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UnitThreePropertyBoom1/701.Lead-in2.TextA:BetweenaRockandaLivingSpace3.TextB:BuildingExcitement2/70Lead-in3/70Lead-inThesearepicturesofthetopsixskyscrapersintheworld.Canyourecognizethem?Matchthepictureswiththeirnames.1)2)3)5)4)6)4/70Lead-inBURJDUBAITheworld’stallestbuildingsituatedinthecityofDubai-828mTaipei101FormerlyknownastheTaipeiWorldFinancialCenter:theworld'stallestfromto-509mSWFCShanghaiWorldFinancialCenterthesecondtallestbuildinginChina-492mThePetronas(馬石油)TwinTowersSkyscrapersandtwintowersinKuala(河口)Lumpur(吉隆坡),Malaysia-452mTheSears(西爾斯百貨)TowerTheworld’sfifthtallestbuildinginthecityofChicago-442mIFCHongKongInternationalFinancialCenterthetallestbuildinginHongKong-420m4)1)2)3)6)5)5/70房地產(chǎn)英語慣用詞匯
按揭貸款mortgageloan
按揭購房tobuyahouseonmortgage;tomortgageahouse
房屋空置率housingvacancyrate
安居工程ComfortableHousingProject
板樓,板式樓slab-typeapartmentbuilding
搬遷戶arelocatedunitorhousehold6/70炒房者realestatespeculator
房改housingsystemreform
房管realestatemanagement
房產(chǎn)市場realestatemarket城鎮(zhèn)住房公積金urbanhousingprovidentfund
低價住房low-costhousing
二手房second-handhouse
房產(chǎn)估價師realestateassessor
房產(chǎn)證propertyownershipcertificate7/70UsefulExpressionA:Whatisthesquareareaofyourproperty?Howmanybedroomsandlivingrooms?你單位面積有多大?有多少間睡房和客廳?
B:Itsgrossareaisapproximatelyninehundredsquarefeet.There'sonelivingroom,onediningroom,onemasterroomandtwobedrooms.建筑面積約九百平方英尺,有一個客廳、一個飯廳、一間主人套房和兩間睡房。8/70
B:MayIknowthesize,thelayoutofthehouse?可否告訴我那個單位面積、間格怎樣?
A:Sure.Theareaofthisflatisaroundninehundredsquarefeet.Itisdesignedasonelivingroom,onediningroom,onemasterbedroomandtwobedrooms.當(dāng)然能夠。房子面積約九百平方英尺,單位設(shè)計為一個客廳、一個飯廳、一個主人套房和兩個睡房。9/70B:Howaboutthepriceandthebankmortgage?售價和銀行貸款怎樣?
A:TheaverageunitpriceisfivemillionHongKongdollars.Thereareeightdifferentbanksthatwillprovideaseventypercentmortgageloan.Also,thedeveloperwillofferanothertenpercentmortgagetopurchasers.平均售價約港幣五百萬元,。有八間銀行提供七成按揭貸款,而發(fā)展商亦可提供另外一成按揭給認(rèn)購者。10/70TextABetweenaRockandaLivingSpace11/70'SubprimeMortgage'
Atypeofmortgagethatisnormallymadeouttoborrowerswithlowercreditratings.Asaresultoftheborrower'slowered
creditrating,a
conventionalmortgage
isnotofferedbecausethelenderviewstheborrowerashavingalarger-than-averageriskofdefaultingontheloan.Lendinginstitutionsoftenchargeintereston
subprime
mortgagesataratethatishigherthanaconventionalmortgageinordertocompensatethemselvesforcarryingmorerisk.
12/70TheU.S.
subprimemortgagecrisis
wasanationwidebankingemergencythatcoincidedwiththeU.S.recessionofDecember–June.Itwastriggeredbyalargedeclineinhomeprices,leadingtomortgagedelinquencies(按揭拖欠)andforeclosures(止贖)andthedevaluationofhousing-relatedsecurities.Declinesinresidentialinvestmentprecededtherecessionandwerefollowedbyreductionsinhouseholdspendingandthenbusinessinvestment.Spendingreductionsweremoresignificantinareaswithacombinationofhighhouseholddebtandlargerhousingpricedeclines.
13/70Thecrisishadsevere,long-lastingconsequencesfortheU.S.andEuropeaneconomies.TheU.S.enteredadeeprecession,withnearly9millionjobslostduringand,roughly6%oftheworkforce.Oneestimateoflostoutputfromthecrisiscomesto"atleast40%ofgrossdomesticproduct".U.S.housingpricesfellnearly30%onaverageandtheU.S.stockmarketfellapproximately50%byearly.Europealsocontinuedtostrugglewithitsown
economiccrisis,withelevatedunemploymentandseverebankingimpairmentsestimatedat€940billionbetweenand14/70BetweenaRockandaLivingSpacebetween___and___betweenthedevilandthedeepseabetweenarockandahardplace進(jìn)退維谷,進(jìn)退兩難15/70StructuralAnalysisPara.MainTopicsPara.1-3Anintroductionofthecurrentsituationofpropertyboomandabriefanalysisofreasonsandlessonslearnt.Para.4-15Adetaileddiscussionofwhatpolicymakersandfinancialregulatorscoulddotocontrolthepropertybubblesandavoidthecrisis.Para.16-20AsummaryoftheeconomicsituationbothintheUSandintheEuropeaftertheburstingofthebubblesandwhatcanwelearnfromit.16/70unprecedented(Line.7,Para.1)
adj.neverhavehappenedbefore…example:anunprecedentedexpansioninpopulationandindustrySuchamoveisrare,butnotunprecedented.
PartI
WordsandExpressions17/70lunatic(Line7,Para.1)adj.
insane,veryfoolishandpossiblydangerous瘋狂,愚蠢地example:Hepleadsforsanity
(明智;頭腦清楚)ina
lunatic
world.The
man’s
lunatic
behavior
isa
menace
to
society.PartI
WordsandExpressions18/70underwriting(Line3,Para.2)underwrite
v.
Ifaninstitutionorcompanyunderwritesanactivity,theyagreetoprovideanymoneyneededtocoverlosses為…提供經(jīng)濟(jì)擔(dān)保example:Thegovernmentwillhavetocreateaspecialagencytounderwritesmallbusinessloans.
underwritern.保險企業(yè),擔(dān)保人PartI
WordsandExpressions19/70odds(Line.9,Para.2)
n.(pl.)
theprobabilityofaspecifiedoutcome可能性,幾率
example:Whatarethe
odds
offindingaparkingspacerightoutsidethedoor?The
odds
arethatyouaregoingtofail.PartI
WordsandExpressions20/70Someotherphrasesusing“odds”againstalloddssth.
happensorsucceedsalthoughitseemedimpossibleorveryunlikely
盡管困難重重Somewomendomanagetoachievebusinesssuccessagainstall
odds.
atodds
disagreeingorquarrellingwitheachother不和,有矛盾Hewasat
odds
withhisPrimeMinister.PartI
WordsandExpressions21/70default(Line.9,Para.2)
n.actoffailingtomeetafinancialobligation違約,不推行
example:Thecompanyisin
default
ontheloan.Thecorporationmaybechargedwithdefaultonitscontractwiththegovernment.PartI
WordsandExpressions22/70PartI
QuestionsaboutPartI
Q1.WhatdoestheRobertShiller’sindextellus?ItisanindexshowingthefluctuationofrealhousepricesinAmerica.Accordingtoit,thehousepricesdidnotchangemuchduringthe100yearsbetween1890-1990,however,startingfromthelate1990s,housepricesnearlydoubledwithinadecade,whichwasquitedramatic.23/70PartI
QuestionsaboutPartIQ2.Whatlessonscanwelearnfromthecrisis?
Theriskmanagementandunderwritingpracticesshouldbechanged,withmoreemphasisonaffordability,morerigorousstress-testing,andbetterpricingforborrowerswithmoreequitytoputin.24/70PartI
QuestionsaboutPartI
Q3.Whatarethereasonsforthispropertyboom?Propertymarketisveryattractiveforbanksforseveralreasons.First,theloanstopropertyarerelativelylightoncapitalandguaranteedbyrealassets;Second,themortgagesarethoughttotightenalong-termrelationshipwithcustomers;Third,lendingoncommercialpropertywillhelpthesalesteamsofabanktomeettheirtargeteasily.25/70
…h(huán)eisworkingonwaystorelatecustomers’creditscorestothemacroeconomicenvironmentsothatlenderscanjudgehowtheoddsofdefaultchangewhen,say,unemploymentgoesupordown.(Line7,Para.2)
Heisanalyzingtherelationbetweencustomers’creditscoresandthemacroeconomicsituation.Therefore,withtheinformationofchangeinunemploymentrate,bankscanfindoutthepossibilitiesofwhetheraborrowerwouldrepayordefaultthebankloan.PartI
SentenceInterpretation26/70
Lendingoncommercialpropertyislumpyenoughforasinglebigdealtogetsalesteamstotheirtargets.(Line4,Para.3)
Lendingoncommercialpropertyusuallyinvolvesalargeamountofcapital,thereforeasingledealisbigenoughforthesalesteamstomeettheirsalestargets.PartI
SentenceInterpretation27/70fare(Para.4)v.proceedorgetalong進(jìn)展,經(jīng)歷example:
Hefaredwellonhistrip.ItisunlikelythattherealestateindustrywillfareanybetterinSeptember.PartII
WordsandExpressions28/70recourse(Para.6)n.actofturningtoforassistanceorsth/someoneturnedtoforassistanceorsecurity求援,求援對象,(商業(yè),法律)追索權(quán)Synonym:resortexample:
Hisonlyrecoursewasthepolicy.ThefoundingoftheUnitedNationsenableditsmemberstosettletheirdifferenceswithoutrecoursetowar.PartII
WordsandExpressions29/70subdue(Para.6)v.Putdownbyforceorauthority制服
to~feelingsmeanstomakethemlessstrong抑制(情感),抑制example:
Seniorgovernmentofficialsadmittheyhavenotbeenabletosubduetherebels.Heforcedhimselftosubdueandovercomehisfears.PartII
WordsandExpressions30/70fiscal(Para.6)
adj.involvingfinancialmattersorsththatrelatedtogovernmentmoneyorpublicmoney,especiallytaxes會計,財政example:
fiscaldeficit財政赤字fiscalpolicy財政政策fiscalrevenue財政收入fiscalyear財政年度PartII
WordsandExpressions31/70disentangle(Para.7)v.Separatefromthingsthataretwistedorknottedaround,ormakeiteasiertounderstandormanagetounderstandit,byclearlyrecognizingeachseparateelement解開,擺脫或者了解(復(fù)雜情況)example:
Shakeyourropeandletitdisentanglegradually.It’simpossibletodisentanglethemythfromreality.PartII
WordsandExpressions32/70liquidity(Para.8)n.Infinance,acompany’sliquidityistheamountofcashorliquidassetsithaseasilyavailable流動資產(chǎn),資產(chǎn)折現(xiàn)力,償債能力example:
marketliquidity
市場流動性excessliquidity
流動性過剩HongKong'sfinancialmarketsarecharacterizedbyahighdegreeof
liquidity.
PartII
WordsandExpressions33/70legitimate(Para.12)
adj.lawful,basedonknownstatementsorinaccordancewithrecognizedoracceptedstandardsorprinciples正當(dāng),正當(dāng),合理example:
Sicknessisa
legitimate
reasonforaskingforleave.TheNewYorkTimeshasa
legitimate
claimtobeanationalnewspaper.
PartII
WordsandExpressions34/70speculative(Para.13)
adj.itisusedtodescribeactivitieswhichinvolvebuyinggoodsorshares,orproperties,inthehopeofbeingabletosellthemagainatahigherpriceandmakeaprofit.投機(jī)example:
speculativebusiness投機(jī)生意Thehotelwasbuiltasa
speculative
venturebutnevercompleted.
PartII
WordsandExpressions35/70Q1.Whatarethethreeleversthatpolicymakerscanpulltomakepropertysafe(Para.5-13)?Thefirstleveristheinstitutionalframework–thingsliketaxbreaks,housingsubsidies,landsupplyandthelawsonrecourseintheeventofdefault.Thesecondleveristhesystemofmortgagefinancing.Thethirdleveristheideamacroprudentialregulationwhichisalreadycommoninsomepartsoftheworld.PartII
QuestionsaboutPartII36/70Q2.
WhatarethecharacteristicsoftheDanishsystem?(Para.8-11)
Itfeaturesspecializedmortgagelendersthatobservestrictloan-to-valuelimits.Italsoprotectsborrowersfrominterest-rateriskbyofferinglong-termfixed-ratemortgages.Ithasanimplicitgovernmentguarantee.PartII
QuestionsaboutPartII37/70Q3.
Whatmightbetheconsequencesofimposingrigidlimitsontheamountpeoplecanborrow?(Para.12)Itdeprivesfirst-timebuyersandtheself-employedoftheirrighttoraiseabankloan.Or,itrisksencouragingthemtoseekmoreexpensiveandunsecuredmethodoffinancing.
Somelendersalsofretthatifunderwritingbecomestoodirective,borrowersarerelievedoftakingresponsibilityfortheirownactions.
PartII
QuestionsaboutPartII38/70Q4.
Whymacroprudentialregulationishardtoimplement?(Para.14)Firstitisdifficulttospotthebubblesbeforetheyburst.Andassoonasthepropertyboomsgetgoing,theyarehardtocalmdown.Alsothiskindofregulationmightbemoresuitableforemergingmarketsthandevelopedmarkets.PartII
QuestionsaboutPartII39/70
thefirstistheinstitutionalframeworkthatiscontrolledbygovernments–thingsliketaxbreaks,housingsubsidies,landsupplyandthelawsonrecourseintheeventofdefault.(Line1,Para.6)Thefirstleverthatpolicymakerscanpullisbyadjustingtheoverallsystem–thingslikepreferentialpoliciesontax,housingsubsidies,landsupplyandthelawstoresorttoifsomeonefailstofulfillhisfinancialobligation.PartII
SentenceInterpretation40/70
Disentanglingthevariouscausesofthepropertybubbleisextremelydifficult,butfewwoulddisputethateasycreditplayedapartindrivinguppricesandmakingthebustworse.(Line1,Para.7)Itisverydifficulttoanalyzeandfindoutthevariouscausesofthepropertybubble,butonethingisclearthateasyonlendingbybanksplayedanimportantpartindrivinguphousingpricesandmakingresultoftheburstevenworse.PartII
SentenceInterpretation41/70
Thathasundoubtedappealforpolicymakersincountrieswherefloating-ratemortgagesexposeborrowerstotheriskofpaymentshocksasratesrise.(Line4,Para.9)
Withthefloating-ratemortgages,borrowersneedtopaymorewheninterest-raterises,whichmightbequickashockforthem.ThereforetheDanishsystemoffixed-ratemortgagesseemsveryattractive.PartII
SentenceInterpretation42/70
Thesearelegitimateworries,buttheycarryalarmingechoesofargumentsputforwardbybankersattheheightofthehousingboomjustgone.(Line7,Para.12)Thesearereasonableworries,butweshouldbealarmedthatduringthehousingboomwhichhadjustburst,alotofbankersalsoarguedagainstrigidlimitsonhowmuchpeoplecanborrowandhaddifferentopinionsaboutthem.PartII
SentenceInterpretation43/70leverage(Line2,Para.19)
n.investingwithborrowedmoneyasawaytoamplifypotentialgains(attheriskofgreaterlosses)杠桿效應(yīng),舉債經(jīng)驗(yàn)example:
leverageeffectfinancialleverageOneofthedefinitionofleverageistheabilitytodomorewithless.PartIII
WordsandExpressions44/70discretionary(Line8,Para.19)
adj.discretionarythingsarenotfixedbyrulesbutaredecidedonbypeopleinauthority,whoconsidereachindividualcase.
酌情決定example:
Thecommissionhasdiscretionarypowertoawardextrafunds.OfcourseIhavediscretionaryincome(可隨意支配收入).PartIII
WordsandExpressions45/70Q1.
WhatisthecurrentsituationinAmericaafterthepropertycrisis?(Para.16)?
TheworsteffectsareprobablyoverinAmerica.Themostaffectedbanksaresmallerlendersandthegovernmentiswillingtoprovidesupporttoresidentialmarkets.Althoughthedroppinghousingpricemightslowdowntheeconomicrecovery.PartIII
QuestionsaboutPartIII46/70Q2.
WhataboutEurope?(Para.17)
Thelong-termeffectsmightlingerforyearsinEurope.Housingpricecontinuestofall;certainEuropeanbanksandgovernments’abilitytocopewithlossesarereallydoubtfulandtheriskofinterest-raterisesgraduallyoccurs.PartIII
QuestionsaboutPartIII47/70
Aspropertyweighsdownbanks’balance-sheets,first-timebuyers’struggletogetonthehousingladderandbuildingsinsecond-ratelocationsslowlydecay.(Line5,Para.17)
Aspropertyloanstakeupalargeproportionofbanksassets,ononehandfirst-timebuyershavetostruggletopayfortheloanandrisinginterests,ontheotherhandbuildingsinnotsofavorablelocationswillbeleftwithoutbuyers.PartIII
SentenceInterpretation48/70
Uppingtheamountofequitythatbankshavetoholdisonewayofkeepingdowntheamountofdebtthatfindsitswayintoproperty.(Line2,Para.19)Increasingtheamountofnetassetsthatbankshavetoholdasguaranteeisonewayofkeepingdowntheamountofdebtthatisinevitableinpropertyfinancing.PartIII
SentenceInterpretation49/70III.Paraphrasing1.Rewriting:Rewritetheunderlinedpartofeachsentenceinyourownwords.1)Itisnoteasytofindoutthereasonsforthepropertybubble,butfewwoulddisputethateasycreditplayedapartindrivinguppricesandmakingthebustworse.2)Imposingrigidlimitsonhowmuchpeoplecanborroweitherdisenfranchisessome—first-timebuyersandtheself-employedtendtosuffermost—orincreasesthe
risksforthoseresortingtoamoreexpensive,unsecuredwayoffinancinginordertobypasstheregulation.3)DespitetheevidenceofMr.Shiller‘schart,lotsoffinanciersandpoliticianstriedto
convincethemselvesthatthingswerenotthatbadthistime.4)Still,itisrelativelyeasytocooldownthepropertyboomsinemergingmarkets,wherethereareusuallymorepeopletohelpintohomesthanthereareexistinghomeowners.5)Thereforefinancialregulatorsshouldbegivenclearauthorizedpowertoresistthepressurestheywillfacewhenthenextboomisunderway.50/702.SentenceTransformation:Completethefollowingsentencesbasedonthestructuresgiven.1)Onlyifbasicguaranteestandardscontinuetobemet,canmoreliberalfinancingregimesbeagoodthing(askanyyoungItalianwhowantstobuyahome).2)long-termfixed-ratemortgagesareadoptedbytheDanishsystem,justliketheAmericanone,toprotectborrowersfromtherisksofinterest-ratefluctuation.3)Itisalsoworriedbysomelendersthatifbanksimposetoostrictrulestoguarantee
thepaymentofloans,theborrowerswouldnotbearresponsibilityfortheirown
actions.4)Differentfromtheuniversalexcessivenessofpropertyeverywhere,thepolicy
responsetothepropertyboomsinthepastdecadewillandshouldnotbethesamein
differentcountries.5)Inordertolowertheamountofdebtwhichisunavoidableinproperty,bankshavetoincreasetheamountofequitytheyhold.51/70IV.Translation1.SentenceTranslation1)在銀行零售業(yè)務(wù)中,抵押貸款被認(rèn)為是一項能有利于銀行與客戶建立長久關(guān)系業(yè)務(wù)。而商業(yè)房地產(chǎn)貸款則因?yàn)閿?shù)額巨大能夠一次性地使銷售團(tuán)體到達(dá)他們目標(biāo)。2)第一個杠桿是由政府控制體制框架——像稅收減免、住房津貼、土地供給和相關(guān)違約追訴法律等等。3)依據(jù)意在削減美國預(yù)算赤字而起草提案,抵押貸款利息所享受稅務(wù)優(yōu)惠將會降低。4)許多經(jīng)濟(jì)觀察家熱情推薦丹麥模式,這種模式特點(diǎn)在于由專業(yè)從事抵押貸款業(yè)務(wù)銀行對放貸比率進(jìn)行嚴(yán)格控制。5)中國、新加坡以及其它國家和地域政府和調(diào)控部門好像一直都在采取調(diào)整放貸比率,限制用于投機(jī)性房產(chǎn)購置貸款數(shù)量,對在一定時限內(nèi)拋售房產(chǎn)征稅等辦法。52/702.PassageTranslationForthepasttwodecadesormore,urbanizationinChinahascomerelativelyeasily.Asthecountryproudlyclaims,slumsandshantytownsarerarecomparedwithotherdevelopingcountries.Butensuringacontinuingnetinflowofmigrantsintothecitiesastheyoungestcohortshrinkswillmeangivingworkersfromthecountrysidemoreincentivestostaypermanently(suchasaffordablehousingandschooling).Moremoneyisbeingspentonthese,butnotyetenough.Citiessaytheywelcomemigrants,butsomefindroundaboutwaysofkeepingthemfromsettling.Beijingrecentlylaunchedasetofextraordinarymeasurestotamepropertypricesandeasetrafficcongestionthatincludedallbutbanningmigrants(one-thirdofthecity‘spopulation)frombuyinghomesorcars.
Inthenameofimprovingsafety,ithasstartedclosingdownbasementdwellingswheremigrantsoftenlive.53/70
TextBBuildingExcitement--CanChinaavoidabubble?54/70?什么是合理房價,國外慣用房價收入比概念來界定,即房屋總價與居民家庭年收入比值。盡管房價收入比是一個全球通用指標(biāo),但其合理范圍卻沒有嚴(yán)格界定。世界銀行認(rèn)為,合理房價收入比應(yīng)該為3-6倍55/70?圖1
1998-年全國商品住宅房價收入比情況(來自新浪財經(jīng))56/70StructuralAnalysisPara.MainTopicsPara.1-3Abriefillustrationofthedifferenceinpropertymarketbetweentherich-worldandtheemergingmarket.Para.4-7AdetailedexplanationofwhymanypeoplearenervousaboutthestateoftheChinesepropertymarket.Para.8-15ReasonsforChineseoverheatedpropertymarketandmeasurestakenbythegovernmenttocoolitdown.Para.16-17AcomparisonbetweensomeplacesinChinaandplacessuchasDubai.57/70I.DiscussionQuestions1.Whatarethetwoprimaryworriesforforeigninvestorsconcerningemergingmarkets?Howtoavoidtherisksofoversupply?Exercises
I.Speaking58/70Legalissuesandtherushofnewsupply.Onewaytomanagetheriskofoversupplyistotakecapitaloutofemergingmarketsasquicklyaspossible.Anotheristogoforthelesscrowdedpartsofthemarket,suchasthelogisticssectororshoppingcenters.Exercises
I.Speaking59/702.WhatphenomenahavebeennoticedbyanalystssuggestingacrashofChina’spropertymarket?Exercises
I.Speaking60/70InJanuarythreeofthetenbiggestshortpositionsinHongKong-listedmainlandcompanieswereheldinpropertyfirms.Nationally,incomesinChinahavelargelykeptpacewithrisingprices,butanIMFreportinDecembersaidthatinsomebigcit
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