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ARGUMENT就開始拼命獨立思考,獨GG女的普通一員。還有那些找到各種我說簡單就更沒有錯了,那簡直是人生的哲學(xué),決不是局限在寫作文上。ARGUMENT已經(jīng)很認(rèn)真了,再塌實下心來辨,Inthisargument,theargueradvocatesthat[mainidea].Althoughthisargumentmightseemreasonableatfirstglance,itisinfactill-conceived.Thereasonsarestatedasfollows.Inthefirstce,thearguerassumesthat[fallacy1].Althoughthisisentirelypossible,theargueroffersnoevidencetosubstantiatethiscrucialassumption.Itisverylikelythat[reason1].Anappropriateexampleisnotveryfartoseek.[example1].Thearguer'sreasoningisdefiniyflawedunlessthearguercanconvincemethattheseandotherpossiblescenariosareunlikely.Inthesecondce,thearguerassumesthat[fallacy2].Nevertheless,thereisnoguaranteethatitisnecessarilythecase,andthearguerdoesnotsupplyanyevidencetoconfirmthisassumption.Itisquitepossiblethat[reason2].Toillustratethispointclearly,letustakealookatthefollowingrepresentativeexample.[example2].Withoutaccountingforandrulingouttheseandotheralternativeexnations,thearguercannotbolsterthe Thelastbutnottheleastimportant,eveniftheevidenceturnsouttosupporttheforegoingassumptions,thearguerjustsimplyassumesthat[fallacy2]andneitheranyconclusivescientificevidencenoranyanecdotalevidenceisprovidedtoaffirmthisassumption.Itisreasonabletodoubtthatwhatthearguerassumeswillnothappeninreality.Itisjustaspossiblethat[reason3].Forexample,[example3].Toreachthecitedconclusion,thearguermustexineitherwhynoneofthesealternativesisavailableorwhynoneofthemisabletosustain.Tosumup,thearguer’sargumentmentionedaboveisnotbasedonvalidevidenceorsoundreasoning,neitherofwhichisdispensableforaconclusiveargument.Inordertodrawabetterconclusion,thearguershouldreasonmoreconvincingly,citesomeevidencethatismorepersuasive,andtakeeverypossibleconsiderationintoaccount.是廢話的模板就已然313字了,再加些簡單的句型、的例子……你寫不出500字我請你吃飯!食物當(dāng)然也要簡單,鮑魚龍蝦這種低級的食物就不要吃啦……尋找邏輯錯誤會是你復(fù)習(xí)ARGUMENT的一個重點。至于每個邏輯錯誤需要提供的章,哪有時間去細(xì)讀你的?早晚要簡單,并沒有別的出路?!nd·mainidea[main·inorderto好/boost(sagging)profits/improvetheeconomic·AshouldemulateB’sTobolsterthethearguerprovidestheevidencethat...,pointsoutthat...citestheresultofaresentsurveythat...indicatedapreferencefor...citesdatacollectedduringarecentstudy,suggestingthat...alongwiththefactthat.../basedonwhichheassumesthat...Inaddition/Furthermore/Meanwhile, ·thesamplingofthestudyisItisverylikelythattheexperimentalandthecontrolgroupsofthestudywerenotrandomlyForexample,theyarejust...whichcouldnotrepresentadiversecrosssectionofthe·itisnecessary·beresponsiblefor/contributeto/givebirth·thistrendin...willcontinueinthe·thesimilarstrategywillcarryasimilarresultat·nocourseofactionotherthantheproposedonewillcontributetotheItisjustaspossiblethatotherproposalsmightalsosolvetheproblem.Forexample,thereare... ·thereisnopossibledetrimentaleffect suchas/especially·Ahasexperiencedalargegrowthinits·imprudent(pricinganddistribution)strategiesorpoor ...wasan ·...wasmorerelativelyhealthy/relativelybrightthanaveragetobeginwith.Forexample,theyexerciseregularlyandeathealthily ...donothaveenoughsecurityknowledgeinmindordonotkeepalertalltheForexample,alargeportionofA,whoenjoythefeelingof domandhighspeed,areboldandcareless,whichmaybethelurkingdangerforaccidents.weretravelingduringlesssafetimesoftheday,suchasearlyinthemorning,orduringthegeographicfeaturesof...aremoreconductivetocauseForexample,...hasmanysharpthepriceof...hasbeencutdowninordertotoutAisatourresort,sothecustomerswho...aremainlytouristsinsteadoflocalmostoftheconsumptionisfromthe ’sinvitationAhassomespecialadvantagethatBdonothave-andthatitcannotduplicateinanyotherPropertyvaluesareafunctionofsupplyandItisatleastlikelythatthedemandforhousingintheareahappenstodramaticallyduetoaninfluxofmajoremployers.Inaddition,itispossiblethatthesupplyofhousinghasA’scompetitiveopponentfirmsandcompaniesmovetoothercities.(gothecostfor...mayhasgoneuprapidly,whichwillhavetobeincludedintheretailpriceofconsumptionofothersimilarproductshavealsodeclinedduringthattime,theamountofwhichmightevenexceedthatof... theearlierproductsareprohibitivelyexpensiveformost theuniversitybuiltmorelaboratoriesinthepasttwoyears,andthen,itisobviousthatmoremoneywouldspendonthenewprojects.therearetoofewprofessorsofbotanyintheuniversityandthealthoughlackofinterest,havenochoicebuttoattendThomas'stheclassessheteachesarerequirementsforeverysciencetheschoolhiredmoreeffectiveteacherswhoseoutstandingteachingmethodscontributedtotheimprovementof……...hastoupdateitstrucks,whichareoldandoutofservice,ratherthanaddtoitsthesizeofthefarmshasForexample,afarmwhichhas30cowsproducingmoremilkthantwofarmseachofwhichhas10cows....isnotsogood,sopeopleareunwillingtogoto...whentheymanycustomersareindeeddisgruntledabout...,buttoobusytotaketimeandeffortto collegecareer-nningstaffprovidesstudentswithlittleinformationaboutthecurrentjob·theyhavealreadyattendedasimilar·therearecheaperbuthighly-qualifiedproductsfromtheformidableopponents/thesurroundingareascomingintheinstantfutureinsomuchastheseproductswilltoutmorecustomersandmakethefuture’ssalessharplydown;theconsumertastesandhabitshave esowellentrenchedthatconsumerswouldnotbegladtochange.Itiswellknownthatthetasteofthepublicespeciallywhenitcomestosuchvoguecasesas...shiftsquickerthananyonecanimagine.Today’shotissuemaywellbeintomorrow’slandfill.Maybeatthattime...areinthefashiondueto...otherthan...manyunemployedresidentsareunwillingtogotoworkifofferedthechance,fortheirhandsomewelfarecansupporttheirfamilies242 銷量[畫蛇添足]+[過去經(jīng)濟上升]+[未來經(jīng)濟下降023_海鮮飯館[過去經(jīng)濟上升 錯誤]+[未來經(jīng)濟下降 085_州長[數(shù)字假象]+[數(shù)字假象]+[空間變化]參考教授那道題目[未來優(yōu)秀 184_書庫空間[影響 176176201204thearguerassumesthatnofactorotherthan....isresponsiblefor/givesbirthtothesalesItisatleastlikelythatthepriceofAhasbeencutdowninordertotoutconsumers,ifso,theincreaseofthesalesistheresultofthepreferentialpriceotherthan·theparticularrelishamong·healthItisatleastlikelyAhassomespecialadvantagethatBdonothave-andthatitcannotduplicateinanyothertypes.Forthat,theincreaseofthesalesistheresultoftheproductsselfotherthanthe(Property)valuesareafunctionofsupplyandPerhapsthedemandforhousingintheareahasincreasedduetoaninfluxofmajorOr,perhapsthesupplyofhousinghasdecreased.Eitherscenariowouldprovideanalternativeexnationfortheincreaseinpropertyvalues.Moreover,itispossiblethat...isatourresort,sothecustomerswho...aremainlytouristsinsteadoflocalresidents.Inthiscase,thebusinessobjectisdifferent,andtheyshouldtrytheirbesttoattractthetouristtopatronizetherestaurant/store.Moreover,itispossiblethatmostoftheconsumptionisfromthebig ’sinvitationbanquet.Inthiscase,thebusinessobjectisdifferent,andtheyshouldtrytheirbesttopaymoreattentionindevelotherelationwiththe Sincethearguerhasnotclearlyidentifiedthecauseoftheincrease,Icannotbeconvincedthat...190212218232·thenewstrategywill190212218232thearguerassumesthatnofactorotherthan....isresponsiblefor/givesbirthtothesalesItisatleastlikelythat...areprohibitivelyexpensiveforthekeyifso,thedeclineofthesalesistheresultoftheimprudentpricingotherthan·thewaningofinterestamong·worryaboutyouthful Moreover,aswellknowntoall,a...mayseeslowgrowthorevendepressionbecauseoffactorsotherthan...lackingofinvestmentsorqualifiedworkers,rigidpolicies(imprudentdistributionstrategies/poormanagement)mayallaccountfortheunfavorablesituationoftheThearguerarrivesattheconclusionbeforegivingoutanyresearchingresultregardingthecauseofit.Iftheproblemdoesnotliein...atthe...willbeoflittlehelptotheeconomicsituationoftheconsumptionofothersimilarproductshavealsodeclinedduringthattime,theamountofwhichmightevenexceedthatof...Ifthemainproblemdoesnotliein...atall,itappearsreasonable,therefore,forthearguertofocusonthesetroublespotsotherthanto...SincethearguerhasnotclearlyidentifiedthecauseoftheIcannotbeconvincedthatthenewstrategywillreversethatdeclineatallletalone量Secondly,evenifthesalesdeclineisattributable量evenifweconcedethat...,thisdoesnotnecessarilymeanthatby...sales·remainincreasingoratleastnotdropconsideringsomevolatilefactorsinbusiness:Analternativeexnationmaybethattherearecheaperbuthighly-qualifiedproductsfromtheformidableopponents,comingintheinstantfutureinsomuchastheseproductswilltoutmorecustomersand·makethefuture’ssalessharply·diminishthe...’sInaddition,evenif...achievesmonopolyinthisthetasteofthepublicshiftsquickerthananyonecanimagine.Today’shotissuemaywellbeintomorrow’slandfill,especiallywhenitcomestosuchvoguecasesas...,(lettingalonetheartifactsfrom...yearsago).Maybeatthattime...areinthefashionnomatterbecausefinequalityorchictraits.Onceoneofthesepossibilitiescomesintobeing,salesformoreproductswoulddwindle(andtheprofitwouldbeseriouslyaffected.)Therefore,fortheotherthansurprisingincreaseofotherthanimaginingincreaseofdeliberateysisofthefuture’strendinsupply-demandofproductsintermsofsomekeyeconomicfactorsisjudicioustowhether....thearguerfailstoprovidecompellingevidenceconcerningthefuture’schangeinsalesfortheirproduct.Eventhoughthesalesforproductsincreasedinthepast,itisdubiousthatthefuture’ssaleswillremainincreasingoratleastnotdropconsideringsomevolatilefactorsinbusiness:1.競爭因素Perhapstherearemorecheapbuthighly-qualifiedproductsfromthecompetingrivals,comingtheinstantfutureinsomuchastheseproductswilltoutmorecustomsandmakethefuture’ssalessharplydown;ornationwideeconomicbottomofthecomingfutureintheeconomycyclemaymakecustomersimmediaydemandlessproducts;andsolike.Onceoneofthesepossibilitiescomesintobeing,salesformoreproductswoulddwindleandtheprofitwouldbeseriouslyaffected.Therefore,forthearguer,otherthansurprisingincreaseofsales,deliberateysisofthefuture’strendinsupply-demandofproductsintermsofsomekeyeconomicfactorsisjudicioustowhether....170thearguerfailstoprovidecompellingevidenceconcerningthefuture’schangeinsalesfortheirproduct.Eventhoughthesalesforproductsincreasedinthepast,itisdubiousthatthefuture’ssaleswillremainincreasingoratleastnotdropconsideringsomevolatilefactorsinbusiness:1.競爭因素Perhapstherearemorecheapbuthighly-qualifiedproductsfromthecompetingrivals,comingtheinstantfutureinsomuchastheseproductswilltoutmorecustomsandmakethefuture’ssalessharplydown;thetasteofthepublicshiftsquickerthananyonecanimagine.Today’shotissuemaywellbeintomorrow’slandfill.ItispossiblethatAcitizenshavebeenmakingotherchangesintheirdietaryorotherhabitsthatoffsetthesehealthfulchanges.Onceoneofthesepossibilitiescomesintobeing,salesformoreproductswoulddwindleandtheprofitwouldbeseriouslyaffected.Therefore,forthearguer,otherthansurprisingincreaseofsales,deliberateysisofthefuture’strendinsupply-demandofproductsintermsofsomekeyeconomicfactorsisjudicioustowhether....evenifweconcedethat...,thisdoesnotnecessarilymeanthatby...values·remainincreasingoratleastnotdropconsideringsomevolatilefactorsinbusiness:Analternativeexnationmaybethattherearecheaperbuthighly-qualifiedhomesfromsurroundingareas,comingintheinstantfutureinsomuchasthesehomeswilltoutmoreliversandmakethefuture’svaluessharplydown;Inaddition,evenif...achievesmonopolyinthisthetasteofthepublicshiftsquickerthananyonecanimagine.Today’shotissuemaywellbeintomorrow’slandfill,especiallywhenitcomestosuchvoguecasesas...,(lettingalonetheartifactsfrom...yearsago).Maybeatthattime...areinthefashionnomatterbecausefinequalityorchictraits.Onceoneofthesepossibilitiescomesintobeing,salesformoreproductswoulddwindle(andtheprofitwouldbeseriouslyaffected.)Therefore,fortheotherthansurprisingincreaseofotherthanimaginingincreaseof ysisofthefuture’strendinsupply-demandofproductsintermsofsomekeyeconomicfactorsisjudicioustowhether....evenifweconcedethatthisdoesnotnecessarilymeanthatameliorationintheseaspectswillstimulateAswellknowntoall,a...mayseeslowgrowthorevendepressionbecauseoffactorsotherthan...Improperindustrialinitialization,lackingofinvestmentsorqualifiedworkers,rigidpolicies(imprudentdistributionstrategies/poormanagement)mayallaccountfortheunfavorablesituationoftheThearguerarrivesattheconclusionbeforegivingoutanyresearchingresultregardingthecauseofit.Ifthemainproblemdoesnotliein...atall,itappearsreasonable,therefore,forthearguertofocusonthesetroublespotsotherthantobuildanewexpressway. Itisatleastlikelythattherearelessreliablecarstravelingtheroadsin...,orthattheagebracketofthosein...maybenotmoreconductivetodrivingsafely,forinstance,therearemoreyounger,inexperienced,ormoreelderly,unsafedriversin...Moreover,inreferencetotheactivitiesofthepopulation,itispossiblethat...inhabitantsweretravelingduringlesssafetimesoftheday,suchasearlyinthemorning,orduringtwilight.WorkorfamilyhabitsmayhaveencouragedcitizenstodriveduringthisMoreover,inreferencetothegeographicalandphysicalterrainof...,itispossiblethat...isinanareaofmoredangerouscurves,sharpturns,orhasmanyintersectionsormergingpointswhereaccidentsaremorelikelytooccur.Sincethearguerhasnotclearlyidentifiedthecauseoftheincrease,Icannotbeconvincedeffectively.185589notenoughtimehaspassedtodeterminetheeffectivenessofthischangeinreducingtheaccident·thenewspeed·thenowremainsuntestedduringaseasonoftheyearinwhichbetterdrivingconditionsthismayhavebeenatime,suchasduringharshweatherconditions,however,...’scitizens,perhapscoercedbyemploymentandotherrequirement,wereunabletoavoiddrivingontheroadsandthereforethenumberofaccidentshasnotdecreased.AretheremorepeopleinAthanthereweresixmonthsago?Ifso,theremaybeanincreasednumberofaccidentsduetomoreauto sontheroadandnotduetothefailureofthe823182theremightberushhoursin823182Anothertroublewiththeargumentisthatnoclearevidenceisprovidedtosubstantiatethattheendemicstatisticsabouttheprofitsinthelocalregioncanbeappliedequallytootherregionsinthecountry.Admittedly,thismightbethecaseunderparticularconditionsespeciallywhenthesecesembracesamecharacteristicstosomeextent.However,anprovidedthenewntisneededtoincreasemoreproducts,Summitisnotcertainlyanidealceforthearguerdoesn’tconsiderotherconcernswhichmayundermineits“ideal”property.Althoughithaslowpropertytaxandalotoflandavailableforpurchase,wedon’tknowwhetheritissuitabletoopenanewntinordertoatleastguaranteeprofitabilityinthelongrun.Isitstransportation,forexample,convenientforthenewnttoacquireitsrawmaterialsandconveytheirproductsbecauseinconvenienttransportationmaysignificantlyincreasethecostofproducttodiminishitscompetenceinmarkets?Isitsresourcerichforthenewnttoproducemore?Isitsenvironmentenoughpuretoguaranteeproducing?Ifthewaterusedtoproduceisseriouslypolluted,thefuture’sproductionisaffected.Whatabouttheunemployedresidents?事故188955Ifmostofthemareself-employedasmerchants,shopperorowner,oriftheyprefertogooutsideforjob,thepredictionofthefuture’senoughwork事故188955therearelessfewerreliablecarstravelingtheroadsinA,orthattheagebracketofthoseinAmaybenotmoreconductivetodrivingsafely→therearemoreyounger,inexperienced,ormoreelderly,unsafedriversinAinreferencetotheactivitiesofthepopulation,itispossiblethatAinhabitantsweretravelingduringlesssafetimesoftheday,suchasearlyinthemorning,orduringtwilight.Workorfamilyhabitsmayhaveencouragedcitizenstodriveduringthisthegeographicalandphysicalterrainofthetwodifferentareas→Aisinanareaofmoredangerouscurves,sharpturns,orhasmanyintersectionsormergingpointswhereaccidentsaremorelikelythearguerfailstoconsiderpossibledifferencesbetween...and...thatmighthelptobringaboutadifferentresultfor...Itisatleastlikelythatmorepeopleintendtolive...luredbythesuperiorlocalwelfaresystem.Forexample,thelocalernmentreceivedalargeamountoffundingfromthefederalernmenttorunforlocaldevelotothedesiredextent,includingexploringnewprojectsandenhancingservicefacilities.PerhapsA’snaturallandscapemightnotbeasbeautifulasBtoattracttouristsforvacation,soitismeaninglesstobuild……PerhapsMmightlackthesortofnaturalenvironmentthatwouldattractmoretouristsandnewbusinesstothetown——irrespectiveofitsnewho.Perhapsthelocaltourismadvertisementhas plishedsotremendous/smashingasuccessinthewholenationthatbringsalargenumberofvisitorsintoM.weevencanseetheabsurdityofthearguer’sideafromtheoutdrawofothercompetitorsfrommarketofthiskindofovercoats,which,inthearguer’spointofview,isagoodopportunitytoachievemonopolyinthisfield.Willthesecompanies,whohavehadfabricsupplyallthetime,besosillytogiveupthisgoodchanceforprofit,ifitreallyis?Atleastaninvestigationisneededtoseeifthepublicisstillinterestedinsuchkindofovercoats.Onepossibilityisthatoncetherewaspeoplesetuprestaurantsspecializeinseafoodbutfoundtheseafoodwasnotpopularorprofitableatallandgaveupthemindfinally.Orbecausetheywillbeabletoearnmuchmorebenefitsfromotherkindsofmen’sclothing,makingdeluxealpacaovercoatsrelativelyisnotineffect,then,theycancelit.Toavoidanyrashdecisionininvestment,thearguershouldmakeafurtherinvestigationonthefeasibilityandeconomicalofaseafoodrestaurantinthiscity.87Finally,evenifthearguercansubstantiatethethreeforegoingassumptions,...willnotpossiblyearnasubstantialprofitby...Thearguerfailstotakeintoaccountotherrelevantfactorsthatmightaffectthebusinessof...Perhapsthedemandandthesupplyhavechangedin...Orperhapsthecostassociatedwithadvertisingistoomuch.Eitherscenariowouldprevent...fromearningaprofit.Inwithoutmoreinformationaboutthepresenceofcompetitors,thepopulationofthearea,theeatinghabitsofthelocalresidents,withoutweighingrevenueagainstexpenses,thearguer’snotionisprematureatbest.alaxingofinvestmentdiscipline,areductionintaxorreshuffleofbusinessconstitutionwillbeofrealhelptothecity100212100212ArethereanyothermethodscanbeemployedotherthanbuildinganewfactoryinanotherItishighlypossiblethattheproductivityofthepresentfactorycanbesubstantiallyimprovedonlybyenrollmoreworkers,orpurchasemoreequipment,orexpandthepresentfactory,etal.Thesemethodsmaybemorequicklyemployedatlowercostthanbuildinganewfactory.However,thearguerThirdly,thememo's mendationrestsonthedubiousassumptionthattheproposedactionsaretheonlytwomeansofincreasingABC'soverallprofitability.Inalllikelihood,ABC'sprofitsareafunctionnotonlyofhowmanyboxesofBBitsellsbutalsoofitscostsanditsrevenuefromother

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