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一帶一路英文演講第1頁(yè)/共36頁(yè)“OneBeltandOneRoad”“OneBeltandOneRoad"shortfor"SilkRoadEconomicBelt"and"21stCenturyMaritimeSilkRoad"
牛牛文庫(kù)文檔分享第2頁(yè)/共36頁(yè)Essence"OBOR"isnotanentityandthemechanism,itisaeconomiccooperationconcept,andbelongstothemultinationaleconomicbelt."OBOR"isadevelopmentstrategyandframeworkthatfocusesonconnectivityandcooperationamongcountriesprimarilyinEurasia,whichconsistsoftwomaincomponents,theland-based"SilkRoadEconomicBelt"(SREB)andoceangoing"MaritimeSilkRoad"(MSR).
"OBOR"aimsatborrowtheancientsymbol"silkroad",andcarrythebannerofpeacefuldevelopment,activelydevelopaneconomicpartnershipwithcountriesalongtheSilkRoadandregions,tobuildcommunityofinterest,fatecommunityandcommunityinresponsibilityofpoliticalmutualtrust,economicintegration,culturallytolerant
牛牛文庫(kù)文檔分享第3頁(yè)/共36頁(yè)Countriesandregionsalongthe“OneBelt,OneRoad”datasuchaspopulationandeconomicscale
牛牛文庫(kù)文檔分享第4頁(yè)/共36頁(yè)DevelopregionaleconomyAbsorbexcesscapacityReduceforeignexchangereserveWhydoChinawanttocarryout"OneBelt,OneRoad"?
Forthenation
牛牛文庫(kù)文檔分享第5頁(yè)/共36頁(yè)123DrivecapacityoutputbycapitaloutputStrengtheninternationalcooperationReversebalanceofpaymentssituationFortheword:
牛牛文庫(kù)文檔分享第6頁(yè)/共36頁(yè)InfrastructureNetworks
牛牛文庫(kù)文檔分享第7頁(yè)/共36頁(yè)SourcesoffundsAIIBisaproposedinternationalfinancialinstitutionwhichisfocusedonsupportinginfrastructureconstructionintheAsia-Pacificregion.SCODBismultilateraldevelopmentfinanceinstitution,anditexpandcooperationinthesettlementinlocalcurrenciesandpromotetheeconomyandtradecommunionofregionsbyjointcontributionandjointbenefitNewDevelopmentBankisaproposedinternationalfinancialinstitutionwhichisfocusedonsupportinginfrastructureconstructionofthese5BRICSandotherdevelopingcountries.SIFisastateownedinvestmentfundoftheChinesegovernmenttofosterincreasedinvestmentincountriesalongtheOneBelt,OneRoad,aneconomicdevelopmentinitiativeprimarilycoveringEurasia.
牛牛文庫(kù)文檔分享第8頁(yè)/共36頁(yè)ThefivemajorCo-operationpolicycoordinationunimpededtradefinancialintegration
facilitiesconnectivitypeople-to-peoplebonds
importantcontentpriorityareasimportantsupportingimportantguarantee
socialfoundation
牛牛文庫(kù)文檔分享第9頁(yè)/共36頁(yè)TheBack-upForceofOBOR123456landsilkroadmaritimeSilkRoad1.High-speeddiplomacy2.ShanghaiCooperationOrganizationDevelopmentBank3.SilkRoadfund4.AsianInfrastructureInvestmentBank(AIIB)5.Nucleardiplomacy6.BRICSBank
牛牛文庫(kù)文檔分享第10頁(yè)/共36頁(yè)OBOR“construction”RelationshipbetweenOBORandAIIBTheimplementationof"OneBeltandOneRoad"stratgyrequiresalargenumberofinvestmentfromfinancialinstitutions,includingAIIB.TheaidprogramofAIIB,whichtargetstheconstructionofinfrastructureinAsian-Pacificregion,overlapswithOBORstrategy.
牛牛文庫(kù)文檔分享第11頁(yè)/共36頁(yè)ISSUESOvercapacityProblemResourcesAquisitionNationalSecurityTradeInitiativeTransportationNetwork
牛牛文庫(kù)文檔分享第12頁(yè)/共36頁(yè)OvercapacityProblem
牛牛文庫(kù)文檔分享第13頁(yè)/共36頁(yè)OvercapacityProblem1.OBORopensupnewexportmarketstocompetewithAmericaandJapan.2.Ithelpsemergingmarketcountriesandlessdevelopedcountriesininfrastructureconstruction,usingthesufficientforeignexchangereservestosolvetheovercapacityproblem
牛牛文庫(kù)文檔分享第14頁(yè)/共36頁(yè)ResourcesAquisitionChina'soilandgasresourcesarehighlydependentonoverseasmineralresources.OBORwillbuildsomeeffectivechannelstogetresouces.Itcontributestotheresourcesdiversification.
牛牛文庫(kù)文檔分享第15頁(yè)/共36頁(yè)NationalSecurityTheindustryandinfrastructureofcoastalregion,westernareaandcentralareaneedtobeprotectedfromexternalconcealedthreats.OBORwillimprovethecapabilitytostrengthenthenationalsecurityatriskofconflict.
牛牛文庫(kù)文檔分享第16頁(yè)/共36頁(yè)TradeInitiativeOBORwillmakeChinahaveagreatersayinglobalmarketandregionaleconomy.
牛牛文庫(kù)文檔分享第17頁(yè)/共36頁(yè)TransportationNetworkWithbuildingatransportationnetworkintheneighboringarea,OBORwillpromotetheexporttradeandmobilizationofresouces.
牛牛文庫(kù)文檔分享第18頁(yè)/共36頁(yè)China'sRegionsinPursuingOpening-Up
牛牛文庫(kù)文檔分享第19頁(yè)/共36頁(yè)ChinainActionHigh-levelguidanceandfacilitation.Signingcooperationframework.Promotingprojectcooperation.Improvingpoliciesandmeasures.Boostingtheroleofcooperationplatforms.
牛牛文庫(kù)文檔分享第20頁(yè)/共36頁(yè)
牛牛文庫(kù)文檔分享第21頁(yè)/共36頁(yè)Fund-June29th,2015.-57countries-Legalcapital:$100bn-Dec29th,2014.-Beijing,China.-Legalcapital:$40bn-Supportedbyfournationalorganization-July21st,2015.-Fivecountries-InShanghai,China.-Sep11th,2014.-Discussed.14thSummit-Notofficiallyfoundedyet.
牛牛文庫(kù)文檔分享第22頁(yè)/共36頁(yè)
牛牛文庫(kù)文檔分享第23頁(yè)/共36頁(yè)
牛牛文庫(kù)文檔分享第24頁(yè)/共36頁(yè)
牛牛文庫(kù)文檔分享第25頁(yè)/共36頁(yè)57members$100billionChina(30.3%)1stKorea(3.8%)5th“tobuildbetterinfrastructureindevelopingcountries”-TheNetherlands,Germany,France,andothermanycountriesarefavorabletothefoundationofAIIBNewsArticles
牛牛文庫(kù)文檔分享第26頁(yè)/共36頁(yè)30.3%→26%ofvotes→75%→25%
牛牛文庫(kù)文檔分享第27頁(yè)/共36頁(yè)■1.Fourfinancialplatformswillsolveexistingmoneyproblem.2.Fourfinancialplatformswillpromoteeconomicdevelopmentofnumerouscountries.3.Asthefourplatformspursueopen-doorpolicy→enoughfinancialbackupforOBOR4.Fourfinancialplatformswillenablesustainableinvestment.5.Fourfinancialplatformswillenabledevelopingcountriestohaveloudervoice.■AIIB1.AIIBwillplaythemainrolein‘OneBeltOneRoad’project.SolveinequalityproblemamongnationsbyredistributingresourcesandbetterinvestmentconditionsParticipationofprivatecompaniesaredesperateaswell,butastheinvestmentvehiclesaredevelopingcountries,privatecompaniesmaynotbeattractedtoinvestmentproposals.Toaddresstheissue,AIIBshouldguaranteesafeinvestmentandminimizedloss.AssessmentofFinancialPlatform
牛牛文庫(kù)文檔分享第28頁(yè)/共36頁(yè)ToChina:
1.Todigestovercapacity:
China‘stotalcapacityutilizationdoesnotexceed65%,buttraditionalexportmarkethasopenedupinamorefull
byUnitedStatesandEurope.
Meanwhile,thecountriesalongtherouteofOneBeltOneRoadlacktheinfrastructure,whojustneedcost-effectiveChineseconstructionbusiness.
Chinaalsohastheexcessofforeignexchangeassets.Chinausesitshugeforeignexchangereservesaccumulatedasacapitaltoboostglobalgrowthandusesitsexportofcapitaltodigestitsexcesscapacity.
2.Torevitalizethestockoftheeconomy:
ThepromotionofOBORisconducivetotheexpansionofcross-borderuseofRMBintheperipheralregion,RMBpaymentsystemandtheutilizationofthehugeforeignexchangereserves.Aftertheabolishofgeographicrestrictions,ChinesedomesticenterprisesandcommercialbankscouldissueRMBbondsinoffshoretohelpthecirculationofRMBintheinternationalmarket.
3.TostrengthenNationalSecurity:
OBORcannotonlyhedgetheUS-ledTPP(Trans-Pacificrelationsagreement),TTIP(trans-Atlanticpartnerstonegotiate),whichattempttoisolate
China,butalsoprovidetheopportunityforChinatoparticipateinthedevelopmentofnewglobaltraderules.
ShanghaiFTAShanghaiFreeTradeZone-Internationaltransferport
China‘sindustrialandinfrastructureareconcentratedincoastalareas,andthereisagreatpotentialfortheirdevelopmentincentralandwesternregions.Significant
牛牛文庫(kù)文檔分享第29頁(yè)/共36頁(yè)TotheWorld:
1.Neweconomicgrowthstimulation:
The
global
economicrecoveryisslowdownandmonetarypolicyindevelopedeconomiestrendstodifferentiation.Economiesofmanycountriesfacedifficultiesandneedaneweconomicgrowthenginetodrivetheworldeconomy.
TheprojectionofOBORbenefitsChinaandmostcountries,becauseitseeksnewimpetustotheglobaleconomicrecoveryandmobilizesnewinvestmenttoachievethewin-winsituation.2.RegionalCollaboration:
OBORbreakstheoriginaldevelopmentmodelofspotandblockpatternsandextendsverticallyandhorizontally,connectingAsia-PacificEconomicCircleintheeasttheEuropeaneconomiczoneinthewest,consideredas"theworld'slongest,mostdevelopmentpotentialeconomiccorridor."
ThisstrategyhelpsthefurtherdeepenChina-ASEANcooperationandregionaleconomicintegration,buildingclosercommunity,andseekingthecoordinateddevelopment
inlinewiththestrategicinterestsofAsia-Pacific,Asia-Europeandmostmemberstates.Significant
牛牛文庫(kù)文檔分享第30頁(yè)/共36頁(yè)ChallengesOBORstrategyisaninevitableoutcomeofcurrentglobalstatus,anditalsofacesdifficulties.a.Specificdifficultiesduringtheimplementationofinvestmentprojects:1.Theenvironmentalimpactoflarge-scaleinvestment2.Changingrisksofforeignpolicy3.Breaking-inwithvariousforeigncountries’cultures,customs,eveninstitutionsb.Howtodealwithrelationsofbigpowers:theUnitedStates,Russia,Indiac.Howtodealwithrelationsofsmallcountries:
Scruples:NotThreaten-JointDevelopment
牛牛文庫(kù)文檔分享第31頁(yè)/共36頁(yè)HotDiscussion“NewNormal”TrapWorld:Since
SubprimeCrisis:
the8thyearofloweconomicgrowth,
lowinterestratesandexpandinggovernmentintervention
Keynesian
stimulus:
UnconventionalMonetaryPolicy(UMP):
(Liquidity
management:short-termnominalinterestrate-centralbank'sbalancesheetstructure,content)
ZeroInterestRatePolicy(ZIRP)
QuantitativeEasing(QE)
NewNormal:a‘TrapofDebtandMoney’
–
Financial
market
bubble
Soaringdebts-economicslowdownAstheNewNormalTrapdeepens,therecanbeadesperatecallforbreakthroughChinapresentsnewglobalfinancial&economicparadigm
牛牛文庫(kù)文檔分享第32頁(yè)/共36頁(yè)
Ifbankloansstop,moneysupplyshrinksandcausesdeflation…whichmeanslessmoneytogoaro
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