)炕問子題班界圓定帽不統(tǒng)清沒浸有雹做蛾可汁行伴性滴研究目迅標(biāo)民不牛清沒悠有師風(fēng)占險(xiǎn)屠管成理曉計(jì)劃倉附促巡壽計(jì)染劃缺辨少吩管過理魂層坐支列持職尸能浩界游定輸差項(xiàng)垂目候隊(duì)較伍腸缺薪乏洋經(jīng)驗(yàn)勞反動(dòng)羨力移技敢能貫不吩夠材祥料窄短逮缺罷很工天綠氣范評(píng)圍剩改蝦變項(xiàng)砌目粒進(jìn)頂程稿改渡變環(huán)顛境壺要及求沒內(nèi)有肯適抬當(dāng)咱的表控具制體穗系質(zhì)危量衣差客珍戶陣不帥能原接魯受現(xiàn)跑金殃流蘭量若出鴿現(xiàn)即問題階望段1概斥念/立廣項(xiàng)(垃C極O罵N領(lǐng)C雨E柳P緒T擦)誓(嗚C防)階櫻段2開泳發(fā)(架D貫E巴V歸E治L刊O翼P從)職(捧D看)階將段3實(shí)篩施(芬E愿X播E辜C沈U找T紹E喉)屬(詞E并)階綁段4收善尾須（F啄I遍N享I族S睛H刷)兵(盒F絕)機(jī)饒會(huì)主和短風(fēng)氏險(xiǎn)擁否有活的碰賭句注遍本蜓金眨量瘡（勺得士失慈量胸）風(fēng)辛險(xiǎn)罰發(fā)頭生五最狡高雕時(shí)香期風(fēng)費(fèi)險(xiǎn)框影驅(qū)響?yīng)z最急高扮時(shí)雅期時(shí)迅間各少階穿段質(zhì)典恨型朱的影風(fēng)芹險(xiǎn)榨事丙件風(fēng)斯險(xiǎn)檔上糾升價(jià)燈值$計(jì)弄?jiǎng)澩曛鄢烧麌槀€(gè)禍項(xiàng)建目肅生象命鞭周吃期圖8斬-途1典值型俯項(xiàng)融目漢生帖命玩周綠期郊內(nèi)蟲風(fēng)多險(xiǎn)小與球賭示注貴本臭金依（得得責(zé)失葛量晉）暮的共變權(quán)化一速、范項(xiàng)景目峽風(fēng)香險(xiǎn)種管走理幕概沉念風(fēng)幸險(xiǎn)條管忠理風(fēng)列險(xiǎn)巨管牽理典強(qiáng)億調(diào)昂：唉風(fēng)沾險(xiǎn)拍的愧控殊制猛，男風(fēng)飽險(xiǎn)轟的史分未散色，段風(fēng)象險(xiǎn)作的錯(cuò)補(bǔ)暈償冒，找風(fēng)夸險(xiǎn)戒的指轉(zhuǎn)矛嫁俗，體風(fēng)蠻險(xiǎn)籠的積防規(guī)止笑，橫風(fēng)槐險(xiǎn)遵的宜回霉避鳳與股抵遙消館。風(fēng)晴險(xiǎn)嬸管頑理綱是熟識(shí)首別雖和箏評(píng)萍估測(cè)風(fēng)迷險(xiǎn)捆，低建械立趙、婚選敏擇吧、貴管魂理灣和貞解憤決倉風(fēng)漢險(xiǎn)床的塔可誼選衛(wèi)方客案雜的哈組加織筐方凝法革。項(xiàng)榨目跌風(fēng)陰險(xiǎn)丹管抄理嗎就梨是平對(duì)威項(xiàng)盯目零壽貪命拌周迷期泳中階可生能貧遇痕到梳的齊風(fēng)壘險(xiǎn)級(jí)進(jìn)拼行落預(yù)惰測(cè)潔、嘗識(shí)偉別醫(yī)、疊評(píng)豪估他、窩分萬析您并個(gè)處離置誤風(fēng)賓險(xiǎn)禾，歸以溪最賭低破成巧本忽實(shí)皆現(xiàn)刷最寺大昏的增安撿全競(jìng)保高障呢。項(xiàng)錘目爬風(fēng)例險(xiǎn)耽管裕理狀過跪程艷（膀見占圖8襯-劇2）1風(fēng)盒險(xiǎn)免識(shí)桶別.姓1輸惱入扣（扇依堵?lián)唬?運(yùn)1產(chǎn)昆品俊描友述.趴2其畝他類計(jì)售劃雕編辟制烏的壘輸罰出.白3歷棟史已信芬息.續(xù)2工耳具爆及千技淡術(shù).密1檢福查籍表.蛇2繪圾制靈流高程豎圖.霞3訪視問胖調(diào)田查.鉛3輸毫出恥（嗚結(jié)慌果贏）.拉1風(fēng)兔險(xiǎn)李來洪源.育2潛黃在枕的菌風(fēng)文險(xiǎn)債事汪件.刑3風(fēng)牙險(xiǎn)摸征影兆.該4其辮他咐過棗程盲的秋輸捆入3風(fēng)鮮險(xiǎn)足應(yīng)膏對(duì)映措糞施剃開勢(shì)發(fā).掠1輸鈔入論（煎依灣據(jù)心）.隨1應(yīng)軟抓嶄住殃的盆機(jī)程會(huì)碑和車須搏應(yīng)父對(duì)存的療威匹脅.漿2可舌放擴(kuò)棄蚊的事機(jī)棍會(huì)碌和謝可若接仁受留的暑威塑脅.組2工掛具愚及奧技悅術(shù).騙1采溉購.徒2應(yīng)臺(tái)急拿計(jì)女劃蓋編雁制.化3替葡代爺方翻案溉策沒略.結(jié)4?？咫U(xiǎn).爐3輸勻出側(cè)（銅結(jié)域果壓）.螺1風(fēng)弊險(xiǎn)添管恰理泉計(jì)呢劃.袖2其藍(lán)他非過同程桃的尋輸丑入.素3應(yīng)薄急悼計(jì)眾劃.鋪4儲(chǔ)預(yù)備疑金.六5契忙約趕性涉協(xié)階議2風(fēng)劇險(xiǎn)磁量眠化.耳1輸仙入靠（橫依詞據(jù)雕）.抬1項(xiàng)踏目糟干錯(cuò)系雕人蝕的日風(fēng)濃險(xiǎn)魚承么受星能特力.決2風(fēng)蛙險(xiǎn)醬來占源.眠3潛痰在猴的熄風(fēng)澤險(xiǎn)度事組件.知4費(fèi)鋪用植估軟算.涂5活反動(dòng)賀歷塊時(shí)覆估興算.棕2工改具臨及蘋技侮術(shù).是1預(yù)娘計(jì)垃貨丟幣攀值.垃2統(tǒng)位計(jì)炊和.嶺3模津擬.醋4決覆策心樹.減5專必家景評(píng)硬定.摟3輸惑出腰（都結(jié)符果慎）.巷1應(yīng)茶抓熊住俱的備機(jī)悄會(huì)走和哪須陷應(yīng)睜對(duì)鄭的值威狐脅.媽2可淚放慮棄恒的師機(jī)搞會(huì)熄和尾可名接籮受掏的完威碰脅4風(fēng)嘩險(xiǎn)儲(chǔ)應(yīng)征對(duì)伐措垮施算控米制.峰1輸浙入穩(wěn)（擾依傾據(jù)晴）.金1風(fēng)貓險(xiǎn)籃管僵理甩計(jì)拉劃.晝2實(shí)抽際宇的占風(fēng)臭險(xiǎn)役事藍(lán)件.底3其甚他超風(fēng)鋸險(xiǎn)縱的籃識(shí)交別.來2工影具侮及寒技嗽術(shù).塊1權(quán)譯變年措果施.皺2附創(chuàng)加罪的犁風(fēng)巡壽險(xiǎn)牙應(yīng)輛對(duì)山措考施熱開使發(fā).備3輸傳出做（澡結(jié)冒果或）.冒1糾營正疼行腎動(dòng).胖2更激新攤的蹦風(fēng)嚴(yán)險(xiǎn)雄管軟理抗計(jì)樸劃項(xiàng)松目扶風(fēng)描險(xiǎn)究管桃理圖8角-迅2風(fēng)毛險(xiǎn)咱管綢理盼過掃程一雞、圣項(xiàng)輕目久風(fēng)杜險(xiǎn)廚管該理收概踐念風(fēng)侮險(xiǎn)所的示產(chǎn)歸生杯與沃分吧類風(fēng)德險(xiǎn)板產(chǎn)宋生環(huán)的鍋原班因鐘（路風(fēng)顏險(xiǎn)胖管肯理活界盈有熱不譽(yù)同糊的臟說眾法崖）風(fēng)候險(xiǎn)矛產(chǎn)犯生配于魯主蜻、凡客畫觀比世福界洗的貨背宜離撥；風(fēng)谷險(xiǎn)昏產(chǎn)告生襯于監(jiān)事淘物黨的偉偶插然親性遮；風(fēng)解險(xiǎn)吧產(chǎn)揉生幼于晚外診界睡的回干熄擾調(diào)；風(fēng)域險(xiǎn)國產(chǎn)鋤生寒于彩人益?zhèn)兏暗膴史丘W正瞇常譽(yù)行壤為沫；風(fēng)散險(xiǎn)蟻產(chǎn)灣生不于寨人扒們納為批消元除譜風(fēng)叔險(xiǎn)哀的容代涂價(jià)白與中風(fēng)軟險(xiǎn)漲可脈能伯造督成塌的寶損展失沸兩惰者展權(quán)侵衡皇的筍結(jié)瞇果滾。一捉、殃項(xiàng)吃目弓風(fēng)鮮險(xiǎn)牧管啞理何概昨念風(fēng)根險(xiǎn)室的關(guān)分失類控（論從虛不筑同襯的峽角暴度桑、領(lǐng)不恒同正的茅標(biāo)僚準(zhǔn)古，扇有翅不宿同稻的幼分巡壽類嬌）靜航態(tài)孟風(fēng)衡險(xiǎn)洞：燦社第會(huì)白經(jīng)山濟(jì)靠正礙常戀情驕況朗下邀的礎(chǔ)風(fēng)橋險(xiǎn)煩；間是黨自傲然休力得的筆不薯規(guī)凝則循作目用勻和侵人俊們敲的棋錯(cuò)針誤怕判遮斷勻和喜錯(cuò)梁誤追行齒為排導(dǎo)破致療的漿風(fēng)鴨險(xiǎn)子。資奧產(chǎn)雪的滲物躍理袍損佩失練；欺稼詐悉及住犯炎罪夕的寧損直失門；法燭律輸?shù)难佩e(cuò)縫誤帆判宋斷臂；利析潤羅的西減藍(lán)少輔；經(jīng)玩營塌者省行復(fù)為獻(xiàn)能筑力雨的趙喪毀失愿。一翼、碗項(xiàng)室目竟風(fēng)槐險(xiǎn)糾管言理血概僅念動(dòng)茅態(tài)堤風(fēng)撈險(xiǎn)臣：堵社襯會(huì)塔經(jīng)輝濟(jì)遍的舍變皆動(dòng)督為縮慧直遺接晨原藝因黑的循風(fēng)印險(xiǎn)緒；擠是造由鏡于齊人個(gè)們蒸欲縫望丈的床變滅化骨、炕生病產(chǎn)傭方違式毅和詞生蹈產(chǎn)頓技液術(shù)系的逝變朗化唱，述以小及謝企導(dǎo)業(yè)孝組抗織匠的植變洪化套導(dǎo)血致得的敞風(fēng)狐險(xiǎn)托。管訓(xùn)理絞風(fēng)懲險(xiǎn)蔬（繭包永括贈(zèng)市程場(chǎng)方、茶財(cái)撈務(wù)村和勤生皮產(chǎn)勁風(fēng)蠶險(xiǎn)艦等因）勒；政舊治激風(fēng)簽險(xiǎn)蜜；技蔽術(shù)耍革觀新趴風(fēng)容險(xiǎn)趙。一筍、鵝項(xiàng)抱目霜風(fēng)捎險(xiǎn)佩管楚理少概堪念有腸關(guān)商風(fēng)嗚險(xiǎn)倆的時(shí)幾涂個(gè)末問判題嚼討騾論為雞什須么瘋要肢冒據(jù)險(xiǎn)—匙—如拘何據(jù)看悄待絲式風(fēng)魯險(xiǎn)宅？風(fēng)絮險(xiǎn)斃的排客責(zé)觀瀉性—抓—人殼生職處凡處沉有座風(fēng)拆險(xiǎn)風(fēng)叛險(xiǎn)席的謹(jǐn)盈民利耳性—著—風(fēng)虛險(xiǎn)磁與友利溫潤中成環(huán)正飾比怎責(zé)樣兩冒攀險(xiǎn)遭？—紫—敢喉于桂冒伶險(xiǎn)腦和殺善袋于副冒泊險(xiǎn)學(xué)蛙會(huì)獵吃消梨斥子化他解館風(fēng)贈(zèng)險(xiǎn)凱的寇方項(xiàng)法二壁、擾項(xiàng)第目雀風(fēng)下險(xiǎn)肆管鉗理舉過籃程1億.項(xiàng)浩目選風(fēng)晃險(xiǎn)鮮識(shí)桶別1）濕項(xiàng)架目璃風(fēng)備險(xiǎn)罩識(shí)癢別惹要蛇解遷決槳的累三友個(gè)揉主沖要恢問貓題a壇.識(shí)雜別棗和欠確暈定唱項(xiàng)積目赴有跡哪便些龜潛虹在涂的攔風(fēng)笨險(xiǎn)b散.識(shí)傘別礦引枯起捉這細(xì)些青風(fēng)擱險(xiǎn)樓的款主萌要堂因信素c渡.識(shí)妙別秘項(xiàng)封目解風(fēng)被險(xiǎn)沃可美能帳引切起照的窄后溝果2）議項(xiàng)室目淋風(fēng)信險(xiǎn)哭識(shí)慶別爹所攔需獵要叉的筋信淚息甚和歸依貧據(jù)a嘉.項(xiàng)僵目害產(chǎn)夾出攻物董的處描神述b少.項(xiàng)鹽目眨的月計(jì)膜劃忍信繁息c叉.歷慘史挺資非料歷軋史仰項(xiàng)胃目眾的霉各嘴種腎原嫂始抬記璃錄商離業(yè)鈴性害歷救史嚇項(xiàng)唯目住信界息鉤資器料歷航史蝕項(xiàng)限目碰團(tuán)摩隊(duì)靜成炎員君的妙經(jīng)表驗(yàn)項(xiàng)育目米風(fēng)舍險(xiǎn)致識(shí)蜻別雨的求方豬法a及.系版統(tǒng)彼分糊解鋒法項(xiàng)箱目盛風(fēng)袖險(xiǎn)投曉資破風(fēng)任險(xiǎn)技龍術(shù)晝風(fēng)周險(xiǎn)經(jīng)哲營猶風(fēng)縱險(xiǎn)市搬場(chǎng)壇風(fēng)渾險(xiǎn)資罷源翁風(fēng)幼險(xiǎn)競(jìng)點(diǎn)爭(zhēng)飛風(fēng)催險(xiǎn)需支求菠風(fēng)衣險(xiǎn)替綱代袍風(fēng)掩險(xiǎn)圖8叫-最3項(xiàng)毒目農(nóng)風(fēng)背險(xiǎn)現(xiàn)系鈴統(tǒng)鬧分城解休示眼意略圖二摘、內(nèi)項(xiàng)套目蠅風(fēng)妙險(xiǎn)鉤管膜理目過礎(chǔ)程b肢.流蠢程恢圖申法c拍.風(fēng)深險(xiǎn)固因瓦素卷問窗詢閉法d獄.現(xiàn)高場(chǎng)辱視蔽察采法e緊.索鋸賠崗統(tǒng)舞計(jì)牲記偵錄戚法f原.情建景各分轟析首法分降析久和種識(shí)越別游項(xiàng)舟目辜風(fēng)感險(xiǎn)再的堆后匆果分佩析尸和話識(shí)耐別盟項(xiàng)爸目辱風(fēng)割險(xiǎn)桂可昏能橡波子及嶼的蒼范漲圍檢攝驗(yàn)嶄項(xiàng)坑目抖風(fēng)荒險(xiǎn)攝識(shí)紫別香的賢后穗果研盯究茂某鈔些摟關(guān)嗚鍵跨因鑼素號(hào)對(duì)奧項(xiàng)帽目莫風(fēng)腸險(xiǎn)屯影呆響二澤、拒項(xiàng)養(yǎng)目雞風(fēng)袋險(xiǎn)頭管奴理遙過廁程疑筋因墻估預(yù)計(jì)征倘兆瓦鑒躁別仔貨細(xì)潤檢艘查診斷篩短選監(jiān)知測(cè)圖8籃-稠4情鋪景哪分購析膊法鐵風(fēng)政險(xiǎn)班識(shí)催別貿(mào)工暈作衣示顆意勇圖二姜、鼻項(xiàng)掀目繪風(fēng)構(gòu)險(xiǎn)馬管精理荷過鑄程項(xiàng)疼目伙風(fēng)閱險(xiǎn)離識(shí)升別役的孫結(jié)捐果識(shí)鼠別嫁出艘的筋項(xiàng)枕目蜻風(fēng)顆險(xiǎn)項(xiàng)造目刻風(fēng)側(cè)險(xiǎn)阿發(fā)以生利的給概誦率頂大羞小齒估柔計(jì)盛；項(xiàng)每目宮風(fēng)義險(xiǎn)分可矩能將發(fā)賄生群的駱時(shí)散間的、哨范汪圍賞；項(xiàng)遭目印風(fēng)女險(xiǎn)探可朽能沿影辰響烤的裁范身圍嗽；項(xiàng)彈目流風(fēng)灘險(xiǎn)希事扔件潤帶愁來制的襲損勝失侍。潛體在形的京項(xiàng)娘目燒風(fēng)詳險(xiǎn)項(xiàng)脂目牛風(fēng)綿險(xiǎn)冒的篇征映兆二脆、傷項(xiàng)雞目曾風(fēng)偏險(xiǎn)雕管殺理晉過律程項(xiàng)藏目特風(fēng)倘險(xiǎn)舍評(píng)槍估漲（研度潛量殊）項(xiàng)范目伍風(fēng)敲險(xiǎn)川度豬量迷的挨主稱要寄內(nèi)柜容項(xiàng)武目背風(fēng)超險(xiǎn)梁發(fā)艇生溫可脆能鄙性躺的沉度聲量項(xiàng)雀目瀉風(fēng)場(chǎng)險(xiǎn)畏后駛果幟嚴(yán)勺重衫程以度鋒的酬度鮮量項(xiàng)容目紙風(fēng)澡險(xiǎn)填影誕響舞范牽圍慨的稅度悲量項(xiàng)寫目淋風(fēng)偏險(xiǎn)簡(jiǎn)發(fā)躍生首時(shí)階間很的佳度郊量項(xiàng)缺目真風(fēng)綁險(xiǎn)柿識(shí)什別弱與蘆度競(jìng)量華過環(huán)程關(guān)（添圖8孔-記5）開超發(fā)勒建堅(jiān)立殘項(xiàng)慈目抽風(fēng)突險(xiǎn)俗管火理哥信搜息汪系炸統(tǒng)跟封蹤證、向收哄集今、腔處耳理們和充生澤成絨有認(rèn)關(guān)真項(xiàng)豎目活拉動(dòng)析于覆過圖程碗的葡風(fēng)載險(xiǎn)招信致息項(xiàng)粘目些是嫁否季存付在襖風(fēng)階險(xiǎn)的拴分蹦析飲與肚判寶斷對(duì)財(cái)項(xiàng)己目靠的沸風(fēng)哈險(xiǎn)朝進(jìn)閘行刮分纖類廟分活析壯，給厭出產(chǎn)風(fēng)靜險(xiǎn)任分檢類對(duì)錯(cuò)項(xiàng)本目鎖全殺部材風(fēng)妙險(xiǎn)配進(jìn)筆行爛概拔率洋大棚小及炕其望分這布夜的遠(yuǎn)分積析丑與挽確滔定對(duì)偉全蠢部悟風(fēng)但險(xiǎn)為進(jìn)峰行府原異因蘭分鵲析幕，給飛出散各觸風(fēng)魚險(xiǎn)釘?shù)挠暝饕驅(qū)τ嗳珵┎縿P風(fēng)洗險(xiǎn)查進(jìn)圣行雕后吼果杠分這析點(diǎn)，山給出慨風(fēng)乳險(xiǎn)絮后播果螺嚴(yán)障重劃性對(duì)泡全權(quán)部韻風(fēng)沙險(xiǎn)走的犯發(fā)覽展父進(jìn)搜程物進(jìn)明行踏分腰析姑，給包出團(tuán)項(xiàng)交目熊風(fēng)冬險(xiǎn)高的緣瑞發(fā)疫展槐時(shí)知間沒進(jìn)催程品預(yù)貧測(cè)根喇據(jù)紫風(fēng)閑險(xiǎn)塔概拼率跌、繳后進(jìn)果獅和司發(fā)允展封進(jìn)沙程災(zāi)給剩出骨風(fēng)晝險(xiǎn)度回量拌，療風(fēng)蛙險(xiǎn)反控嗽制膛的掛優(yōu)扭先違序床列報(bào)和礎(chǔ)相吊關(guān)舉文捆件存勻在慎風(fēng)旱險(xiǎn)鋒嗎棉？項(xiàng)挪目朋過節(jié)程豪結(jié)踏束價(jià)？項(xiàng)它目雪風(fēng)煎險(xiǎn)慢分嗓類和鄙描星述顯的棵文魔檔項(xiàng)藥目覽人跑員朝的態(tài)風(fēng)觸險(xiǎn)識(shí)獎(jiǎng)別賞與率度餃量愁經(jīng)肝驗(yàn)結(jié)肆束結(jié)諒束風(fēng)墳險(xiǎn)舊識(shí)別飲報(bào)央告否否否是圖8量-恭5項(xiàng)紀(jì)目子風(fēng)搬險(xiǎn)陰識(shí)企別陡與遭度獄量勁流擊程逗圖項(xiàng)歌目春風(fēng)射險(xiǎn)甩管體理定信薦息攏系而統(tǒng)凍的臨開站發(fā)部建收立項(xiàng)鉤目虧風(fēng)帥險(xiǎn)推信懂息英的務(wù)跟調(diào)蹤吵、持收順集奧、戰(zhàn)處頃理魔和逝生仙成項(xiàng)釣?zāi)坷栾L(fēng)丸險(xiǎn)超的疑識(shí)要?jiǎng)e項(xiàng)茶目緊風(fēng)塌險(xiǎn)度的鋤分隱類項(xiàng)燙目駕風(fēng)弦險(xiǎn)冷發(fā)傾生王概搞率這的死分位析茂與寄確幣定項(xiàng)嫌目我風(fēng)勵(lì)險(xiǎn)咸的疑原如因仰分港析耽與嚼確殲定項(xiàng)塔目旨風(fēng)釀險(xiǎn)鞠后蹈果漫的霞分居析信與賠確繪定項(xiàng)投目休風(fēng)施險(xiǎn)離發(fā)呢展眼時(shí)坑間夜進(jìn)宴程悄的門分別析湊與貿(mào)確答定項(xiàng)余目膨風(fēng)后險(xiǎn)戲度銜量說與價(jià)控帳制照優(yōu)吳先唇序遷列訪的備確丈定給太出胃項(xiàng)恭目夏風(fēng)哭險(xiǎn)續(xù)識(shí)腿別賣和否度全量予報(bào)苗告項(xiàng)央目蕉風(fēng)效險(xiǎn)巷度割量邀常矮用炕技蘆術(shù)徐和長方問法確鳳定盾型否風(fēng)在險(xiǎn)躺量喬化—象—自兄然巴狀靠態(tài)梅的冠發(fā)鬧生筍為簽已基知跪的齊情執(zhí)況蜓下鳳的戀風(fēng)酒險(xiǎn)待量袍化薯。盈滿虧腦平效衡恭分砌析樂法收槐益考最蠅大戶（抽或策損消失壞最寸小臉）柱法敏鎮(zhèn)感分性第分變析既法不威確牧定王型北風(fēng)獄險(xiǎn)蒼量疊化枕（箏無雷法稼確輪定蘿風(fēng)殖險(xiǎn)做發(fā)撓生咽的勸概眾率萍）悲慰觀忠法蠻（丘小炸中堂取親大煩原初則約）案嘴例辨數(shù)武據(jù)婆見站表8語-墳1表8秒-怎1各消方淘案裂及護(hù)其廚相甜應(yīng)服狀縱態(tài)河下股的搬收你益照情辟?zèng)r典表方案自然狀態(tài)最小收益最大收益高需求中需求低需求新建60-25-25-2560擴(kuò)建40250040改造2015101020從焦表8測(cè)-把1知竭，濕按齡“投悲撤觀煌法循”協(xié)應(yīng)踏選胖“赴改蔑造汁”杠方鞋案樂石觀殘法市（薪大釀中猴取浩大犧原雷則回）根系據(jù)怪“便樂獸觀愁法捆”掛應(yīng)閣選個(gè)“跟新咸建柿”已方倒案佛。最怕小優(yōu)最碎大繳后熱悔炎法障（鞠大湊中軋取曉小惡原弊則給）這醒種緩方丘法都是悄以天各掉方湖案拳的功機(jī)區(qū)會(huì)柔損擠失沾的樂大旬小痰來古判稍別曉方伐案工的遇優(yōu)繩劣悶的共。表8梅-茄2各不方分案妖后占悔瞞值寸情聽況夜表方案后悔值最大后悔值高需求中需求低需求新建053535擴(kuò)建2001020改造40100-40折挨衷拜法牌（砌樂胞觀被系失數(shù)識(shí)法詢、夠權(quán)爸重阿法磁）慘此衛(wèi)法與是鏡在躍“慰樂黑觀膊法毛”番與收“機(jī)悲乓觀最法需”參之銅間哥折響衷脖，脈即革定勇下鑰一積個(gè)某樂板觀仿系饑數(shù)α和耐一耀個(gè)極悲壓觀慨系批數(shù)1腔-濃α。孤假襲定α益=曉0左.工7，袍則獻(xiàn)上捕例扒有若：E新=朗6炊0罰×范0城.衫7繼+歇(拖1岡-棄0裝.待7抵)煙×錦(栽-詳2某5塌)寫=嘆3由4坐.掙5尊(優(yōu))E擴(kuò)=隨4咬0興×渡0仁.凳7五+飯(稼1械-稠0差.禾7甜)莫×脹0妄=胞2徐8E改=渣2絞0販×蠅0查.頭7語+著(巨1熔-草0公.惠7像)共×年1褲0培=瀉1拖7完骨全搬平登均擠法上煤例季：E新=鏟(靜6宣0杏+吃2咽0姻-猴2歡5鄉(xiāng)豐)勇÷季3眨=慣1伴8截.愚3駱5E擴(kuò)=衣(烘4貍0積+木2棒5悔+謎0脹)嬸÷敢3陽=隸2第1壟.彈6疑7堡(優(yōu))E改=臘(證2里0義+遞1授5壇+轎1葵0散)與÷障3臂=攜1昆5風(fēng)們險(xiǎn)林型知量昨化湖（描自以然磁狀虹態(tài)掩下員的耍損蛇益雖值姨與我對(duì)膊應(yīng)麥概伏率釀已菌知叼）期既望直值埋法記（改決燈策巾表墾、騾決貴策冊(cè)樹緞）模帥擬剩仿皇真疑法以（M已o蹤蝶n午t狂e喜C拆a率r重l狹o法蔬）其瞞他袋方摔法如坦：翼專男家膊決鐮策豎法交；期層從次叢分罷析罷法苦；多事該故仆樹叨法項(xiàng)紗目射風(fēng)社險(xiǎn)衣應(yīng)慨對(duì)應(yīng)冤對(duì)倉的寶主將要姿措削施風(fēng)巧險(xiǎn)助回培避風(fēng)廊險(xiǎn)衛(wèi)損湖失分控鑰制風(fēng)偏險(xiǎn)里單儲(chǔ)位巖的廈分董離粥和戴結(jié)勒合風(fēng)介險(xiǎn)術(shù)轉(zhuǎn)竭移風(fēng)侍險(xiǎn)復(fù)自絡(luò)留制學(xué)定頑應(yīng)妻對(duì)急措云施庫的獎(jiǎng)依換據(jù)項(xiàng)址目銹風(fēng)校險(xiǎn)燈的損特沉性項(xiàng)宇目沃組繼織松抗徹風(fēng)攀險(xiǎn)條的帽能棍力可有供鼻選戀擇有的倚風(fēng)鏡險(xiǎn)拖應(yīng)座對(duì)哪措滅施項(xiàng)砌目遙風(fēng)幕險(xiǎn)南應(yīng)乘對(duì)肅措植施族制詞定說的泊結(jié)臟果項(xiàng)妻目今風(fēng)真險(xiǎn)至管犬理傳計(jì)四劃項(xiàng)院目垃風(fēng)脊險(xiǎn)迎應(yīng)老急演計(jì)春劃項(xiàng)游目信準(zhǔn)剪備巾金項(xiàng)警目雁技郊術(shù)枕后略備插措歪施項(xiàng)屆目饞風(fēng)圣險(xiǎn)延控鵝制項(xiàng)陵目燈風(fēng)持險(xiǎn)率控里制餡就釣是證在噸風(fēng)臟險(xiǎn)以事耐件竄發(fā)鹿生觸時(shí)毫實(shí)風(fēng)施化風(fēng)宗險(xiǎn)迎管訊理蜂計(jì)貍劃樣中夫預(yù)韻定挎的誓應(yīng)貼對(duì)膨措孝施糕。項(xiàng)郊目桑風(fēng)衛(wèi)險(xiǎn)勒控蓬制扮的損目及標(biāo)漢和濕依兆據(jù)項(xiàng)腳目恩風(fēng)對(duì)險(xiǎn)陷控蛇制屬的京目但標(biāo)及阻早摸識(shí)鋒別肺項(xiàng)擱目盞風(fēng)耍險(xiǎn)努帶力士避戲免樓項(xiàng)捷目谷風(fēng)疾險(xiǎn)嘴事瞞件段的忙發(fā)綿生積質(zhì)極歪消塘除用項(xiàng)奮目虧風(fēng)尋險(xiǎn)頭事繁件樸的動(dòng)消達(dá)極逐后獅果充醫(yī)分耽吸內(nèi)取茂項(xiàng)誼目還風(fēng)程險(xiǎn)抗管拆理緒中產(chǎn)的旬經(jīng)蛙驗(yàn)接與詳教絮訓(xùn)項(xiàng)踢目岔風(fēng)碗險(xiǎn)蹄控辨制汁的數(shù)依律據(jù)項(xiàng)奮目主風(fēng)菊險(xiǎn)莖管殼理速計(jì)殖劃實(shí)循際系項(xiàng)汽目隙風(fēng)織險(xiǎn)爬發(fā)涉展嫌變槐化垂情判況項(xiàng)肅目來風(fēng)鴉險(xiǎn)火控茂制浩的晚步升驟項(xiàng)伶目嘴風(fēng)啞險(xiǎn)禾控降制燈步爽驟犁與腸內(nèi)歸容駁如烤圖8睬-虧6所譽(yù)示建稱立許項(xiàng)述目夕風(fēng)炸險(xiǎn)堡控秀制雄體偽制確厲定沾要沫控到制風(fēng)的源具得體患項(xiàng)薪目損風(fēng)默險(xiǎn)分早配殖項(xiàng)拔目塞風(fēng)亡險(xiǎn)塘控躬制坐的峰職耳責(zé)制賣定匹項(xiàng)窯目骨風(fēng)絡(luò)險(xiǎn)膝控怒制錯(cuò)的陜行莫?jiǎng)铀嵊?jì)潤劃實(shí)枝施汁項(xiàng)纏目器風(fēng)都險(xiǎn)剝控痛制碌的朝行介動(dòng)任方蔽案跟待蹤統(tǒng)項(xiàng)禮目餓風(fēng)醉險(xiǎn)他控蟻制夕的描結(jié)樂果判絞斷惹項(xiàng)辛目綁風(fēng)墳險(xiǎn)辜控歷制仙的秀效療果根禾據(jù)恭項(xiàng)澤目環(huán)風(fēng)蒼險(xiǎn)臨識(shí)獸別禁和塵度飾量青報(bào)防告榮建厚立青項(xiàng)希目迷風(fēng)惕險(xiǎn)逆控梢制拔體脅制根丑據(jù)懷項(xiàng)鈴目卻風(fēng)橫險(xiǎn)襪識(shí)戚別鹿和姻界肝定真報(bào)雪告口確寨定厚要字控沒制耗的跨具苗體奶項(xiàng)煙目悼風(fēng)得險(xiǎn)第事踢件確籌定膽和蹲分覺配茫項(xiàng)睡目隆各沸具嚴(yán)體望項(xiàng)長目且風(fēng)石險(xiǎn)殊的罰控罩制膛責(zé)數(shù)任確處定坑具侍體械項(xiàng)負(fù)目鉗風(fēng)奸險(xiǎn)宏的粗控革制耽行弓動(dòng)傍方訴案制沙定吊各認(rèn)具連體洪項(xiàng)晨目稿風(fēng)愚險(xiǎn)猛的倆控香制縫行初動(dòng)病方怠案實(shí)剛施架各寬具旱體囑項(xiàng)弊目算風(fēng)巾險(xiǎn)繡的暑控碼制玻方懶案跟男蹤英具寧體泊項(xiàng)客目商風(fēng)繼險(xiǎn)梁的亦控賴制驕結(jié)郵果風(fēng)輪險(xiǎn)牧解質(zhì)除獵了伍？項(xiàng)傷目鏡風(fēng)鞠險(xiǎn)廁控毛制桐結(jié)登束圖8描-孤6項(xiàng)玩目潤風(fēng)槽險(xiǎn)挪控奸制座方報(bào)法侮流林程巴圖返賓回秧風(fēng)騰險(xiǎn)命識(shí)惜別是否三朱、單項(xiàng)付目脂風(fēng)郊險(xiǎn)誕防球范決影策嗚風(fēng)豎險(xiǎn)搖防志范做緊好家項(xiàng)嫁目均的晶財(cái)廉務(wù)霉分牛析加掉強(qiáng)襖項(xiàng)酬目豈產(chǎn)模品著的痛市矩場(chǎng)精調(diào)藍(lán)查建余設(shè)吸風(fēng)您險(xiǎn)哭（料設(shè)陽計(jì)躲、兼施男工聚、矛設(shè)爪備古風(fēng)嗓險(xiǎn)麥等亞）誘防灶范科騰學(xué)關(guān)的厲招抖、尼投賢、裝評(píng)扒標(biāo)完逃工女風(fēng)響險(xiǎn)躺防斗范引送入逝“邁商代業(yè)趣完擋工?！苯y(tǒng)的點(diǎn)概巖念實(shí)曉行炕“藍(lán)完乞工融擔(dān)緩保販”生槽產(chǎn)紅風(fēng)心險(xiǎn)屑防濕范技斬術(shù)什風(fēng)淚險(xiǎn)賀防便范獄：旋采瘡用初成膝熟道的攏生摩產(chǎn)塔技當(dāng)術(shù)資溜源港風(fēng)煤險(xiǎn)庭防乎范要斜求呼提讀供雕最敵低幅資綱源采儲(chǔ)通量細(xì)擔(dān)呼保簽?zāi)居唽ｉL術(shù)期掃的護(hù)能航源阻和敏原館材稈料乒供隨應(yīng)攔協(xié)殊議實(shí)無行沙能鳴源錢和純?cè)~材講料適價(jià)列格早指駛數(shù)犬化經(jīng)鍋營終管役理古風(fēng)鴨險(xiǎn)陳防綱范項(xiàng)波目圍經(jīng)拐理若的言工頓作較經(jīng)帆驗(yàn)令與室資殺信炮；項(xiàng)盾目分經(jīng)滋理飯是槽否