王小魯：經(jīng)濟增長、收入分配與結(jié)構(gòu)調(diào)整

經(jīng)濟增長、收入分配與結(jié)構(gòu)調(diào)整EconomicGrowth,IncomeDistributionandStructuralRebalance王小魯中國改革基金會國民經(jīng)濟研究所WangXiaolu,NationalEconomicResearchInstitute,ChinaReformFoundation資本增速，經(jīng)濟減速 Fastercapitalgrowth,slowerGDPgrowth嚴重的產(chǎn)能過剩Seriousovercapacity

(capacityutilizationrateinindustry)資本生產(chǎn)率下降 Rapiddropofcapitalproductivity投資-消費結(jié)構(gòu)失衡

Structuralimbalancebetweensavingandconsumption(%ofGDP)投資擴張與化石能源消費

Growthoffossilenergyconsumption&fixedcapitalformation大量能源消費與空氣污染—北京

AirpollutioninBeijing全國的空氣污染

AirpollutioninChinaGovernment&SOEinvestmentplayedaleadingroleininvestmentgrowth1/3bygovernmentandSOEsGDPandinvestmentarestillthemostimportantgoalsforlocalgovernmentsIndicatingneedsforchanginggovernmentincentivemechanismandbehavior大量投資與政府行為相關(guān)

Massiveinvestment&gov.behaviorExcessivesaving/investmentandinsufficiencyofdomesticconsumptionisalsoaresultofincomedistributionimbalanceDuetochangingdistributionpatternofnationalincomeAlsorelatestoincomeinequality結(jié)構(gòu)失衡與收入分配相關(guān) Structuralimbalance&incomedistribution國民收入分配：政府、企業(yè)、居民Incomedistribution:government,

corporationsandhouseholds收入差距急劇擴大（基尼系數(shù)）

Enlargingincomeinequality(Gini)A10percentagepointreductionofsavings/capitalformationratesandsameincreaseofconsumptionratewillleadtoamoreinclusive&sustainablegrowthwithoutlowergrowthrateToachievethis,policyadjustmentandinstitutionalreformsareneeded保持增長需要結(jié)構(gòu)調(diào)整和體制改革

Weneedstructuralrebalance市場配置資源

Markettoplaydecisiverolesinresourceallocation減少政府干預(yù)

Reducegovernmentintervention改善收入分配

Improveincomedistributionforcommonaffluence公共服務(wù)均等化

Equalizeprovisionofpublicservices三中全會關(guān)于改革的決定

Reforms:theCCPcentralcommitteedecision,Nov.2013財稅體制改革

Reformfiscal&taxationsystemsfortransparency，bettertransferpayment&fairtaxburden城鄉(xiāng)一體化發(fā)展

Integrateurbanandruraldevelopment戶籍制度改革

Reformofthehouseholdregistrationsystemetc.AchievingthesegoalswillleadtoinclusiveandmoresustainableeconomicgrowthThekeyissueistopushf