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1、第 頁2021上海PMP資格認證考試考試考前沖刺卷本卷共分為1大題50小題,作答時間為180分鐘,總分100分,60分及格。一、單項選擇題(共50題,每題2分。每題的備選項中,只有一個最符合題意) 1.Developing alternative activity sequence is an example of_ A) risk transfer B) risk aversion C) risk identification D) contingency planning 2.You are building a water treatment facilityRoutine tests

2、reveal that there are contaminants in the water but that they have an extremely low risk for causing any sicknessAs the project manager,you should_ A) inform the public that a detailed examination has been ordered to determine the extent to which the problem exists B) do nothing because there is ext

3、remely low risk for sickness except for some effects on small children and the elderly C) tell the public there is no problem,except for small children and the elderly who need to boil the water before drinking D) educate the public about the advances on water treatment technology and the industry e

4、fficiency and safety record 3.Risk response development is intended to_ A) create steps to identify project risks B) formulate strategies for dealing with adverse events C) construct a list of previous project risks D) develop measurements to quantify project risks 4.When there is uncertainty associ

5、ated with one or more aspects of the projectone of the first steps to take is to_ A) revise project plan B) conduct a risk benefit analysis C) conduct a needs analysis D) increase the estimated cost of the project 5.The most crucial time for project risk assessment is_ A) when a problem surfaces B)

6、during the planning phase C) during the close-out phase D) after the project schedule has been published 6.Responses to risk threats include all of the following except_ A) avoidance B) acceptance C) mitigation D) rejection 7.Risk identification outputs include the following except_ A) decision tree

7、s B) inputs to other processes C) risk symptoms D) potential risk events 8.An appropriate sequence for risk management activities is_ A) identify risks,perform qualitative risk analysis,perform quantitative risk analysis,plan risk responses B) identify risks,risk assessment。and risk planning C) iden

8、tify risks,risk mitigation,and risk management D) identify risks,risk elimination,and risk mitigation 9.In your project,there is:25% probability for $25000 profit50% probability for $40000 profit,25% probability for $100000 profitWhat is the expected profit in your project? A) $40000 B) $50000 C) $5

9、1250D) $53750 10.All the following are purposes of project risk management EXCEPT_ A) identifying factors that are likely to affect the project scopequality,time and cost B) developing response strategies for all identified risks C) providing a baseline for project factors that cannot be controlled

10、D) mitigating impacts by influencing project factors that can be controlled 11.Which of the following is not a disadvantage of using statistical approaches to quantify risk? A) Input data may be inaccurate and incomplete B) Managers sometimes rely on computer-produced results that are detailed and i

11、mpressive but inaccurate,which makes decision making difficult C) Risk experts can understand the complex statistical approaches but they are not good at communicate with they know D) When applying in quantitative risk analysis,statistical approaches are regard as too theoretical 12.Of the following

12、 types of historical information that can be used in risk identification,which is the least reliable? A) Project files B) Commercial databases C) Project team knowledge D) Lessons learned databases 13.An individuals willingness to take a risk can be determined by_ A) decision tree modeling B) monte

13、Carlo method C) sensitivity analysis D) utility function 14.when is the greatest difference between risks or opportunities and investment at stake? A) Conception B) Development C) Implementation D) Closure 15.A response to a risk that was not defined in advance of its occurrence is called a_ A) risk

14、 mitigation response B) workaround response C) corrective action response D) contingency response 16.You are beginning a new project that has been attempted,but unsuccessful,several times in the past few yearsPrevious projects were cancelled because of “politics”(differing views and direction by key

15、 stakeholders of the project)This is an example of_ A) stakeholder analysis B) project charter C) historical information D) risk identification 17.An example of risk mitigation is_ A) using new technology in the development of a product B) purchasing insurance C) eliminating the cause of risk D) acc

16、epting a lower profit if costs overrun 18.As part of risk management process,you just created an overall risk ranking of the project,created list of prioritized risks,identified which risks need additional analysis and determined trends in risk analysis resultsWhat should you do next? A) Analyze the

17、 effect of risk events and assign a numerical rating to those risks B) Create a list of identified risks C) Determine the fundamental conditions or events that may give rise to identified risk(root causes of risk) D) Note down the list of potential responses to the risks 19.You are the project manag

18、er of a project which would do oil-exploration in the oceanSince you cannot plan for all eventualities,you establish a contingency reserve,including amounts of time,money or resources to handle known or unknown risksThis is an example of_ A) risk avoidance B) risk transfer C) active risk acceptance

19、D) improper risk planning since all risks should be identified and accounted for 20.Utility function is a commonly used technique to find out the tolerance of a project manager towards riskSome project managers are more averse towards risk than othersAll the following are different classifications o

20、f tolerance for risk EXCEPT_ A) risk averter B) risk seeker C) risk mitigator D) risk neutral 21.Risk management helps in maximizing the probability and consequences of positive events and minimizing the probability and consequences of adverse events to project objectivesRisk response planning helps

21、 in this context because it_ A) helps in deciding how to approach and plan the risk management activities B) develops procedures and techniques to enhance opportunities and reduce threats to project objectives C) determines which risks might affect the project and documents their characteristics D)

22、monitors residual risks,identifies new risks and executes risk reduction plans 22.Project team A has been hired to manage a transportation project very similar to dozens at projects theyve managed successfully in the pastThe team had determined that the probability of achieving project objectives is

23、 94%The team has determined the size of contingency reserves that may be neededThese determinations are included in which process? A) Qualitative risk analysis B) Plan risk responses C) Quantitative risk analysis D) Risk identification 23.In your project,you have identified list of identified risks,

24、list of potential responses and root causes of risksYou should document this information in the_ A) risk management plan B) risk database C) project plan D) risk register 24.In your project,you just conducted a risk data quality analysis to evaluate the degree to which the data about risks is useful

25、 for risk managementWhat could be a potential next step? A) Perform a structured review of project plans and assumptions,both at the total project and detailed scope levels B) Develop checklists for identifying risks based on historical information and knowledge that has been accumulated from previo

26、us similar projects C) Conduct planning meetings to develop the risk management plan D) Conduct interviews to quantify the probability and consequences of risks on project activities 25.In risk response planning,you are in the process of developing options,and determining actions to reduce threats t

27、o your projects objectivesWhen you show the results of your risk response planning to your project sponsor,she is not comfortable with the risks in the project and she suggests that the project scope should be decreasedThis is an example of_ A) inappropriate risk management because it is having a di

28、rect impact on your project scope B) risk avoidance C) risk mitigation D) risk transfer 26.While implementing your project,a team member brings to your notice a risk that was not mentioned in the risk response planIn this case,you should_ A) accept the risk B) perform additional risk response planni

29、ng to control the risk C) inform the project sponsor D) use project contingency 27.In your project,you have identifed important risks,and planned appropriate responses to the risksSome risks e.g. possibility of natural disasters has been documented and accepted in your risk management planIf there a

30、re risks that remain after you have taken these steps,then such risks are called_ A) unidentifiable risks B) residual risks C) secondary risks D) accepted risks 28.You are an expert in risk management,having worked in the field for more than 15 yearsYour project is behind schedule and in your projec

31、tyou are in the process of identifying which risks may affect your project through the risk identification processIn a discussion with your project sponsor,you mention that after the risk identification phase is completed,you would like to directly perform quantitative risk analysisYour project spon

32、sor cautions you against doing this-he mentions that in a prior project,qualitative risk analysis was conducted after risk identificationIn this context,you will_ A) mention to your sponsor that since you are an expert in risk management, there is no need to do qualitative risk management and the te

33、am can directly go to quantitative risk management phaseThis will also save time since your project is behind schedule B) agree with your sponsor that not doing qualitative risk analysis may mean some risks will remain unidentified and increase the probability of failure in your project C) mention t

34、o the sponsor that usually in your past experience,qualitative risk analysis was a waste of time and not recommended for this project D) mention to the sponsor that this is a type of project where qualitative risk analysis is not requiredSpecific categories of projects do not need qualitative risk a

35、nalysis 29.You had budgeted $200000 in your project as“contingency reserve”Now,when you are 75% through project execution,you notice that the funds in your contingency reserve are down to $20000To compare the amount of contingency reserves remaining in your project to the amount of risk remaining,yo

36、u should conduct a_ A) variance analysis B) trend analysis C) risk reassessment D) reserve analysis 30.Risk transference nearly always involves_ A) eliminating risk through beta testing B) policies and procedures for a response system C) accepting a lower profit if some activities overrun D) payment

37、 of a risk premium to the party taking on the risk 31.In your project,there is:50% probability for $40000 profit,50% probability for $25000 lossWhat is the expected profit in your project? A) $32500 B) $25000 C) $7500 D) -$7500(i.e. loss of $7500) 32.You are the project manager in an automobile manu

38、facturing companyBecause of heavy rains,the machine parts required in your manufacturing process which a vendor was sending to you,could not reach you in timeYou had anticipated this risk and planned for it in your risk response planSo,as part of your risk response plan,you started using machine par

39、ts which had been supplied 1 year ago and were not utilized at that timeHowever,this has subjected your project to a new risk-that the machine parts which were not used for 1 year might be a having higher level of defectsThis new risk can also be called_ A) unidentifiable risk B) unmanageable risk C

40、) secondary risk D) residual risk 33.Charles is working on a project and finds that one of his primary vendors is raising their costs for a key component of the product being produced by his projectIn order to cover these costs,he_ A) will ask management for a budget increase to cover the difference

41、 B) will assume management reserve will cover the difference because this increase was out of his control C) will use the cost change control process to obtain approval to use part of the contingency allowance D) will go over budget and ask for forgiveness at the end of the project Charles 34.Managi

42、ng risks and documenting them is very important in project planning processYou are in the process of defining key risks,including constraints and assumptions,and planned responses and contingencies(where appropriate)These details will be included in the_(choose the best answer) A) project management

43、 plan B) project baseline C) risk response plan D) risk baseline 35.The probability of failure for a project element is often called exposure to risk,or risk exposureThis exposure may be mitigated by taking measure to avoid a particular approach or use of specific technologiesWhen the risk exposure

44、cannot be reduced through selection of another alternative,the project manager should_ A) conduct further studies and analysis until a more attractive alternative is found B) disregard the exposure to risk because nothing can be done C) not performs the activities with risk exposure and save the mon

45、ey which would have been spent on them D) establish a contingency plan to overcome any adverse activitywhich may include a contingency allowance 36.You are in the build phase of the projectBut it has run into several unanticipated problemsSeveral risks have surfaced which you had not anticipated ear

46、lierThe project is over-budget and behind scheduleWhat should you do? A) Create updates to risk response plan B) Create a revised project plan C) Perform risk response audits D) Perform updated risk identification and analysis 37.The term deflection has a number of meanings,but in terms of pure risk

47、 mitigations strategies,deflections are accomplished by_ A) performing contingent plans B) contracting to a sub-contractor C) allowing the owner to perform the mitigation strategy since the contractor feels it was not called for in the contract D) allowing the float in the schedule to take care of t

48、he risk 38.The project budget has been finalizedAdditional work has been discovered that was not planned for in the budget or project scopeWhere could the found to cover the newly discovered work item? A) Contingency reserve B) Project profit C) Management reserve D) Abandoning fund 39.In your proje

49、ct,you can use all the following tools and techniques for risk response planning EXCEPT_ A) strategies for negative risks or threats B) contingent response planning C) strategy for threat and opportunities D) strategy for residual risks 40.You are in the process of developing options,and determining

50、 actions to enhance opportunities and reduce threats to the projects objectivesWhat should you be doing next? A) Determining which risks might affect the project and documenting their characteristics B) Identifying,analyzing and planning for newly arising risks C) Deciding how to approach and conduc

51、t risk management activities for the project D) Assessing the priority of identified risks using their probability of occuring 41.Risk quantification includes_ A) enumerating sources of internal and external events B) identifying potential events and impact C) evaluating probability and impact D) de

52、veloping contingency plans and resources 42.The tools and techniques of quantitative risk analysis are_ A) contracting,contingency planning,alternative strategies,and insurance B) interviewing,historical results,workarounds,and additional response development C) checklists,damage control reports,sta

53、ndard allowances, and inspection D) data gathering and representation techniques,and quantitative risk analysis and modeling techniques 43.Outputs from risk response planning include all of the following EXCEPT_ A) risk register updates B) corrective actions C) risk-related contractual agreements D) project management plan updates 44.Workaround is_ A) a response to a negative risk that has

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