印尼大米市場(chǎng)前景及投資研究報(bào)告-培訓(xùn)課件外文版2024.6泰國(guó)香米

INDUSTRIES

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MARKETSRicemarketinIndonesiaCHAPTER

01OverviewPaddyriceproductionworldwidein2022,bycountry(inmillionmetrictons)*Paddyriceproductionworldwide2022,bycountryProductioninmillionmetrictons100050150200250China(mainland)India208.49196.25BangladeshIndonesiaVietnamThailandMyanmarPhilippinesCambodiaPakistanBrazil57.1954.7542.6734.3224.6819.7811.6210.9810.7810.36JapanNigeria8.54Description:Monitoringthericemarketisacriticaltaskconsideringmorethanhalfoftheworld’spopulationconsumericeonadailybasis.SouthandEastAsiaarethetwomainregionsforpaddyriceproductionintheworld.ChinaandIndiaareconsideredasthemainproducersofpaddyriceworldwide.In2022,China’spaddyriceproductionamountedtoover208.4millionmetrictons,whileIndia'sproductionvolumeexceeded196millionmetrictons.

ReadmoreNote(s):Worldwide;2022;DataaccessedonFebruary7,2024Source(s):FAORiceconsumptionworldwidein2023/2024,bycountry(in1,000metrictons)*Globalriceconsumption2023/24,bycountryConsumptioninthousandmetrictons60,000

80,000

100,000020,00040,000120,000140,000160,000149,920ChinaIndia118,000BangladeshIndonesiaVietnamPhilippinesThailandBurma37,60035,80021,20016,40012,50010,2508,0607,700JapanNigeria5Description:Riceisoneofthemostwidelyconsumedgrainsintheworld.Asthemostpopulouscountryintheworld,Chinaalsoconsumesmorericethananyothercountry,withabout150millionmetrictonsconsumedin2023/2024.FollowingChina,Indiaisrankedsecondwith118millionmetrictonsofriceconsumedinthesameperiod.ReadmoreNote(s):Worldwide;2023/2024;*EstimatedasofJanuary2024.

Alldataarereportedonamilledbasis.ReadmoreSource(s):USDepartmentofAgriculture;USDAForeignAgriculturalServicePrincipalriceimportingcountriesworldwidein2023/2024(in1,000metrictons)Majorriceimportingcountriesworldwide2023/24Importinthousandmetrictons05001,0001,5002,0002,5003,0003,5004,000PhilippinesChina3,8002,800IndonesiaEuropeanUnionNigeria2,5002,4002,1002,000IraqCoted'IvoireSenegal1,4001,4001,4001,400VietnamSaudiArabiaUnitedStatesMalaysia1,3251,2001,150Iran6Description:Inthe2022/2023marketingyear,riceimportstothePhilippinesamountedtoabout3.8millionmetrictons,makingittheleadingcountryforriceimportsworldwide.Chinaimportedabout2.8millionmetrictonsofricethatsameyear.Totalproductionofmilledriceworldwideamountedtoalmost513.5millionmetrictonsin2023/24.ReadmoreNote(s):Worldwide;2023/2024Source(s):USDepartmentofAgricultureLeadingagriculturalcommoditiesinIndonesiain2022,byproductionvolume(inmillionmetrictons)ProductionvolumeofleadingagriculturalcommoditiesIndonesia2022Productionvolumeinmillionmetrictons0

50

100150200250300Oilpalmfruit256.83Rice54.75SugarcaneMaize(corn)Coconuts,inshell32.423.5617.1913.579.255.94Cassava,freshBananasHeneggsinshell,freshMangoes,guavasandmangosteensMeatofchickens,freshorchilledPineapples4.134.043.2NaturalrubberinprimaryformsChilliesandpeppers,green(Capsicumspp.andPimentaspp.)3.143.027Description:In2022,Indonesiaproducednearly257milliontonsofoilpalmfruit,makingittheleadingcontributortothecountry'sagriculturalproduction.Itwasfollowedbyrice,withaproductionvolumeof54.75milliontons.Indonesiaisoneoftheworld'smajoragriculturalnations,andtheagriculturalsectorisakeycontributortoIndonesia'seconomy.ReadmoreNote(s):Indonesia;2022Source(s):FAOGrossdomesticproductatcurrentmarketpricesfromfoodcropsinIndonesiafrom2014to2022(intrillionIndonesianrupiah)GDPfromfoodcropsIndonesia2014-202250045040035030025020015010050474.27454.74449.55446.5438.89441.36425.19397.41343.25020142015201620172018201920202021*2022**8Description:In2022,preliminaryfiguresshowedthattheGDPfromfoodcropsinIndonesiawasatabout454.74trillionIndonesianrupiah,indicatinganincreasefromthepreviousyear.RiceisthemostimportantfoodcropinIndonesiaandisthemainstaplefoodformostofIndonesians.ReadmoreNote(s):Indonesia;2014to2022;*Preliminaryfigures.**Verypreliminaryfigures.OnethousandIndonesianrupiahisequalto0.07U.S.dollarsand0.06eurosasofJuly2023.Figurespriorto2018camefrompreviousreporting.

ReadmoreSource(s):StatisticsIndonesiaYear-on-year(YoY)changeintheConsumerPriceIndex(CPI)inIndonesiaasofDecember2023,byselectedcommoditygroupsAnnualinflationrateIndonesia2023,byselectedcommoditygroupsChangeinCPI0.0%0.1%0.2%0.3%0.4%0.5%0.6%Rice0.53%RedchiliFilteredclovecigarettesGoldjewelry0.24%0.17%0.11%Cayennepepper0.1%9Description:AsofDecember2023,riceexperiencedthehighestinflationrateamongtheothercommoditygroupsinIndonesia,contributingtotheoverallinflationrateof2.61percentinthecountryforthatyear.Globally,theinflationratehasbeenontherisesincelate2021.ReadmoreNote(s):Indonesia;December2023Source(s):StatisticsIndonesiaCHAPTER

02CultivationSizeofharvestedareaofpaddyinIndonesiafrom2018to2023(inmillionhectares)HarvestedareaofpaddyIndonesia2018-20231210811.3810.6810.6610.4110.4510.21642020182019202020212022202311Description:In2023,thesizeoftheharvestedareaofpaddyinIndonesiareachedapproximately10.21millionhectares.EastJava,WestJava,andCentralJavaaretheleadingpaddyproducersamongprovincesinIndonesia.

ReadmoreNote(s):Indonesia;2018to2023Source(s):StatisticsIndonesiaSizeofharvestedareaofpaddyinIndonesiain2023,byprovince(in1,000hectares)HarvestedareaofpaddyIndonesia2023,byprovinceHarvestedareainthousandhectares02004006008001,0001,2001,4001,6001,800EastJavaCentralJava1,698.081,642.761,583.66WestJavaSouthSulawesiLampungSouthSumateraNorthSumateraBanten967.79530.11504.14406.11311.2300.56287.51WestSumateraWestNusaTenggaraAceh254.29224.07214.28WestKalimantanSouthKalimantan12Description:In2023,thesizeoftheharvestedareaofpaddyinEastJava,Indonesiareachedapproximately1.7millionhectares.EastJava,WestJava,andcentralJavaaretheleading?paddyproducersamongprovincesinIndonesia.

ReadmoreNote(s):Indonesia;2023Source(s):StatisticsIndonesiaYieldofricepaddyinIndonesiafrom2018to2023(inquintalperhectare)Ricepaddyyield2018-20236052.8552.0352.2652.3851.1451.285040302010020182019202020212022202313/statistics/1460882/indonesia-rice-paddy-yieldIn2023,theyieldofricepaddyinIndonesiaamountedtoaround52.85quintalsperhectare,slightlyincreasedcomparedtotheyearprior.RiceproductionplaysanimportantroleinIndonesia'sagriculturesector,asriceisastapleformostIndonesians.ReadmoreNote(s):Indonesia;2018to2023Source(s):StatisticsIndonesiaCHAPTER

03ProductionProductionofpaddyriceinIndonesiafrom2014to2023(inmillionmetrictons)ProductionofpaddyinIndonesia2014-20238075.470.8570605040302010059.254.654.6554.4254.7553.632014201520182019202020212022202315Description:Asof2023,paddyproductioninIndonesiawasestimatedtobearound53.63milliontons.Indonesiaisoneoftheworld'sleadingpaddyriceproducers,andriceisthestaplefoodformostIndonesians.

ReadmoreNote(s):Indonesia;2014to2023;Theproductionformisdryunhuskedpaddy.;*Preliminaryfigure.Datafor2016and2017werenotavailable.

Figureshavebeenrounded.

ReadmoreSource(s):StatisticsIndonesiaPaddyproductioninIndonesiain2023byprovince(inthousandmetrictons)PaddyproductionIndonesia2023,byprovinceProductionofpaddyinthousandmetrictons01,0002,0003,0004,0005,0006,0007,0008,0009,00010,00011,000EastJavaWestJavaCentralJava9,591.429,095.949,061.72SouthSulawesiSouthSumateraLampung4,943.12,762.062,728.78NorthSumateraBantenWestNusaTenggaraWestSumateraAceh2,080.661,678.771,546.821,457.51,393.47SouthKalimantanCentralSulawesi835.28812.9516Description:In2023,EastJavaemergedastheleadingproducerofpaddyinIndonesia,contributingthelargestvolumeat9.59millionmetrictons.Indonesiaisoneoftheworld'sleadingriceandpaddyproducers,withatotalpaddyproductionin2023reachingmorethan53.6millionmetrictons.AsriceisthestaplefoodinmanyIndonesians'diet,riceproductioninIndonesiaiscrucialforthenation'sfoodsecurity.ReadmoreNote(s):Indonesia;2023;Theproductionformisdryunhuskedpaddy.Source(s):StatisticsIndonesiaPaddyproductionvolumeinIndonesiain2022and2023,byharvestseason(inmillionmetrictons)PaddyproductionvolumeIndonesia2022-2023,byharvestseasonJanuarytoSeptemberOctobertoDecember60504030201009.328.345.43202245.332023*17Description:In2023,Indonesia'spaddyharvestduringtheJanuarytoSeptemberseasonaccountedforaround45.33metrictonsofitstotalpaddyproductionvolume.RicepaddyinIndonesiaiscommonlycultivatedduringthewetseasonfromOctobertoDecember,andharvestingusuallystartsbetweenFebruarytoApril.ReadmoreNote(s):Indonesia;2022to2023;Theproductionformisdryunhuskedpaddy.;*Preliminaryfigures.Figureshavebeenrounded.ReadmoreSource(s):StatisticsIndonesiaRiceproductionvolumeinIndonesiafrom2018to2023(inmillionmetrictons)VolumeofriceproducedinIndonesia2018-20234033.94353025201510531.5431.3131.3331.3630.90201820192020202120222023*18Description:In2023,theproductionvolumeofriceinIndonesiawasestimatedataround30.9millionmetrictons,indicatingadeclinecomparedtothepreviousyear.ChallengingclimateconditionsduetotheElNi?ophenomenontowardstheendof2023haveledtoasignificantdropinIndonesia'sriceproduction.Despitebeingoneoftheworld'slargestriceproducers,Indonesiastillneedstoimportricetofulfillitsdomesticconsumption.ReadmoreNote(s):Indonesia;2018to2023;*Preliminaryfigure.Figureshavebeenrounded.Figurespriorto2022camefrompreviousreporting.

ReadmoreSource(s):StatisticsIndonesiaRiceproductioninIndonesiain2023,byprovince(inthousandmetrictons)RiceproductionIndonesia2023,byprovinceProductionofriceinthousandmetrictons01,0002,0003,0004,0005,0006,000EastJavaWestJavaCentralJava5,538.285,252.745,211.02SouthSulawesiSouthSumateraLampung2,836.531,586.131,568.65NorthSumateraBanten1,193.5956.71WestNusaTenggaraWestSumatera880.99843.93AcehSouthKalimantanCentralSulawesi802.76494.22479.8719Description:In2023,EastJavaemergedastheleadingproducerofriceinIndonesia,contributingthelargestvolumeat5.54millionmetrictons.Indonesiaisoneoftheworld'sleadingriceandpaddyproducers,withatotalriceproductionin2023reachingmorethan30millionmetrictons.AsriceisthestaplefoodinmanyIndonesians'diet,riceproductioninIndonesiaiscrucialforthenation'sfoodsecurity.ReadmoreNote(s):Indonesia;2023Source(s):StatisticsIndonesiaRiceproductionvolumeinIndonesiain2022and2023,byharvestseason(inmillionmetrictons)RiceproductionvolumeIndonesia2022-2023,byharvestseasonJanuarytoSeptemberOctobertoDecember35302520151055.374.7826.17202226.1102023*20Description:In2023,Indonesia'sriceharvestduringtheJanuarytoSeptemberseasonaccountedforaround26.17metrictonsofitstotalriceproductionvolume.RicepaddyinIndonesiaiscommonlycultivatedduringthewetseasonfromOctobertoDecember,andharvestusuallystartsbetweenFebruarytoApril.ReadmoreNote(s):Indonesia;2022to2023;*Preliminaryfigures.Figureshavebeenrounded.ReadmoreSource(s):StatisticsIndonesiaCHAPTER

04ImportImportvalueofriceinIndonesiafrom2019to2023(inmillionU.S.dollars)ValueofriceimportIndonesia2019-20232,0001,789.021,8001,6001,4001,2001,000800600400195.412020202.042022184.252019183.820212000202322Description:In2023,theimportvalueofriceinIndonesiaamountedtoapproximately1.8billionU.S.dollars,indicatingasharpincreaseofalmostnine-foldfromthepreviousyear.ChallengingclimateconditionsduetotheElNi?ophenomenontowardstheendof2023haveledtoasignificantdeclineinIndonesia'sriceproduction.ReadmoreNote(s):Indonesia;2019to2023Source(s):MinistryofFinanceIndonesia;StatisticsIndonesiaImportvolumeofriceinIndonesiafrom2019to2023(in1,000metrictons)VolumeofriceimportinIndonesia2019-20233,5003,0002,5002,0001,5003,062.861,000444.51429.212022407.7420215000356.2920202019202323Description:In2023,theimportvolumeofriceinIndonesiareachedaroundthreemillionmetrictons,indicatingasharpincreaseofoverseven-foldfromthepreviousyear.ChallengingclimateconditionsduetotheElNi?ophenomenontowardstheendof2023haveledtoasignificantdeclineinIndonesia'sriceproduction.ReadmoreNote(s):Indonesia;2019to2023Source(s):MinistryofFinanceIndonesia;StatisticsIndonesiaRiceimportvalueinIndonesiain2023,bycountryoforigin(inmillionU.S.dollars)RiceimportvalueIndonesia2023,bycountryImportvalueinmillionU.S.dollars400

5000100200300600700800804.82900ThailandVietnamPakistanMyanmarIndia668.87182.3288.8235.51Japan

0.16China

0.14Others8.3924Description:In2023,Indonesiaimportedapproximately804.82millionU.S.dollarsworthofricefromThailand.ThetotalimportvalueofricetoIndonesiaamountedtoaround1.79billionU.S.dollarsinthesameyear.Indonesiaisoneoftheleadingriceandpaddyproducersworldwide.RiceisthemainstaplefoodformostIndonesians,however,thedomesticconsumptionusuallyexceedsthedomesticproduction.ReadmoreNote(s):Indonesia;2023;basedonCIFvalue.Source(s):StatisticsIndonesiaRiceimportvolumeinIndonesiain2023,bycountryoforigin(inthousandmetrictons)RiceimportvolumeIndonesia2023,bycountry1,6001,381.921,4001,2001,00080060040020001,147.71309.31141.269.72India12.930.060.01ThailandVietnamPakistanMyanmarOthersJapanChina25Description:In2023,Indonesiaimportedapproximately1.38millionmetrictonsofricefromThailand.ThetotalimportvolumeofricetoIndonesiaamountedtoaroundthreemillionmetrictonsinthesameyear.Indonesiaisoneoftheleadingriceandpaddyproducersworldwide.RiceisthemainstaplefoodformostIndonesians,however,thedomesticconsumptionusuallyexceedsthedomesticproduction.ReadmoreNote(s):Indonesia;2023Source(s):StatisticsIndonesiaCHAPTER

05ExportExportvalueofriceinIndonesiafrom2021to2023(inmillionU.S.dollars)ValueofriceexportinIndonesia2021-20233.02.612.51.962.01.51.00.50.01.8220212022202327Description:In2023,theexportvalueofricefromIndonesiaamountedtoapproximately1.82millionU.S.dollars.Overtheobservedperiod,therewasanoveralldecreasingtrendintheexportvalueofrice.

ReadmoreNote(s):Indonesia;2021to2023Source(s):StatisticsIndonesiaExportvolumeofriceinIndonesiafrom2021to2023(inmillionkilograms)VolumeofriceexportinIndonesia2021-20233.53.262.983.02.52.01.51.00.50.01.6520212022202328Description:Asof2023,thericeexportvolumefromIndonesiaamountedtoapproximately1.65millionkilograms.Duringtheobservedperiod,therewasanoveralldecreasingtrendinriceexportvolume.

ReadmoreNote(s):Indonesia;2021to2023Source(s):StatisticsIndonesiaExportvalueofmilledricefromIndonesiain2022,bycountryofdestination(in1,000U.S.dollars)ValueofmilledriceexportIndonesia2022,bycountryofdestinationExportvalueinthousandU.S.dollars600

80002004001,0001,2001,210.891,400PhilippinesMalaysia56.48UnitedStatesAfghanistanSaudiArabia39.828.2416.95Italy

3.5129Description:In2022,theexportvalueofmilledricefromIndonesiatothePhilippinesamountedtoapproximately1.2millionU.S.dollars.Indonesiaisoneoftheworld'slargestriceproducers.ReadmoreNote(s):Indonesia;2022;includesemi-milledandwhollymilledriceSource(s):StatisticsIndonesiaExportvolumeofmilledricefromIndonesiain2022,bycountryofdestination(inmetrictons)VolumeofmilledriceexportIndonesia2022,bycountryofdestinationExportvolumeinmetrictons1,50005001,0002,0002,5003,000PhilippinesAfghanistanMalaysia2,6813024.7820UnitedStatesSaudiArabia20Italy

0.4930Description:In2022,theexportvolumeofmilledricefromIndonesiatothePhilippinesreachedapproximately2,681metrictons.Indonesiaisoneoftheworld'slargestriceproducers.

ReadmoreNote(s):Indonesia;2022;includesemi-milledandwhollymilledrice.Source(s):StatisticsIndonesiaCHAPTER

06PricesMonthlyaverageproducerpriceofricefrommillersinIndonesiafromJanuary2023toFebruary2024,bygrade(in1,000Indonesianrupiahperkilogram)MonthlyproducerpriceofriceIndonesia2023-2024,bygradePremiumMediumOtherquality15.514.513.512.511.510.59.514.5314.1613.6613.1913.6613.3713.0113.3513.2512.9613.0713.0612.912.6912.5312.5312.3811.8211.311.7511.7511.6811.1211.6711.6211.0110.4311.5311.5411.1211.4711.3510.811.0510.5611.0810.5310.4710.4810.3210.310.23Jan2023

Feb2023

Mar2023

Apr2023

May2023

Jun2023

Jul2023

Aug2023

Sep2023

Oct2023

Nov2023

Dec2023

Jan2024

Feb202432/statistics/1460928/indonesia-rice-producer-price-by-gradeInFebruary2024,theaveragepriceofpremium-gradericesoldbymillersinIndonesiastoodatapproximately14,525Indonesianrupiahperkilogram.Ingeneral,thepriceofriceinIndonesiahasbeensteadilyincreasingovertheobservedperiod.

ReadmoreNote(s):Indonesia;January2023toFebruary2024Source(s):StatisticsIndonesiaMonthlyaveragewholesalepriceofriceinIndonesiafromJanuary2023toMarch2024(in1,000Indonesianrupiahperkilogram)MonthlywholesalepriceofriceIndonesia2023-202415.014.514.014.5314.413.5913.4613.3813.513.012.512.011.511.013.3213.0412.2712.1412.0912.112.1212.0411.9911.65Jan2023

Feb2023

Mar2023

Apr2023

May2023

Jun2023

Jul2023

Aug2023

Sep2023

Oct2023

Nov2023

Dec2023

Jan2024

Feb2024

Mar202433Description:AsofMarch2024,theaveragewholesalepriceofriceinIndonesiastoodatapproximately14,528Indonesianrupiahperkilogram.Thewholesalepriceofricehasbeensteadilyincreasingovertheobservedperiod,withasignificantriseofaroundsixpercentinFebruary2024.ReadmoreNote(s):Indonesia;January2023toMarch2024Source(s):StatisticsIndonesiaRetailpriceofriceinIndonesiafromFebruary2023toFebruary2024(in1,000Indonesianrupiahperkilogram)RetailpriceofriceinIndonesia2023-2024161415.1614.3814.2914.0214.0513.813.0712.7712.7912.8612.8612.8612.87121086420Feb2023

Mar2023

Apr2023

May2023

Jun2023Jul2023Aug2023

Sep2023

Oct2023

Nov2023

Dec2023

Jan2024Feb202434Description:AsofFebruary2024,theretailpriceofriceinIndonesiastoodatapproximately15,157Indonesianrupiahperkilogram.Thisindicatesanincreaseofaround18.41percentcomparedtothesamemonthintheyearprior.RiceretailpriceinIndonesiahasbeensteadilyincreasingsinceFebruary2023.ReadmoreNote(s):Indonesia;February2023toFebruary2024Source(s):StatisticsIndonesiaCHAPTER

07ConsumptionRiceconsumptionpercapitainIndonesiafrom2011to2021,withestimatesuntil2031(inkilograms)PercapitariceconsumptioninIndonesia2011-2031135132.21131.52131.22130.01

129.95130125120115110127.6127.44127.24125.26123.89121.29120.3119.82119.3118.77118.17117.6117.03116.44115.87115.292011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

2020

2021

2022*

2023*

2024*

2025*

2026*

2027*

2028*

2029*

2030*

2031*36Description:Asof2021,eachindividualinIndonesiaconsumedapproximately121.29kilogramsofrice.ThericeconsumptionpercapitainIndonesiawasfor