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CHAPTER8MANAGEMENTOFTRANSACTIONEXPOSURE
SUGGESTEDANSWERSANDSOLUTIONSTOEND-OF-CHAPTERQUESTIONSANDPROBLEMS
QUESTIONS
1.Howwouldyoudefinetransactionexposure?Howisitdifferentfromeconomicexposure?
Answer:Transactionexposureisthesensitivityofrealizeddomesticcurrencyvaluesofthefirm’scontractualcashflowsdenominatedinforeigncurrenciestounexpectedchangesinexchangerates.Unlikeeconomicexposure,transactionexposureiswell-definedandshort-term.
2.Discussandcomparehedgingtransactionexposureusingtheforwardcontractvs.moneymarketinstruments.Whendothealternativehedgingapproachesproducethesameresult?
Answer:Hedgingtransactionexposurebyaforwardcontractisachievedbysellingorbuyingforeigncurrencyreceivablesorpayablesforward.Ontheotherhand,moneymarkethedgeisachievedbyborrowingorlendingthepresentvalueofforeigncurrencyreceivablesorpayables,therebycreatingoffsettingforeigncurrencypositions.Iftheinterestrateparityisholding,thetwohedgingmethodsareequivalent.
3.Discussandcomparethecostsofhedgingviatheforwardcontractandtheoptionscontract.
Answer:Thereisnoup-frontcostofhedgingbyforwardcontracts.Inthecaseofoptionshedging,however,hedgersshouldpaythepremiumsforthecontractsup-front.Thecostofforwardhedging,however,mayberealizedexpostwhenthehedgerregretshis/herhedgingdecision.
4.Whataretheadvantagesofacurrencyoptionscontractasahedgingtoolcomparedwiththeforwardcontract?
Answer:Themainadvantageofusingoptionscontractsforhedgingisthatthehedgercandecidewhethertoexerciseoptionsuponobservingtherealizedfutureexchangerate.Optionsthusprovideahedgeagainstexpostregretthatforwardhedgermighthavetosuffer.Hedgerscanonlyeliminatethedownsideriskwhileretainingtheupsidepotential.
5.SupposeyourcompanyhaspurchasedaputoptionontheGermanmarktomanageexchangeexposureassociatedwithanaccountreceivabledenominatedinthatcurrency.Inthiscase,yourcompanycanbesaidtohavean‘insurance’policyonitsreceivable.Explaininwhatsensethisisso.
Answer:Yourcompanyinthiscaseknowsinadvancethatitwillreceiveacertainminimumdollaramountnomatterwhatmighthappentothe$/€exchangerate.Furthermore,iftheGermanmarkappreciates,yourcompanywillbenefitfromtherisingeuro.
6.RecentsurveysofcorporateexchangeriskmanagementpracticesindicatethatmanyU.S.firmssimplydonothedge.Howwouldyouexplainthisresult?
Answer:Therecanbemanypossiblereasonsforthis.First,manyfirmsmayfeelthattheyarenotreallyexposedtoexchangeriskduetoproductdiversification,diversifiedmarketsfortheirproducts,etc.Second,firmsmaybeusingself-insuranceagainstexchangerisk.Third,firmsmayfeelthatshareholderscandiversifyexchangeriskthemselves,renderingcorporateriskmanagementunnecessary.
7.Shouldafirmhedge?Whyorwhynot?
Answer:Inaperfectcapitalmarket,firmsmaynotneedtohedgeexchangerisk.Butfirmscanaddtotheirvaluebyhedgingifmarketsareimperfect.First,ifmanagementknowsaboutthefirm’sexposurebetterthanshareholders,thefirm,notitsshareholders,shouldhedge.Second,firmsmaybeabletohedgeatalowercost.Third,ifdefaultcostsaresignificant,corporatehedgingcanbejustifiablebecauseitreducestheprobabilityofdefault.Fourth,ifthefirmfacesprogressivetaxes,itcanreducetaxobligationsbyhedgingwhichstabilizescorporateearnings.
8.Usinganexample,discussthepossibleeffectofhedgingonafirm’staxobligations.
Answer:Onecanuseanexamplesimilartotheonepresentedinthechapter.
9.Explaincontingentexposureanddiscusstheadvantagesofusingcurrencyoptionstomanagethistypeofcurrencyexposure.
Answer:Companiesmayencounterasituationwheretheymayormaynotfacecurrencyexposure.Inthissituation,companiesneedoptions,notobligations,tobuyorsellagivenamountofforeignexchangetheymayormaynotreceiveorhavetopay.Ifcompanieseitherhedgeusingforwardcontractsordonothedgeatall,theymayfacedefinitecurrencyexposure.
10.Explaincross-hedginganddiscussthefactorsdeterminingitseffectiveness.
Answer:Cross-hedginginvolveshedgingapositioninoneassetbytakingapositioninanotherasset.Theeffectivenessofcross-hedgingwoulddependonthestrengthandstabilityoftherelationshipbetweenthetwoassets.
PROBLEMS
1.CrayResearchsoldasupercomputertotheMaxPlanckInstituteinGermanyoncreditandinvoiced€10millionpayableinsixmonths.Currently,thesix-monthforwardexchangerateis$1.10/€andtheforeignexchangeadvisorforCrayResearchpredictsthatthespotrateislikelytobe$1.05/€insixmonths.
(a)Whatistheexpectedgain/lossfromtheforwardhedging?
(b)IfyouwerethefinancialmanagerofCrayResearch,wouldyourecommendhedgingthiseuroreceivable?Whyorwhynot?
(c)Supposetheforeignexchangeadvisorpredictsthatthefuturespotratewillbethesameastheforwardexchangeratequotedtoday.Wouldyourecommendhedginginthiscase?Whyorwhynot?
Solution:(a)Expectedgain($)=10,000,000(1.10–1.05)
=10,000,000(.05)
=$500,000.
(b)IwouldrecommendhedgingbecauseCrayResearchcanincreasetheexpecteddollarreceiptby$500,000andalsoeliminatetheexchangerisk.
(c)SinceIeliminateriskwithoutsacrificingdollarreceipt,Istillwouldrecommendhedging.
2.IBMpurchasedcomputerchipsfromNEC,aJapaneseelectronicsconcern,andwasbilled¥250millionpayableinthreemonths.Currently,thespotexchangerateis¥105/$andthethree-monthforwardrateis¥100/$.Thethree-monthmoneymarketinterestrateis8percentperannumintheU.S.and7percentperannuminJapan.ThemanagementofIBMdecidedtousethemoneymarkethedgetodealwiththisyenaccountpayable.
(a)Explaintheprocessofamoneymarkethedgeandcomputethedollarcostofmeetingtheyenobligation.
(b)Conductthecashflowanalysisofthemoneymarkethedge.
Solution:(a).Let’sfirstcomputethePVof¥250million,i.e.,
250m/1.0175=¥245,700,245.7
SoiftheaboveyenamountisinvestedtodayattheJapaneseinterestrateforthreemonths,thematurityvaluewillbeexactlyequalto¥25millionwhichistheamountofpayable.
Tobuytheaboveyenamounttoday,itwillcost:
$2,340,002.34=¥250,000,000/105.
Thedollarcostofmeetingthisyenobligationis$2,340,002.34asoftoday.
(b)
___________________________________________________________________
Transaction CF0 CF1
____________________________________________________________________
1.Buyyensspot -$2,340,002.34
withdollars ¥245,700,245.70
2.InvestinJapan -¥245,700,245.70 ¥250,000,000
3.Payyens -¥250,000,000
Netcashflow -$2,340,002.34
____________________________________________________________________
3.YouplantovisitGeneva,Switzerlandinthreemonthstoattendaninternationalbusinessconference.YouexpecttoincurthetotalcostofSF5,000forlodging,mealsandtransportationduringyourstay.Asoftoday,thespotexchangerateis$0.60/SFandthethree-monthforwardrateis$0.63/SF.Youcanbuythethree-monthcalloptiononSFwiththeexerciserateof$0.64/SFforthepremiumof$0.05perSF.Assumethatyourexpectedfuturespotexchangerateisthesameastheforwardrate.Thethree-monthinterestrateis6percentperannumintheUnitedStatesand4percentperannuminSwitzerland.
(a)CalculateyourexpecteddollarcostofbuyingSF5,000ifyouchoosetohedgeviacalloptiononSF.
(b)CalculatethefuturedollarcostofmeetingthisSFobligationifyoudecidetohedgeusingaforwardcontract.
(c)Atwhatfuturespotexchangeratewillyoubeindifferentbetweentheforwardandoptionmarkethedges?
(d)IllustratethefuturedollarcostsofmeetingtheSFpayableagainstthefuturespotexchangerateunderboththeoptionsandforwardmarkethedges.
Solution:(a)Totaloptionpremium=(.05)(5000)=$250.Inthreemonths,$250isworth$253.75=$250(1.015).Attheexpectedfuturespotrateof$0.63/SF,whichislessthantheexerciseprice,youdon’texpecttoexerciseoptions.Rather,youexpecttobuySwissfrancat$0.63/SF.SinceyouaregoingtobuySF5,000,youexpecttospend$3,150(=.63x5,000).Thus,thetotalexpectedcostofbuyingSF5,000willbethesumof$3,150and$253.75,i.e.,$3,403.75.
(b)$3,150=(.63)(5,000).
(c)$3,150=5,000x+253.75,wherexrepresentsthebreak-evenfuturespotrate.Solvingforx,weobtainx=$0.57925/SF.Notethatatthebreak-evenfuturespotrate,optionswillnotbeexercised.
(d)IftheSwissfrancappreciatesbeyond$0.64/SF,whichistheexercisepriceofcalloption,youwillexercisetheoptionandbuySF5,000for$3,200.ThetotalcostofbuyingSF5,000willbe$3,453.75=$3,200+$253.75.
$Cost
Optionshedge
Forwardhedge
$3,453.75
$3,150
0
0.579
0.64
(strikeprice)
$/SF
$253.75
Thisisthemaximumyouwillpay.
4.BoeingjustsignedacontracttosellaBoeing737aircrafttoAirFrance.AirFrancewillbebilled€20millionwhichispayableinoneyear.Thecurrentspotexchangerateis$1.05/€andtheone-yearforwardrateis$1.10/€.Theannualinterestrateis6.0%intheU.S.and5.0%inFrance.Boeingisconcernedwiththevolatileexchangeratebetweenthedollarandtheeuroandwouldliketohedgeexchangeexposure.
(a)Itisconsideringtwohedgingalternatives:selltheeuroproceedsfromthesaleforwardorborroweurosfromtheCreditLyonnaiseagainsttheeuroreceivable.Whichalternativewouldyourecommend?Why?
(b)Otherthingsbeingequal,atwhatforwardexchangeratewouldBoeingbeindifferentbetweenthetwohedgingmethods?
Solution:(a)Inthecaseofforwardhedge,thefuturedollarproceedswillbe(20,000,000)(1.10)=$22,000,000.Inthecaseofmoneymarkethedge(MMH),thefirmhastofirstborrowthePVofitseuroreceivable,i.e.,20,000,000/1.05=€19,047,619.Thenthefirmshouldexchangethiseuroamountintodollarsatthecurrentspotratetoreceive:(€19,047,619)($1.05/€)=$20,000,000,whichcanbeinvestedatthedollarinterestrateforoneyeartoyield:
$20,000,000(1.06)=$21,200,000.
Clearly,thefirmcanreceive$800,000morebyusingforwardhedging.
(b)AccordingtoIRP,F=S(1+i$)/(1+iF).Thusthe“indifferent”forwardratewillbe:
F=1.05(1.06)/1.05=$1.06/€.
5.SupposethatBaltimoreMachinerysoldadrillingmachinetoaSwissfirmandgavetheSwissclientachoiceofpayingeither$10,000orSF15,000inthreemonths.
(a)Intheaboveexample,BaltimoreMachineryeffectivelygavetheSwissclientafreeoptiontobuyupto$10,000dollarsusingSwissfranc.Whatisthe‘implied’exerciseexchangerate?
(b)Ifthespotexchangerateturnsouttobe$0.62/SF,whichcurrencydoyouthinktheSwissclientwillchoosetouseforpayment?WhatisthevalueofthisfreeoptionfortheSwissclient?
(c)WhatisthebestwayforBaltimoreMachinerytodealwiththeexchangeexposure?
Solution:(a)Theimpliedexercise(price)rateis:10,000/15,000=$0.6667/SF.
(b)IftheSwissclientchoosestopay$10,000,itwillcostSF16,129(=10,000/.62).SincetheSwissclienthasanoptiontopaySF15,000,itwillchoosetodoso.ThevalueofthisoptionisobviouslySF1,129(=SF16,129-SF15,000).
(c)BaltimoreMachineryfacesacontingentexposureinthesensethatitmayormaynotreceiveSF15,000inthefuture.ThefirmthuscanhedgethisexposurebybuyingaputoptiononSF15,000.
6.PrincessCruiseCompany(PCC)purchasedashipfromMitsubishiHeavyIndustry.PCCowesMitsubishiHeavyIndustry500millionyeninoneyear.Thecurrentspotrateis124yenperdollarandtheone-yearforwardrateis110yenperdollar.Theannualinterestrateis5%inJapanand8%intheU.S.PCCcanalsobuyaone-yearcalloptiononyenatthestrikepriceof$.0081peryenforapremiumof.014centsperyen.
(a)Computethefuturedollarcostsofmeetingthisobligationusingthemoneymarkethedgeandtheforwardhedges.
(b)Assumingthattheforwardexchangerateisthebestpredictorofthefuturespotrate,computetheexpectedfuturedollarcostofmeetingthisobligationwhentheoptionhedgeisused.
(c)AtwhatfuturespotratedoyouthinkPCCmaybeindifferentbetweentheoptionandforwardhedge?
Solution:(a)Inthecaseofforwardhedge,thedollarcostwillbe500,000,000/110=$4,545,455.Inthecaseofmoneymarkethedge,thefuturedollarcostwillbe:500,000,000(1.08)/(1.05)(124)
=$4,147,465.
(b)Theoptionpremiumis:(.014/100)(500,000,000)=$70,000.Itsfuturevaluewillbe$70,000(1.08)=$75,600.
Attheexpectedfuturespotrateof$.0091(=1/110),whichishigherthantheexerciseof$.0081,PCCwillexerciseitscalloptionandbuy¥500,000,000for$4,050,000(=500,000,000x.0081).
Thetotalexpectedcostwillthusbe$4,125,600,whichisthesumof$75,600and$4,050,000.
(c)Whentheoptionhedgeisused,PCCwillspend“atmost”$4,125,000.Ontheotherhand,whentheforwardhedgingisused,PCCwillhavetospend$4,545,455regardlessofthefuturespotrate.Thismeansthattheoptionshedgedominatestheforwardhedge.Atnofuturespotrate,PCCwillbeindifferentbetweenforwardandoptionshedges.
7.Airbussoldanaircraft,A400,toDeltaAirlines,aU.S.company,andbilled$30millionpayableinsixmonths.Airbusisconcernedwiththeeuroproceedsfrominternationalsalesandwouldliketocontrolexchangerisk.Thecurrentspotexchangerateis$1.05/€andsix-monthforwardexchangerateis$1.10/€atthemoment.Airbuscanbuyasix-monthputoptiononU.S.dollarswithastrikepriceof€0.95/$forapremiumof€0.02perU.S.dollar.Currently,six-monthinterestrateis2.5%intheeurozoneand3.0%intheU.S.
ComputetheguaranteedeuroproceedsfromtheAmericansaleifAirbusdecidestohedgeusingaforwardcontract.
IfAirbusdecidestohedgeusingmoneymarketinstruments,whatactiondoesAirbusneedtotake?WhatwouldbetheguaranteedeuroproceedsfromtheAmericansaleinthiscase?
IfAirbusdecidestohedgeusingputoptionsonU.S.dollars,whatwouldbethe‘expected’europroceedsfromtheAmericansale?AssumethatAirbusregardsthecurrentforwardexchangerateasanunbiasedpredictorofthefuturespotexchangerate.
AtwhatfuturespotexchangeratedoyouthinkAirbuswillbeindifferentbetweentheoptionandmoneymarkethedge?
Solution:
a.Airbuswillsell$30millionforwardfor€27,272,727=($30,000,000)/($1.10/€).
b.Airbuswillborrowthepresentvalueofthedollarreceivable,i.e.,$29,126,214=$30,000,000/1.03,andthensellthedollarproceedsspotforeuros:€27,739,251.ThisistheeuroamountthatAirbusisgoingtokeep.
c.Sincetheexpectedfuturespotrateislessthanthestrikepriceoftheputoption,i.e.,€0.9091<€0.95,Airbusexpectstoexercisetheoptionandreceive€28,500,000=($30,000,000)(€0.95/$).Thisisgrossproceeds.Airbusspent€600,000(=0.02x30,000,000)upfrontfortheoptionanditsfuturecostisequalto€615,000=€600,000x1.025.ThustheneteuroproceedsfromtheAmericansaleis€27,885,000,whichisthedifferencebetweenthegrossproceedsandtheoptioncosts.
d.Attheindifferentfuturespotrate,thefollowingwillhold:
€28,432,732=ST(30,000,000)-€615,000.
SolvingforST,weobtainthe“indifference”futurespotexchangerate,i.e.,€0.9683/$,or$1.0327/€.Notethat€28,432,732isthefuturevalueoftheproceedsundermoneymarkethedging:
€28,432,732=(€27,739,251)(1.025).
SuggestedsolutionforMiniCase:ChaseOptions,Inc.
[SeeChapter13forthecasetext]
ChaseOptions,Inc.
HedgingForeignCurrencyExposureThroughCurrencyOptions
HarveyA.Poniachek
I.CaseSummary
Thiscasereviewstheforeignexchangeoptionsmarketandhedging.Itpresentsvariousinternationaltransactionsthatrequirecurrencyoptionshedgingstrategiesbythecorporationsinvolved.Seventransactionsunderavarietyofcircumstancesareintroducedthatrequirehedgingbycurrencyoptions.Thetransactionsinvolvehedgingofdividendremittances,portfolioinvestmentexposure,andstrategiceconomiccompetitiveness.Marketquotationsareprovidedforoptions(andoptionshedgingratios),forwards,andinterestratesforvariousmaturities.
II.CaseObjective.
Thecaseintroducesthestudenttotheprinciplesofcurrencyoptionsmarketandhedgingstrategies.Thetransactionsareofvarioustypesthatoftenconfrontcompaniesthatareinvolvedinextensiveinternationalbusinessormultinationalcorporations.Thecaseinducesstudentstoacquirehands-onexperienceinaddressingspecificexposureandhedgingconcerns,includinghowtoapplyvariousmarketquotations,whichhedgingstrategyismostsuitable,andhowtoaddressexposureinforeigncurrencythroughcrosshedgingpolicies.
III.ProposedAssignmentSolution
1.ThecompanyexpectsDM100millioninrepatriatedprofits,anddoesnotwanttheDM/$exchangerateatwhichtheyconvertthoseprofitstoriseabove1.70.TheycanhedgethisexposureusingDMputoptionswithastrikepriceof1.70.Ifthespotraterisesabove1.70,theycanexercisetheoption,whileifthatratefallstheycanenjoyadditionalprofitsfromfavorableexchangeratemovements.
Topurchasetheoptionswouldrequireanup-frontpremiumof:
DM100,000,000x0.0164=DM1,640,000.
Withastrikepriceof1.70DM/$,thiswouldassuretheU.S.companyofreceivingatleast:
DM100,000,000–DM1,640,000x(1+0.085106x272/360)
=DM98,254,544/1.70DM/$=$57,796,791
byexercisingtheoptioniftheDMdepreciated.Notethattheproceedsfromtherepatriatedprofitsarereducedbythepremiumpaid,whichisfurtheradjustedbytheinterestforegoneonthisamount.
However,iftheDMweretoappreciaterelativetothedollar,thecompanywouldallowtheoptiontoexpire,andenjoygreaterdollarproceedsfromthisincrease.
Shouldforwardcontractsbeusedtohedgethisexposure,theproceedsreceivedwouldbe:
DM100,000,000/1.6725DM/$=$59,790,732,
regardlessofthemovementoftheDM/$exchangerate.Whilethisamountisalmost$2millionmorethanthatrealizedusingoptionhedgesabove,thereisnoflexibilityregardingtheexercisedate;ifthisdatediffersfromthatatwhichtherepatriateprofitsareavailable,thecompanymaybeexposedtoadditionalfurthercurrentexposure.Further,thereisnoopportunitytoenjoyanyappreciationintheDM.
IfthecompanyweretobuyDMputsasabove,andsellanequivalentamountincallswithstrikeprice1.647,thepremiumpaidwouldbeexactlyoffsetbythepremiumreceived.Thiswouldassurethattheexchangeraterealizedwouldfallbetween1.647and1.700.Iftheraterisesabove1.700,thecompanywillexerciseitsputoption,andifitfellbelow1.647,theotherpartywoulduseitscall;foranyrateinbetween,bothoptionswouldexpireworthless.Theproceedsrealizedwouldthenfallbetween:
DM100,00,000/1.647DM/$=$60,716,454
and
DM100,000,000/1.700DM/$=$58,823,529.
Thiswouldallowthecompanysomeupsidepotential,whileguaranteeingproceedsatleast$1milliongreaterthantheminimumforsimplybuyingaputasabove.
Buy/SellOptions
DM/$Spot
PutPayoff
“Put”Profits
CallPayoff
“Call”Profits
NetProfit
1.60
(1,742,846)
0
1,742,846
60,716,454
60,716,454
1.61
(1,742,846)
0
1,742,846
60,716,454
60,716,454
1.62
(1,742,846)
0
1,742,846
60,716,454
60,716,454
1.63
(1,742,846)
0
1,742,846
60,716,454
60,716,454
1.64
(1,742,846)
0
1,742,846
60,716,454
60,716,454
1.65
(1,742,846)
60,606,061
1,742,846
0
60,606,061
1.66
(1,742,846)
60,240,964
1,742,846
0
60,240,964
1.67
(1,742,846)
59,880,240
1,742,846
0
59,880,240
1.68
(1,742,846)
59,523,810
1,742,846
0
59,523,810
1.69
(1,742,846)
59,171,598
1,742,846
0
59,171,598
1.70
(1,742,846)
58,823,529
1,742,846
0
58,823,529
1.71
(1,742,846)
58,823,529
1,742,846
0
58,823,529
1.72
(1,742,846)
58,823,529
1,742,846
0
58,823,529
1.73
(1,742,846)
58,823,529
1,742,846
0
58,823,529
1.74
(1,742,846)
58,823,529
1,742,846
0
58,823,529
1.75
(1,742,846)
58,823,529
1,742,846
0
58,823,529
1.76
(1,742,846)
58,823,529
1,742,846
0
58,823,529
1.77
(1,742,846)
58,823,529
1,742,846
0
58,823,529
1.78
(1,742,846)
58,823,529
1,742,846
0
58,823,529
1.79
(1,742,846)
58,823,529
1,742,846
0
58,823,529
1.80
(1,742,846)
58,823,529
1,742,846
0
58,823,529
1.81
(1,742,846)
58,823,529
1,742,846
0
58,823,529
1.82
(1,742,846)
58,823,529
1,742,846
0
58,823,529
1.83
(1,742,846)
58,823,529
1,742,846
0
58,823,529
1.84
(1,742,846)
58,823,529
1,742,846
0
58,823,529
1.85
(1,742,846)
58,823,529
1,742,846
0
58,823,529
Sincethefirmbelievesthatthereisagoodchancethatthepoundsterlingwillweaken,lockingthemintoaforwardcontractwouldnotbeappropriate,becausetheywouldlosetheopportunitytoprofitfromthisweakening.Theirhedgestrategyshouldfollowforanupsidepotentialtomatchtheirviewpoint.Therefore,theyshouldpurchasesterlingcalloptions,payingapremiumof:
5,000,000STGx0.0176=88,000STG.
Ifthedollarstrengthensagainstthepound,thefirmallowstheoptiontoexpire,andbuyssterlinginthespotmarketatacheaperpricethantheywouldhavepaidforaforwardcontract;otherwise,thesterlingcallsprotectagainstunfavorabledepreciationofthedollar.
Becausethefundmanagerisuncertainwhenhewillsellthebonds,herequiresahedgewhichwillallowflexibilityastotheexercisedate.Thus,optionsarethebestinstrumentforhimtouse.HecanbuyA$putstolockinafloorof0.72A$/$.Sinceheiswillingtoforegoanyfurthercurrencyappreciation,hecansellA$callswithastrikepriceof0.8025A$/$todefraythecostofhishedge(infactheearnsanetpremiumofA$100,000,000x(0.007234–0.007211)=A$2,300),whileknowingthathecan’treceivelessthan0.72A$/$whenredeeminghisinvestment,andcanbenefitfromasmallappreciationoftheA$.
Example#3:
Problem:HedgeprincipaldenominatedinA$intoUS$.Forgoupsidepotentialtobuyfloorprotection.
I. Hedgebywritingcallsandbuyingputs
1) Writecallsfor$/A$@0.8025
Buyputsfor$/A$@0.72
#contractsneeded=PrincipalinA$/Contractsize
100,000,000A$/100,000A$=100
2) Revenuefromsaleofcalls=(#contracts)(sizeofcontract)(premium)
$75,573=(100)(100,000A$)(.007234$/A$)(1+.0825195/360)
3) Totalcostofputs=(#contracts)(sizeofcontract)(premium)
$75,332=(100)(100,000A$)(.007211$/A$)(1+.0825195/360)
4) Putpayoff
Ifspotfallsbelow0.72,fundmanagerwillexerciseput
Ifspotrisesabove0.72,fundmanagerwillletputexpire
5) Callpayoff
Ifspotrisesabove.8025,callwillbeexercised
Ifspotfallsbelow.8025,callwillexpire
6) Netpayoff
SeefollowingTablefornetpayoff
AustralianDollarBondHedge
StrikePrice
PutPayoff
“Put”Principal
CallPayoff
“Call”Principal
NetProfit
0.60
(75,332)
72,000,000
75,573
0
72,000,241
0.61
(75,332)
72,000,000
75,573
0
72,000,241
0.62
(75,332)
72,000,000
75,573
0
72,000,241
0.63
(75,332)
72,000,000
75,573
0
72,000,241
0.64
(75,332)
72,000,000
75,573
0
72,000,241
0.65
(75,332)
72,000,000
75,573
0
72,000,241
0.66
(75,332)
72,000,000
75,573
0
72,000,241
0.67
(75,332)
72,000,000
75,573
0
72,000,241
0.68
(75,332)
72,000,000
75,573
0
72,000,241
0.69
(75,332)
72,000,000
75,573
0
72,000,241
0.70
(75,332)
72,000,000
75,573
0
72,000,241
0.71
(75,332)
72,000,000
75,573
0
72,000,241
0.72
(75,332)
72,000,000
75,573
0
72,000,241
0.73
(75,332)
73,000,000
75,573
0
73,000,241
0.74
(75,332)
74,000,000
75,573
0
74,000,241
0.75
(75,332)
75,000,000
75,573
0
75,000,241
0.76
(75,332)
76,000,000
75,573
0
76,000,241
0.77
(75,332)
77,000,000
75,573
0
77,000,241
0.78
(75,332)
78,000,000
75,573
0
78,000,241
0.79
(75,332)
79,000,000
75,573
0
79,000,241
0.80
(75,332)
80,000,000
75,573
0
80,000,241
0.81
(75,332)
0
75,573
80,250,000
80,250,241
0.82
(75,332)
0
75,573
80,250,000
80,250,241
0.83
(75,332)
0
75,573
80,250,000
80,250,241
0.84
(75,332)
0
75,573
80,250,000
80,250,241
0.85
(75,332)
0
75,573
80,250,000
80,250,241
4.TheGermancompanyisbiddingonacontractwhichtheycannotbecertainofwinning.Thus,theneedtoexecuteacurrencytransactionissimilarlyuncertain,andusingaforwardorfuturesasahedgeisinappropriate,becauseitwouldforcethemtoperformeveniftheydonotwinthecontract.
Usingasterlingputoptionasahedgeforthistransactionmakesthemostsense.Forapremiumof:
12millionSTGx0.0161=193,200STG,
theycanassurethemselvesthatadversemovementsinthepoundsterlingexchangeratewillnotdiminishtheprofitabilityoftheproject(andhencethefeasibilityoftheirbid),whileatthesametimeallowingthepotentialforgainsfromsterlingappreciation.
5.SinceAMCinconcernedabouttheadverseeffectsthatastrengtheningofthedollarwouldhaveonitsbusiness,weneedtocreateasituationinwhichitwillprofitfromsuchanappreciation.Purchasingayenputoradollarcallwillachievethisobjective.ThedatainExhibit1,row7representa10percentappreciationofthedollar(128.15strikevs.116.5forwardrate)andcanbeusedtohedgeagainstasimilarappreciationofthedollar.
Foreverymillionyenofhedging,thecostwouldbe:
Yen100,000,000x0.000127=127Yen.
Todeterminethebreakevenpoint,weneedtocomputethevalueofthisoptionifthedollarappreciated10percent(spotroseto128.15),andsubtractfromitthepremiumwepaid.Thisprofitwouldbecomparedwiththeprofitearnedonfiveto10percentofAMC’ssales(whichwouldbelostasaresultofthedollarappreciation).Thenumberofoptionstobepurchasedwhichwouldequalizethesetwoquantitieswouldrepresentthebreakevenpoint.
Example#5:
HedgetheeconomiccostofthedepreciatingYentoAMC.
IfweassumethatAMCsalesfallindirectproportiontodepreciationintheyen(i.e.,a10percentdeclineinyenand10percentdeclineinsales),thenwecanhedgethefullvalueofAMC’ssales.Ihaveassumed$100millioninsales.
1) Buyyenputs
#contractsneeded=ExpectedSales*Current¥/$R
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