交通規(guī)劃課程設(shè)計(jì)

1、交通規(guī)劃課程設(shè)計(jì)一.現(xiàn)狀路網(wǎng)構(gòu)造1.交叉口和路段標(biāo)號的路網(wǎng)圖2.鄰接矩陣123456789101(0100010000 210101000003010100000040010000011501000101106100010101070000010100800001010019000110000110(0001000110 J3.道路網(wǎng)的拓?fù)潢P(guān)系及屬性數(shù)據(jù)表道路網(wǎng)絡(luò)的拓?fù)潢P(guān)系及屬性數(shù)據(jù)路段號起點(diǎn)終點(diǎn)、八、長度km車速km/h車道數(shù)通行能力a120.45063375b160.295063375q230.455063375d250.274042340p340.275063375o490.314042

2、340二.回歸法預(yù)測規(guī)劃區(qū)人口數(shù)據(jù)利用已給的2005年-2014年的人口數(shù)據(jù)可在Excel中對各小區(qū)未來年的人口 作出預(yù)測，并得出預(yù)測函數(shù)。如下面的五個(gè)圖分別為五個(gè)小區(qū)的預(yù)測圖。各小區(qū)人口線形回歸圖：小區(qū)一:小區(qū)1線性（小區(qū)1）小區(qū)小區(qū)2小區(qū)2線性卜區(qū)2）小區(qū)三:小區(qū)3小區(qū)3線性（小區(qū)3）小區(qū)四:小區(qū)4小區(qū)丑線性卜區(qū)4）小區(qū)五:小區(qū)5小區(qū)線性（小區(qū)5）由解析式帶入數(shù)據(jù)可求得2021年人口數(shù)據(jù)，如下表:小區(qū)12345合計(jì)人數(shù)134714611389139314077247三.發(fā)生與吸引交通量預(yù)測各區(qū)現(xiàn)在的出行發(fā)生量與吸引量常住OD12345合計(jì)人口(現(xiàn)在/將來)19740832012563115

3、811029/13472755254753279919781076/1461384286319815017922321042/1389416535285732820419061098/1393598979591539055936481066/1407合計(jì)21682943233715252372113455311/6997根據(jù)上表匚 i人口 M=6 人均單位t 將來的生力 各小區(qū)的 我現(xiàn)狀發(fā)* 小區(qū)一的尹 小區(qū)二的尹 小區(qū)三的尹 小區(qū)四的 小區(qū)五的尹 同理，將來F數(shù)據(jù)易得現(xiàn)狀出仃生成量T=11345；現(xiàn)狀常住J)97；日行次數(shù) T/N=11345/5311=2.136(次/d)戈交通量 X-M*

4、(T/N)-6997*2.136-14945.5勺內(nèi)交通量都認(rèn)為是0,假設(shè)各小區(qū)的發(fā)生與吸引E與吸引原單位：支生原單位：1581/1029=1.536吸引原單位：2支生原單位：1978/1076=1.838吸引原單位：2(支生原單位：2232/1042=2.142 吸引原單位：23：生原單位：1906/1098=1.736 吸引原單位：15生原單位：3648/1066=3.422 吸引原單位：23粕勺生成交通量X-M*(T/N)各小區(qū)的發(fā)生與吸引P 口 N-5311 ；將來原單位不變。168/1029=2.107943/1076=2.73537/1042=2.24325/1098=1.3897

5、2/1066=2.225交通量計(jì)算結(jié)果如下表所示:OD12345合計(jì)12068.99222685.31832875.23842418.24854814.754合計(jì)2838.1293995.8353115.5271934.8773130.575由上面的結(jié)果可知，各小區(qū)發(fā)生交通量之和不等于其吸引交通量之和，所以， 需要進(jìn)行調(diào)整計(jì)算。調(diào)整的目標(biāo)是使上述兩者相等調(diào)整方法米用總量控制法，即 使各小區(qū)發(fā)生交通量之和等于其吸引交通量之和，且都等于將來交通生成總量。由公式O =O*X/ On D=D*X/ Dn 易得下表:i iii Ijii各小區(qū)未來的出行發(fā)生與吸引交通量OD12345合計(jì)12080.539

6、22700.30532891.28542431.74554841.627合計(jì)2825.0033977.3543101.1181925.9283116.09614945.5四.使用底特律法計(jì)算交通分布量。OD表（單位：次/日人）OD12345合計(jì)預(yù)測值增長系 數(shù)Fo19740832012563115812080.5391.3162755254753279919782700.3051.365384286319815017922322891.2851.295416535285732820419062431.7451.276598979591539055936484841.6271.327合計(jì)2168

7、294323371525237211345預(yù)測值2825.0033977.2543101.1181925.9283116.09614945.5增長系數(shù)FD1.3031.3511.3271.2631.314求發(fā)生交通量增長系數(shù)FO.和吸引交通量增長系數(shù)FDjFO1=U1/O1=2080.539/1581=1.316FD1=V1/D1=2825.003/2168=1.303FO尸U2/O2=2700.305/1978=1.365FD尸V2/D尸3977.354/2943=1.351同理可算得下表：OD12345FOi11.31621.36531.29541.27651.327FDj1.3031.3

8、511.3271.2631.314求生成交通量增長系數(shù)的倒數(shù)G=T/X=11345/14945.5=0.759 由公式qij=qij*FOi*FDj *G可得下OD表未來年的分布交通量OD12345合計(jì)1126.245550.571424.149157.692828.1762086.8332101.247734.83464.616696.1281087.7192684.54431078.3711145.982258.254186.211231.1852900.0034208.219460.5651101.398401.208259.6082430.99751297.9361081.771122

9、2.939496.113739.8094838.568合計(jì)2812.0193973.7223071.3561937.3523146.49714940.9462.33交通方式劃分預(yù)測地區(qū)居民出行方式出行方式步行自行車公交車出租車單位班車單位小汽車私家車百分比（%）27.75.835.12.96.42.419.5分擔(dān)人次14022022下面開始計(jì)算各小區(qū)之間、各種交通方式的分擔(dān)出行量（次/日人）：各小區(qū)到小區(qū)1（單位：次/日人）O出行方式步行自行車公交車出租車單位班車單位小汽車私家車1100.24734.975.8135.192.916.422.4119.552101.24728.055.8735

10、.542.946.482.4319.7431078.371298.7162.55378.5131.2769.0225.88210.284208.21957.6812.0873.086.0413.335.0040.6051297.936359.5375.28455.5837.6483.0731.15253.10各小區(qū)到小區(qū)2 （單位：次/日人）O出行方式步行自行車公交車出租車單位班車單位小汽車私家車1550.571148.6531.93193.2515.9735.2413.21107.362734.834198.4142.62257.9321.3147.0317.64143.2931145.98

11、2309.4266.47402.2433.2373.3427.50223.474460.565124.3526.71161.6613.3629.4811.0589.8151081.771292.0862.74379.7031.3769.2325.96210.95各小區(qū)到小區(qū)3 （單位：次/日人）O出行方式步行自行車公交車出租車單位班車單位小汽車私家車1424.149117.4924.60148.8812.3027.1510.1882.71264.61617.903.7522.681.874.141.5512.603258.25471.5414.9890.657.4916.536.2050.36

12、41101.398305.0963.88386.5931.9470.4926.43214.7751222.939338.7570.93429.2535.4778.2729.35238.47各小區(qū)到小區(qū)4 （單位：次/日人）O出行方式步行自行車公交車出租車單位班車單位小汽車私家車1157.69243.689.1555.354.5710.093.7830.752696.128192.8340.38244.3420.1944.5516.71135.743186.21151.5810.8065.365.4011.924.4736.314401.208111.1323.27140.8211.6425.6

13、89.6378.245496.113137.4228.77174.1414.3931.7511.9196.74各小區(qū)到小區(qū)5 （單位：次/日人）O出行方式步行自行車公交車出租車單位班車單位小汽車私家車1828.176229.4048.03290.6924.0253.0019.88161.4921087.719301.3063.09381.7931.5469.6126.11212.113231.18564.0413.4181.156.7014.805.5545.084259.60871.9115.0691.127.5316.616.2350.625739.809204.9342.91259.67

14、21.4547.3517.76144.26接著將上述五個(gè)表的人的出行量轉(zhuǎn)換成車流交通量（以公交車乘坐40人、 單位班車搭載20人、自行車乘坐1人、其他車輛均可在2人進(jìn)行轉(zhuǎn)換），最后 再統(tǒng)一換算成當(dāng)量交通量。各小區(qū)到小區(qū)1 （單位：輛）小區(qū)自行車公交車出租車單位班車單位小汽車私家車當(dāng)量合計(jì)15.810.881.450.321.209.7719.4425.870.891.470.321.219.8719.64362.559.4615.643.4512.94105.14209.18412.081.833.020.672.5020.3040.39575.2811.3918.824.1515.58126

15、.55251.77各小區(qū)到小區(qū)2 （單位：輛）小區(qū)自行車公交車出租車單位班車單位小汽車私家車當(dāng)量合計(jì)131.934.837.981.766.6153.68106.79242.626.4510.662.358.8271.65142.54366.4710.0616.623.6713.75111.73222.29426.714.046.681.475.5344.9189.34562.749.4915.693.4612.98105.47209.83各小區(qū)到小區(qū)3 （單位：輛）小區(qū)自行車公交車出租車單位班車單位小汽車私家車當(dāng)量合計(jì)124.63.726.151.365.0941.3582.2723.750

16、.570.940.210.786.3034.39314.982.273.740.833.1025.1850.10463.889.6615.973.5213.22107.39213.64570.9310.7317.733.9114.68119.24237.22各小區(qū)到小區(qū)4 （單位：輛）小區(qū)自行車公交車出租車單位班車單位小汽車私家車當(dāng)量合計(jì)19.151.592.290.511.9011.4730.59240.386.819.852.178.1549.26135.04310.81.912.770.612.2913.8336.12423.273.945.711.264.7228.5377.82528

17、.774.937.131.575.9035.6796.23各小區(qū)到小區(qū)5 （單位：輛）小區(qū)自行車公交車出租車單位班車單位小汽車私家車當(dāng)量合計(jì)148.037.2712.012.659.9480.75160.64263.099.5415.773.4813.05106.05210.99313.412.033.350.742.7722.5444.85415.062.283.760.833.1225.3150.36542.916.4910.732.378.8872.13143.512.3.3第四階段：交通分配預(yù)測（增量分配法）2.3.3.1小區(qū)1到各小區(qū)徑路交通量分配小區(qū)1到小區(qū)2 （單位：輛）徑路經(jīng)過

18、節(jié)點(diǎn)t0Caq1taq2taq3ta徑路11-20.48337535600.56971191.971191.9徑路26-5-21.0523401.051.0535601.89交通量：10679小區(qū)1到小區(qū)3 （單位：輛）徑路經(jīng)過節(jié)點(diǎn)t0Caq1taq2taq3ta徑路11-2-50.885234000.88500.88527421.135徑路26-50.645234027420.82754843.5654843.56徑路36-7-8-51.203234001.20301.20301.203交通量：8227小區(qū)1到小區(qū)4 （單位：輛）徑路經(jīng)過節(jié)點(diǎn)t0Caq1taq2taq3ta徑路16-70.3

19、84337510190.40920380.78630590.422徑路26-5-81.14234001.1401.1401.14小區(qū)1到小區(qū)5 （單位：輛）徑路經(jīng)過節(jié)點(diǎn)t0Caq1taq2taq3ta徑路11-2-31.02337553541.9853541.9853541.98徑路265-9-101.455234001.45501.45553547.436徑路36-7-8-101.428337501.42853542.78453542.784交通量：160642.3.3. 2小區(qū)2到各小區(qū)徑路交通量分配小區(qū)2到小區(qū)1 （單位：輛）徑路經(jīng)過節(jié)點(diǎn)t0Caq1taq2taq3ta徑路12-10.4

20、833756550.4813100.48119640.488徑路22-5-61.05234001.0501.0501.05交通量：1964小區(qū)2到小區(qū)3 （單位：輛）徑路經(jīng)過節(jié)點(diǎn)t0Caq1taq2taq3ta徑路12-3-4-91.329234001.32901.32901.329徑路22-50.405234011460.40822920.46034390.688徑路32-1-6-51.473234001.47301.47301.473交通量：3439小區(qū)2到小區(qū)4 （單位：輛）徑路經(jīng)過節(jié)點(diǎn)t0Caq1taq2taq3ta徑路12-1-6-71.212337501.5345011.78790

21、0210.413徑路22-5-80.9234045012.74845012.74845012.748交通量：13504小區(qū)2到小區(qū)5 （單位：輛）徑路經(jīng)過節(jié)點(diǎn)t0Caq1taq2taq3ta徑路12-30.54337570332.06770332.06770332.067徑路22-5-9-41.275234001.27501.215703316.88徑路32-5-9-101.215234001.215703316.08703316.08交通量：210992.4.4.4小區(qū)3到各小區(qū)徑路交通量分配小區(qū)3到小區(qū)1 （單位：輛）徑路經(jīng)過節(jié)點(diǎn)t0Caq1taq2taq3ta徑路15-2-10.8852

22、34000.885697211.34697211.34徑路25-60.645234069728.2669728.2669728.26徑路35-8-7-61.203234001.20301.203697215.42交通量：20918徑路經(jīng)過節(jié)點(diǎn)t0Caq1taq2taq3ta徑路15-20.405234074096.5139446.511481998.11徑路25-6-1-21.473234001.473740923.677409123.67交通量：22229小區(qū)3到小區(qū)4 （單位：輛）徑路經(jīng)過節(jié)點(diǎn)t0Caq1taq2taq3ta徑路15-6-71.029234001.02901.02901.0

23、29徑路25-80.495234012040.50024080.5736120.916交通量：3612小區(qū)3到小區(qū)5 （單位：輛）徑路經(jīng)過節(jié)點(diǎn)t0Caq1taq2taq3ta徑路15-2-30.945337500.94500.94500.945徑路25-9-40.87234000.8700.8714950.89徑路35-9-100.81234014950.83029901.2729901.27交通量：44852.4.4.3小區(qū)4到各小區(qū)徑路交通量分配小區(qū)4到小區(qū)1 （單位：輛）徑路經(jīng)過節(jié)點(diǎn)t0Caq1taq2taq3ta徑路17-60.384337513460.38526920.4074039

24、0.502徑路28-5-61.14234001.1401.1401.14交通量：4039小區(qū)4到小區(qū)2 （單位：輛）徑路經(jīng)過節(jié)點(diǎn)t0Caq1taq2taq3ta徑路17-6-1-21.212337501.21229781.32229781.322徑路28-5-20.9234029781.25429781.25459566.566交通量：8934小區(qū)4到小區(qū)3 （單位：輛）徑路經(jīng)過節(jié)點(diǎn)t0Caq1taq2taq3ta徑路17-6-51.029234001.029712114.26712114.26徑路28-50.495234071216.86271216.86214242102.38交通量:21364小區(qū)4到小區(qū)5 （單位：輛）徑路經(jīng)過節(jié)點(diǎn)t0Caq1taq2taq3ta徑路18-5-2-31.44234001.4401.4401.44徑路28-5-9-41.365234001.3651.36501.