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1、管理學(xué)第七章Group DiscussionTime: Saturday, November 28, , 2020Site: A280 dormitorySubject:“As managers use computers and software tools more often,theyll be able to make more rational decisions .” Do you agree or disagree with this statement?why?Members:Recorder:Findings:After a discussion among our grou
2、p, we got the results.This is not right. Using computers and making decisions are neither sufficient nor necessary.Rational decision-making comes from sufficient information and scientific analysis process. Computers can help to obtain information, and software tools are used to analyze data.Manager
3、s Making Decisions:(1) ldentifying a problem;(2) ldentifying Decision Criteria;(3) Allocating Weights to the Criteria;(4) Developing Alternatives;(5) Analyzing Alternatives;(6) Selecting an Alternative;(7) Implementing the Alternative;(8) Evaluating Decision Effectiveness.Decision Making Conditions:
4、certainty,risk,anduncertainty.Certainty:The ideal situation for making decision is one of certainty,which is asituation where amanager can make accurate decision because the outcome ofevery alternative is know.Rick:A for more common situation is one of risk,conditions in which the decision maker is
5、able to estimate the likelihood of certain outcome. Under risk,managers have historical data from past personal experience or secondary information that lets them assign probabilities to different alternative.Benefits of using software for decision makers:Has changed enterprise management system and
6、 introduced advanced management mode; Enterprise informatization has become the inevitable trend of enterprise development, and the only way out for modern enterprises is the organization form based on information.Effectively reduce the cost of enterprises and improve the competitiveness of enterpri
7、ses. Strengthen the control ability of top management.The application of information technology involves the economic management activities of the whole enterprise. It can directly affect the cost of any link in the enterprise value chain, so as to improve the cost structure.Promote the continuous i
8、nnovation of the enterprise itself.On the surface, enterprise informatization is to buy equipment and information system, but in fact, it is not simply to replace manual labor with computer network, but a comprehensive and profound management revolution.Group Discussion:1. Although the decision-maki
9、ng computer can provide more and more comprehensive data analysis to help enterprise managers make decisions, software can not replace people to make decisions, nor can it ensure that decisions are more reasonable;2. The use of computer software is only a tool, which helps to rationalize the decisio
10、n-making, but whether the decision-making is reasonable or not depends on many factors. The quality of decision-makers plays a key role, and the managers grasp the lifeblood of enterprises;3. Managers use computers to make decisions, and they are more inclined to the theory of management science, th
11、at is, they use the latest achievements of natural science and technological science as the means and use mathematical models to make optimal planning and decision for management. Computer decision-making needs modeling, but many problems can not be modeled;4. Computer is helpful to solve the problem of programmed decision-making. For complicated non programmed decision-making, it depends more on the knowledge, experience and intuition of decision-makers;5. Scientific decision-making needs to be dynamic and adjust according to the environment, whi
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