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外文題目:NewAproachestoManagingCatastrophicInsuranceRisk出處:RiskManagementChallengeandOpportunity作者:UlrichHommelandMischaRitterUlrichHommel原文:NewApproachestoManagingcatastrophicInsuranceRiskUlrichHommelandMischaRitterEuropeanBusinessSchool–InternationalUniversity,SchlossReichartshausen,D-65375Oestrich-Winkel,GermanyAbstract:Insuranceandfinancialmarketsareconvergingas(re-)insurersaresearchingfornewwaysofexpandingtheirunderwritingcapacitiesandmanagingtheirriskexposures.Catastrophe-linkedinstrumentshavealreadyestablishedthemselvesasanewassetclasswhichoffersuniqueprofitanddiversificationopportunitiesfortheinvestorcommunity.Thischapteranalyzestheprincipalforcesbehindthesecuritizationofcatastrophicinsuranceriskandtherebyhighlightskeyfactorswhichdeterminetowhatextentandwithwhatmeansotherformsofinsurancerisks(inparticularothertypesofproperty&casualty,longevity,healthandweatherrisks)canbetransferredtofinancialmarketsinthefuture.JELClassification:G150,G220,G130Keywords:CatastropheRisk,Securitization,Derivatives,Reinsurance,RiskManagement1.IntroductionAlternativeRiskTransfer(ART)isoneofthemostrapidlygrowingsegmentsofthereinsurancebusinesstoday.Itsobjectiveistodevelopalternativedistributionchannels(e.g.insurancecoverageforcaptivedemanders)andtoidentifywaysofexpandingthecapitalbasetosatisfytheever-growingappetiteforreinsurance,mostimportantlyviathesecuritizationofinsurancerisks.ARTisspearheadingtheprocesswhichworkstowardsbridgingthegapbetweeninsuranceandfinancialmarketsandincreasinglyexposesreinsurerstocompetitivepressuresfrominvestmentbanks.Thischapterfocusesontheoneareawherethetransferofinsurancerisktofinancialmarketshasalreadybeencarriedoutsuccessfully,catastrophe(orCAT)risk.Theanalysiswillhighlightkeyaspectswhichwillgainequalprominencewhenorganizedandover-the-counter(OTC)marketsbegintoabsorbotherformsofinsurancerisks,mostimminentlyothertypesofproperty&casualtyrisksaswellaslongevityandhealthrisks(seealsoRiemer-Hommel/Trauthinthisvolume).NotallformsoffinancialinnovationrelatedtosecuritizingCATriskhavebeensuccessful.Allexchange-tradedinstrumentshavebasicallyceasedtoexistinrecentyearsbutareneverthelessincludedinthischaptersincetheyhaveprovideduniqueformsofmanagingCAT-likeexposures.Someofthekeyreasonsforthesefailureswillbefurtherdetailedbelowaswell.Wehavewitnessedanextraordinaryincreaseinthefrequencyandseverityofnaturalcatastrophesinrecentdecadeswhichcanlargelybeexplainedbyanoverallincreaseinpopulationdensity,theappreciationofpropertyvaluesinindustrializedcountries,andanincreaseofinsuredpropertyvaluesinhigh-riskregions.Particularlyproblematicareso-calledmassive-losseventswithinsureddamagesofUSD1bill.ormoresincetheymaythreatenthesolvencyoftheinsuranceindustryasawhole.Property-casualtyinsurershavefacedatotalof36eventsbetween1970and2003eachwithaninsuredlossofoverUSD1.5bill.,28since1990alone.ThemostprominentexamplesareHurricaneAndrew(USD20.9bill.,1992),theNorthridgeEarthquake(USD17.3bill.,1994),TaifunMireille(USD7.6bill.,1991),andHurricanesDariaandLothar(bothUSD6.4bill.,1990/1999).Withtheriseofglobalterrorism,man-madedisastershavealsobecomeacentralissueformanagingCAT-likeexposures.The“September11”attack(2001)hasforinstancecausedtotalinsuredlossesofUSD21.1bill.(in2003USD).TraditionalinsurancemarketslacktheabilitytosupplysufficientcoverageforexistingCATriskexposures.TheU.S.insuranceindustryforinstancecontrolsanequitycapitalbaseofUSD350bill.AsingleearthquakewithanepicenternearOrangeCounty(CA)orahurricanecomingtoshoreinthevicinityofMiami(FL)mayalreadyimposedamageclaimsofuptoUSD50-100bill.onU.S.property&casualtyinsurers,anamountlargeenoughtoprobablyputanumberofinsuranceprovidersinastateoffinancialdistress.Primaryinsurershaverespondedbyreducingtheavailabilityofinsurancecoverage(e.g.homeownerinsuranceinhighriskareas)andbyraisinginsurancepremiumsanddeductibles.Statelegislatorshaveinsomecasesreactedbysettinguppublicinsuranceschemes(e.g.CaliforniaEarthquakeAuthority,1996),byestablishingguarantyfunds(e.g.FloridaHurricaneCatastropheFund)andbypassinglegislativemoratoriumswhichpreventprimaryinsurersfromstoppingtosupplyCATriskcoverage.Inthiscontext,itisalsoimportanttonotethatthegapbetweentotaleconomiclossesandlossesactuallyinsuredwidenssignificantlyaswemovefromthedevelopedworldtotransitioneconomiesandunderdevelopedcountries.Theprimaryreasonfortheproperty&casualtyinsurers’continuedoverexposuretoCATriskhasbeenthelimitedavailabilityoftraditionalreinsurancecoveragewhichis,however,notsurprisinggiventhereinsuranceindustry’snarrowcapitalandsurplusbaseofUSD42bill.(1997).TherisingdemandforreinsurancehaspushedCATreinsurancepremiumsupby72%between1990and2002alonewhiletheprimaryinsurers’attachmentpoints(equivalenttodeductibles)haveforinstancerisenby73%between1985and1994.Theaveragecoverageformassive-losseventsexceedingUSD5bill.hadrisenmarkedlyintheU.S.since1970butstillfailedtoreach30%in1994.Hence,theinsuranceindustry’skeychallengesincetheearly1990shadbeenthesearchforalternativemeansofreinsuringCATrisks.Theworld’sequityandfixedincomemarketswithacapitalizationofmorethanUSD30trillioncoupledwiththeorganizedandover-the-counter(OTC)marketsforderivativeinstrumentsprovidethecapabilityandaspirationtoabsorbsomeoftheseexposures.Asoutlinedinsection2,CAT-linkedsecuritiesoffernewportfoliodiversificationopportunitiesforinvestorsgiventheirstatisticalindependencefromsystematicmarketrisk.Inaddition,traditionalCATreinsurancereturnsstillexceedtherisk-freeratewhichrepresentstheadequateminimumrequiredreturnintheabsenceofarbitrageandcapitalconstraints.Thediscussioninsection3explainsthatcontractdesignmayeitheraimatreplicatingthepayoffstructureoftraditionalreinsurancecontractsorgeneratepayoffpatternstailoredaroundtheinsurer’sspecificriskmanagementneed.Asdiscussedinsection4,theuseofCATderivativesfurtherenablesinsurerstoobtainamorefavorableriskprofile,aboveallbyreducingtheiroverallCATriskexposure,byobtainingasuperiorgeographicaldiversificationoftheircontractportfolioandbyeliminatingso-calledmoralhazardrisk.Section6providesanoverviewofthevarioushedgingstrategiestobepursuedwithCATderivatives.AkeyissuerelatedtotheusageofCATderivativesisthevaluationofthesecontractswhichisdiscussedinsection6.Finally,theconcludingremarks(section7)analyzetheimplicationsofsecuritizationanddisintermediationforthefuturedevelopmentofthereinsuranceindustry,inparticularitsroleasanagentforthepoolingandbearingofrisk.CAT-linkedsecuritiesenableinsurerstoreduceandrestructuretheirexistingriskexposuresandtherebyenhancetheirrisk-bearingcapacities.Itthereforeseemsappropriatetobeginthediscussionbyreviewingsomeoftheeconomicrationaleswhyinsurersshouldengageinactiveriskmanagement.Onagenericlevel,corporateriskmanagementcanbejustifiedonthebasisofmarketimperfectionswhichimplyaninvalidationofModigliani-Miller’s(1958)irrelevancetheorem.Specifically,corporate(asopposedtoinvestor-based)hedgingactivitiesmayraiseshareholdervalueby(a)reducingtheagencycostsofequityfinancing(riskpreferenceproblem,performancesignaling)anddebtfinancing(underinvestmentandassetsubstitutionproblem)associatedwithasymmetricinformation;(b)reducingthecorporatetaxburdeninanenvironmentwithconvextaxschedules(e.g.statutoryprogressivity,lossforwardandtaxcreditprovisions);(c)reducingthetransactioncostsofhedgingassociatedwithscaleeffects,asymmetricinformation(i.e.,inabilityofshareholderstodeterminethefirm’strueexposure)orstructuralaccessbarriers;(d)reducingtheexpectedcostsoffinancialdistress(i.e.,reducingtheprobabilityofencounteringfinancialdistressandthedirectaswellasindirectcostsassociatedwithfinancialdistress);(e)improvingtheavailabilityofinternallygeneratedcashflowsinanenvironmentwithhigherabsolutecostsaswellasrisingmarginalcostsofexternalfinancing;(f)helpingoptimizethefirm’sriskportfolio(i.e.,byhelpingtoeliminatenon-compensatedriskexposures).Whileallofthesemotivesaremoreorlessapplicabletotheinsurancebusinessaswell,itmustberecognizedthatthereareimportantdifferences.Insurersdonotconsiderriskanundesirablesideeffectofdoingbusiness;itistheirbusiness.Theypool,repackage,cedeaswellasretrocede,diversify,andbearallformsofriskexposures.Maintainingtheabilitytodeliverontheircontractualobligationsliesattheheartoftheirriskmanagementactivities(d).Inaddition,consolidationpressuresresultingfromtheinternationalizationoftheinsurancebusinessforcemarketparticipantstopursuemarketexpansionstrategieswhichimplytheneedtoexpandunderwritingcapacitywithinternalorexternalmeans(e).Financialmarketsofferuniqueopportunitiesforcontract-basedreplicationofCATriskexposureswhichenablesinsurerstocedeexposuresdirectlyto(primarilyinstitutional)investors.Insurersaretypicallyspecializedincertainproductsegmentsandregions,ifonlyforhistoricalreasons,andmaythereforebepreventedfromexploitingtheirfullmarketpotentialinordertoavoidtheoverexposuretocertainriskfactors.Traditionalreinsuranceoffersopportunitiestocedesomeoftheserisksbutisoftensaidtorequirespecialpremiumstocompensateforagencyriskgiventhereinsurers’limitedabilitytoevaluatetheriskprofileoftheprimaryinsurer’scontractportfolio.Financialmarketsprovideadditionalopportunitiesfortheoptimizationofaninsurer’sriskportfolio(f),forinstanceviaCATswapmarkets,andhelptoreducetheexposuretoagencyriskaswellasitsprice(a).TraditionalandART-BasedCATReinsuranceCATreinsurancecanbeobtainedwiththeobjectivetoeithertransferrisktoanotherpartyortoprovidefinancingintheoccurrenceofadisastrousevent.Theexistingtransactionstructurescanbasicallybegroupedintothefollowingfourcategories:?TraditionalReinsurance:Transactionwhichinvolvesthetransferofinsuranceriskfromapartywhohasassumedsuchriskfromathirdpartybymeansofaninsurancecontract(cedinginsurer)toanotherpartywhoisspecializedinassumingsuchrisk(reinsurer).ThistransactiontypeemphasizesthetransferofCATrisk.?FinancialReinsurance:Transactionswhichcombinetraditionalreinsuranceproductswithfinancingcomponentsforpurposesofgeneratingsurplusrelief,catastrophecoverage,taxoptimization,andincomesmoothing.Theemphasisistypicallyplacedonriskfinancingratherthanonthetransferofrisk.Contractingpartiesareprimaryinsurersandreinsurers.Finiteriskreinsuranceasoneexampleoffinancialreinsurancemaybeusedtocomplementspecificcoveragegaps(e.g.unhedgedlosslayers,settlementrisk)ratherthanthefullunderlyingrisk.?Securitization:Transferof(insurance)riskfromonepartywhohasassumedorisdirectlysubjecttosuchrisktoanotherpartyviatheissuanceofsecuritieswitharisk-linkedpayoffstructure(e.g.CATbonds).Thetransactionsrepresentamixtureofrisktransferandriskfinancingwithanemphasistypicallyplacedonthelatter.Ofparticularrelevanceinthiscontextarealsocontingentfinancingfacilitieswhichprovidefinancialsupportatthediscretionofthecoveredpartyorupontheoccurrenceofacatastrophicevent(e.g.ContingentSurplusNotes).?Derivatives:Transferof(insurance)riskbymeansofissuingderivativeinstrumentswitharisk-specificunderlying(e.g.lossindex).Iftheunderlyingissufficientlystandardizedtoallowexchange-trading,thenwealsospeakofinsurancecommoditization.Dependingonthespecificcontractdesign,thistransactiontypemayemphasizethetransferofrisk(e.g.CATswaps)orriskfinancing(e.g.CATequityputs).Accordingtoourdefinition,thedistinguishingfeatureofsecuritizationrelativetoderivativestransactionsisthepresenceofaninitialriskexposurewhichistransferredtoinvestorsbythevirtueofbeingpackagedintoafinancialinstrument.However,wewillapplythisdefinitionratherlooselyandincludeunderthisheadingliability-backedsecuritiesaswellasstructureswithembeddedCATderivatives(e.g.bondissueswithcouponslinkedtoaCATlossindex).TraditionalCATreinsurancecontractsaretypicallytreaty-basedratherthanfacultativeandarespecifiedasexcess-of-loss(non-proportional)policies,i.e.,thereinsurercoversallclaimswhichexceedacertainminimumlevel(stop-losscover),alsocalledattachmentpoint.Inessence,theprimaryinsurerexchangesexposuretopeaklossesresultingfromso-calledcorrelatedeventrisk24againstthepaymentofaconstantpremiumstream.Theattachmentpointsfunctionasdeductiblesandhelptoreducethereinsurer’smoralhazardrisk.Thesameobjectivemay,however,beachievedwithacoinsurancearrangement(alsocalledproratacoverage)whereinsurerandreinsurersharethelossesinconstantproportionsor,alternatively,withprotectivecovenantswhichplacebehavioralconstraintsontheinsurer’sbehavior(e.g.withrespecttotheacquisitionofnewbusinessindisaster-proneareas).Itisnotuncommonforthereinsurertocaphisobligationsbydefininganupperattachmentpoint(limit)beyondwhichhewillnolongeroffercompensationforinsurancelosses,i.e.,hemerelyofferscoverageforalosslayer.Asaresult,theprimaryinsurerretainsthepeakofthelossexposurebut,inreturn,reduceshisexposuretocounterparty(credit)risk,i.e.,theriskthatthereinsurerbecomesinsolventasaresultofthecatastrophicevent.Thereinsurermayalternativelychoosetoofferso-calledstate-contingentreinsurancewhichisbasedontheobjectiveseverityofacatastrophicevent(e.g.totaldamages,disasterseverityindexvaluesuchastheRichterscale)ratherthanontheinsurer’sactuallosses.Bydoingso,thereinsurerprotectshimselfagainstmoralhazardriskbutexposestheprimaryinsurertoadditionalbasisrisk.ThisisalsothedirectiontakenbyART-basedCATriskcoverage.ThemaindifficultyofinsuringCATrisksistoresolvetheapparentmismatchbetweenastablepremiumflowandfluctuatinginsuranceclaimsgiventhatinsuranceproviderslacktheincentivetobuildupCAT-contingentsurplusfunds.Forone,theinvestmentofex-antecapitaltendstogeneratesub-parreturnsandthereforedepressestheinsurer’soverallprofitability.Second,duetothelackofabindingcommitmentmechanism,someinsurerswouldfinditindividuallyrationaltoconvertthesefundsintounderwritingcapacityandcompeteforbusinessbydrivingdowninsurancepremiums,therebydepressingindustryprofitabilityevenmore.Third,insurerssetupascorporationsmayinviteraiderstoundertakehostiletakeoverwiththebuild-upofex-antecapitalwhilemutualinsurersmaybepushedintoaroll-backofratesbytheirmembershiporconsumeradvocates.Inaddition,insurersfaceanumberofregulatoryconstraintssuchasaccountingrestrictionsonthebuild-upofcontingencysurplus(e.g.underU.S.FASBNo.5)andtaxprovisionswhichtreatadditionstoex-antecapitalandinterestonthesefundsastaxableincome.AsdocumentedbyJaffee/Russell(1997,p.215)forthecaseoftheU.S.,insurersalsoseemtolackadynamicallyconsistentpremiumstrategywhichtakesCAT-relatedlosspeaksintoaccountandwhichensuresacertainsmoothnessinthepremiumdevelopment.FollowingHurricaneAndrew,averageinsuranceratesincreasedby65%between1992and1995.TheNorthrigdeearthquaketriggeredrequestsforrateincreasesfrom101insurancecompanies.StateFarmforinstanceappliedfora97.2%increaseinCAT-linkedpolicypremiumsandreceivedregulatoryapprovalfora65%hike.ThetraditionalCATreinsurancegaphasledtotheemergenceofanumberofART-basedsolutions,includingseveralfinancial-market-basedtransactionstructures.外文題目:NewApproachestoManagingCatastrophicInsuranceRisk出處:RiskManagementChallengeandOpportunity作者:UlrichHommelandMischaRitterUlrichHommel譯文:管理巨災(zāi)保險風(fēng)險的新的方法

摘要:保險業(yè)和金融市場正在融合為(再)保險公司,為擴(kuò)大其承保能力和風(fēng)險管理方面尋找新的途徑。災(zāi)難掛鉤投資工具已經(jīng)確立了新的資產(chǎn)類別,為投資者提供了獨特的盈利和社會多元化的機(jī)會。本章分析巨災(zāi)保險風(fēng)險證券化背后的主要力量,從而突出決定其長度的關(guān)鍵因素是什么,以及其他形式的保險風(fēng)險的意義(特別是其他類型的財產(chǎn)及意外險,長壽,健康和氣候風(fēng)險)可以被轉(zhuǎn)移到了未來的金融市場。關(guān)鍵詞:巨災(zāi)風(fēng)險,證券化,衍生性商品,再保險,風(fēng)險管理

1.介紹

替代風(fēng)險轉(zhuǎn)移(ART)是現(xiàn)今再保險領(lǐng)域增長最迅速的業(yè)務(wù)之一。其目標(biāo)是開發(fā)替代分銷渠道(如為自保需求者提供保險覆蓋),并確定如何擴(kuò)大資本基礎(chǔ),最重要的是通過保險風(fēng)險證券化來滿足再保險日益增長的胃口。替代風(fēng)險轉(zhuǎn)移在再保險市場和金融市場之間起橋梁作用,彌合他們之間的缺口——不斷曝光的來自投資銀行的競爭壓力。本章重點介紹保險風(fēng)險已經(jīng)成功轉(zhuǎn)移到金融市場的一個領(lǐng)域,災(zāi)難(或CAT)風(fēng)險。該分析將重點突出,當(dāng)組織和過度的柜臺交易(OTC)市場開始吸收其他形式的保險風(fēng)險,其他類型的財產(chǎn)及意外險風(fēng)險以及健康長壽風(fēng)險將得到同等的重視。并非所有與巨災(zāi)風(fēng)險證券化相關(guān)的金融創(chuàng)新都取得了成功。最近幾年所有交易所交易文書已基本不復(fù)存在,不過,這一章包括在內(nèi),因為他們提供獨特形式來管理與貓債券相似的暴露。對這些失敗的關(guān)鍵原因有以下將進(jìn)一步詳細(xì)介紹。

我們目睹了近幾十年來的頻率和程度嚴(yán)重的自然災(zāi)害的顯著增加,在很大程度上提高了整體的人口密度,工業(yè)化國家的資產(chǎn)價值升值,以及高風(fēng)險地區(qū)保險價值的增加。特別有問題的是所謂的大量損失的被保險人賠償10億美元的事件?;蛘吒啵驗樗鼈兛赡芪<罢麄€保險業(yè)的償付能力。財產(chǎn)險保險公司在1970年到2003年期間總共有36個事件,被保險人的損失超過15億美元。,自1990年以來就有28個。最突出的例子是安德魯颶風(fēng)(209億美元。,1992年),北嶺地震(173億美元,1994),米雷耶臺風(fēng)(76億美元,1991年),和颶風(fēng)達(dá)里亞和洛薩(包括64億美元,1990/1999)。隨著全球恐怖主義的興起,人為災(zāi)害也成為管理似貓債券風(fēng)險的一個核心問題?!?.11”襲擊(2001),導(dǎo)致保險損失總額達(dá)到211億美元。

傳統(tǒng)型保險市場缺乏能力提供有效的CAT風(fēng)險的覆蓋面。例如在美國保險業(yè)的管制法案規(guī)定了3500億美元基本股權(quán)資本。橘郡(CA)附近的一個單一地震或邁阿密海岸(佛羅里達(dá)州)附近的颶風(fēng)就可能已經(jīng)造成索賠高達(dá)500億至1000億美元的損失。美國財產(chǎn)險保險公司的數(shù)量遠(yuǎn)遠(yuǎn)多于在金融危機(jī)狀態(tài)下的保險供應(yīng)商的數(shù)目。主要保險商的反應(yīng)是減少保險覆蓋范圍(如:在高風(fēng)險地區(qū)的屋主保險),或者提高保險費和免賠額。州議員在某些情況下作出的反應(yīng)是設(shè)立公共保險計劃(如加利福尼亞州地震局,1996),建立擔(dān)?;穑ɡ绶鹆_里達(dá)州颶風(fēng)巨災(zāi)基金),并暫停傳遞的防止停止供應(yīng)巨災(zāi)風(fēng)險保險覆蓋面的主要立法。在這種情況下,還必須指出,總的經(jīng)濟(jì)損失和實際損失差距顯著擴(kuò)大意味著我們從發(fā)達(dá)國家轉(zhuǎn)移到欠發(fā)達(dá)國家的經(jīng)濟(jì)轉(zhuǎn)型。

財產(chǎn)和意外傷亡保險公司的持續(xù)過度暴露貓債券風(fēng)險的主要原因是傳統(tǒng)的再保險覆蓋面能力的限制,但這并不奇怪,因為再保險業(yè)的資本和盈余基礎(chǔ)縮小到420億美元。(1997年)。再保險需求上升推高了CAT的再保險保費僅2002年至1990年就上漲了72%,主要保險的觸發(fā)點(相當(dāng)于免賠額)在1985年到1994年上升73%,美國自1970年以來超過50億美元的大量損失事件的覆蓋面有所上升,但仍然未能在1994年達(dá)到30%。因此,保險業(yè)20世紀(jì)90年代初以來的主要的挑戰(zhàn)是搜索再保險風(fēng)險的替代手段。

全球資本市場的資產(chǎn)和固定收益超過30萬億美元,利用有組織的和柜臺交易(OTC)衍生工具提供能力和愿望吸納這些暴露的風(fēng)險。如第2部分所示,利用市場風(fēng)險統(tǒng)計的巨災(zāi)債券相關(guān)的證券投資組合為投資者提供了獨立投資主體多元化的機(jī)會。此外,在套利和資本約束的情況下,傳統(tǒng)的巨災(zāi)再保險的回報仍超過無風(fēng)險利率所代表的充足的最低要求。在第三部分的討論解釋說,合約設(shè)計的目的可能不是在復(fù)制傳統(tǒng)再保險合同的收益結(jié)構(gòu)或產(chǎn)生大約保險人的具體的風(fēng)險管理需要的收益模式的基礎(chǔ)上。如第4節(jié)所討論的,巨災(zāi)風(fēng)險的衍生工具的使用進(jìn)一步使保險公司創(chuàng)造更有利的風(fēng)險收益,通過降低整體巨災(zāi)風(fēng)險暴露,通過他們地理多樣化的投資組合的的合同優(yōu)化,并消除所謂的道德風(fēng)險。第6部分介紹了巨災(zāi)風(fēng)險的各種避險策略與巨災(zāi)風(fēng)險的衍生工具。一個涉及到使用巨災(zāi)衍生工具的關(guān)鍵的問題是在第6討論的合同的估價。最后,總結(jié)發(fā)言(第7條),特別是它作為匯集和承受風(fēng)險機(jī)構(gòu)的角色來分析再保險業(yè)未來發(fā)展證券化和脫媒的影響。

巨災(zāi)掛鉤的證券使保險公司減少和調(diào)整其現(xiàn)有的風(fēng)險暴露,從而提高他們的風(fēng)險承受能力。因此,它似乎應(yīng)首先回顧經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)原理,來討論為什么一些保險公司應(yīng)該進(jìn)行積極的風(fēng)險管理。莫迪利亞尼-米勒(1958)認(rèn)為,企業(yè)可愿意運(yùn)用一個通用指標(biāo)進(jìn)行合理的風(fēng)險管理,這意味著市場不完善的無關(guān)定理失效的基礎(chǔ)。具體來說,企業(yè)(相對于投資者為基礎(chǔ)的)對沖活動可能會提高股東價值通過:

(一)減少股權(quán)融資(風(fēng)險偏好的問題,表現(xiàn)信令)和債務(wù)融資(投資不足和資產(chǎn)替代問題)與不對稱信息相關(guān)的代理成本;

(二)減少環(huán)境中的企業(yè)稅收負(fù)擔(dān)(如法定的累進(jìn),損失前鋒和稅收抵免的規(guī)定);(三)減少對沖規(guī)模效應(yīng),非對稱信息(即股東無法確定該公司的真實接觸)或結(jié)構(gòu)性進(jìn)入壁壘相關(guān)的交易成本;

(d)減少財務(wù)困難的預(yù)期成本(即減少遇到金融危機(jī)的直接和概率以及財務(wù)危機(jī)的間接費用);

(五)改善具有較高的絕對成本的環(huán)境下內(nèi)部產(chǎn)生的現(xiàn)金流量可作為上升的外部融資的邊際成本;

(六)協(xié)助優(yōu)化公司的風(fēng)險投資組合(即通過幫助

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