信用衍生性商品相關(guān)知識課件

信用衍生性商品

CreditDerivatives

曾啟詮Manager.Chi@2012/12/20信用衍生性商品

CreditDerivatives

曾啟2大綱Agenda信用評級CreditRatings信用利差CreditSpread信用衍生性商品CreditDerivatives信用違約交換

CreditDefaultSwap(CDS)總收益互換TotalReturnSwap(TRS)信用聯(lián)結(jié)票據(jù)

CreditLinkedNote(CLN)抵押債務(wù)債券擔保債務(wù)憑證

CollateralizedDebtObligation(CDO)固定比例債務(wù)債券 ConstantProportionDebtObligation(CPDO)固定比例投資組合保險債券

ConstantProportionPortfolioInsurance(CPPI)雙幣別衍生品Quanto雙幣別衍生品交換QuantoSwap2大綱Agenda信用評級CreditRatings3CreditRatings信用評級3CreditRatings4信用評級公司CreditRatingAgenciesStandard&Poor's(S&P)(40%):USAMoody's(40%):USAFitchGroup(15%): 50%USA(HearstCorporation)and50%France(FIMALAC)Source:DTCC,ISDA4信用評級公司CreditRatingAgencies5信用評級CreditRatingsIGInvestmentGradeIGJunkHighYieldHY5信用評級CreditRatingsIGInvestme6投資級/垃圾級債券InvestmentGrade/JunkBondsAbondisconsideredInvestmentGradeorIGifitscreditratingisBBB-orhigherbyStandard&Poor'sorBaa3orhigherbyMoody's.

Bondsthatarenotratedasinvestment-gradebondsareknownasHighYieldbondsormorederisivelyasJunkbonds.Source:DTCC,ISDA6投資級/垃圾級債券InvestmentGrade/7標準普爾國際評等Standard&Poor'sForeignRatings7標準普爾國際評等Standard&Poor'sFo8標準普爾3A級評等

Standard&Poor'sAAARatingCountries8標準普爾3A級評等

Standard&Poor's9標準普爾中國評等Standard&Poor'sChinaRating:AA-9標準普爾中國評等Standard&Poor'sCh10標準普爾一年期全球企業(yè)破產(chǎn)機率

S&P’sOne-YearGlobalCorporateDefaultRates(%),1981-200810標準普爾一年期全球企業(yè)破產(chǎn)機率

S&P’sOne-11CreditSpread信用利差11CreditSpread12信用利差CreditSpreadConsideracorporatebondmaturedTyearsfromnowr:riskfreerates:creditspreadp:defaultprobabilityR:recoveryrate1–R=LossGivenDefault(LGD)1dollarmaturedTyearsfromnowprobability=p,Default,getRbackprobability=1-p,NoDefault,get1backPresentvalueof1,TyearsfromnowisEXP(-(r+s)*T) EXP(-(r+s)*T) =(1-p)*EXP(-r*T)+p*R*EXP(-r*T)12信用利差CreditSpreadConsidera13信用利差CreditSpread EXP(-(r+s)*T) =(1-p)*EXP(-r*T)+p*R*EXP(-r*T) =EXP(-r*T)-p*EXP(-r*T)+p*R*EXP(-r*T) =EXP(-r*T)*(1–p+p*R) EXP(-r*T)*EXP(-s*T)=EXP(-r*T)*(1-p*(1-R)) EXP(-s*T)=1-p*(1-R) -s*T=LN(1-p*(1-R)) s=-1/T*LN(1-p*LGD)13信用利差CreditSpread EXP(-(r+s14信用利差CreditSpread s=-1/T*LN(1-p*LGD)BiggerDefaultProbabilityBiggerCreditSpreadBiggerLossGivenDefaultBiggerCreditSpreadLongerMaturitySmallerCreditSpread14信用利差CreditSpread s=-1/T15CreditDerivatives信用衍生性商品15CreditDerivatives16信用衍生性商品CreditDerivativesCreditDerivatives’pricesdependsonCreditconditions.CreditRiskManagementCreditRiskTrading16信用衍生性商品CreditDerivativesC17信用衍生性商品CreditDerivativesUnfunded–withoutprincipalFunded–withprincipal17信用衍生性商品CreditDerivativesUn18信用衍生性商品(無本金)

CreditDerivatives-UnfundedCreditdefaultswap(CDS)Totalreturnswap(TRS)18信用衍生性商品(無本金)CreditDerivat19信用衍生性商品(有本金)

CreditDerivatives-FundedCreditlinkednote(CLN)CollateralizedDebtObligation(CDO)ConstantProportionDebtObligation(CPDO)ConstantProportionPortfolioInsurance(CPPI)19信用衍生性商品(有本金)CreditDerivat20CreditDefaultSwapCDS信用違約交換20CreditDefaultSwap21信用違約交換

CreditDefaultSwap(CDS)ACreditDefaultSwap(CDS)isabilateralagreementdesignedexplicitlytoshiftcreditriskbetweentwoparties.InaCDS,oneparty(protectionbuyer)paysaperiodicfeetoanotherparty(protectionseller)inreturnforcompensationfordefault(orsimilarcreditevent)byareferenceentity.21信用違約交換CreditDefaultSwap(22信用違約交換結(jié)構(gòu)CDSMechanics22信用違約交換結(jié)構(gòu)CDSMechanics23信用違約交換結(jié)構(gòu)(事件發(fā)生前)

CDSMechanics–preCreditEvent23信用違約交換結(jié)構(gòu)(事件發(fā)生前)CDSMechani24信用違約交換結(jié)構(gòu)(事件發(fā)生后)CDSMechanics–postCreditEvent24信用違約交換結(jié)構(gòu)(事件發(fā)生后)CDSMechani25信用違約交換利差CDSSpreadIftheCDSspreadofXYZCorpis50basispoints,or0.5%(1basispoint=0.01%),thenaninvestorbuying$10millionworthofprotectionfromABCBankmustpaythebank$50,000peryear. $10,000,000X0.0001X50=$50,000$1000perbasispointfor$10millionnotionalCDS25信用違約交換利差CDSSpreadIfthe26信用違約交換強化金融體制CDSstrengthenthefinancialsystemCDSenablebankstotransferrisktootherrisktakers,sobankscanmakemoreloans.CDShelpdistributeriskwidelythroughoutthesystemandthuspreventlargeconcentrationsofriskthatotherwisewouldoccur.CDSprovideimportantinformationaboutcreditconditions,helpingbankersandpolicymakerstosupervisetraditionalbankingactivities.CDSserveavaluablesignalingfunction—CDSpricesproducebetterandmoretimelyinformation.26信用違約交換強化金融體制CDSstrengthen27信用違約交換

(合約)

CDScontractaconfirmationreferencingthecreditderivativesdefinitionsaspublishedbytheInternationalSwapsandDerivativesAssociation(ISDA)referenceentityreferenceobligationeffectivedateandscheduledterminationdatecalculationagentcrediteventsdeliverableobligationcharacteristicspremiumpayments27信用違約交換(合約)CDScontractaco28目標主體ReferenceEntityTheReferenceEntityisthepartyonwhichCDSiswritten.Forthesimplest(single-name)formofCDS,thereferenceentityisanindividualcorporationorgovernment.28目標主體ReferenceEntityTheRef29目標債權(quán)ReferenceObligationUnsubordinatedcorporatebondGovernmentbond.29目標債權(quán)ReferenceObligationUns30信用事件CreditEventWithregardtocreditevents,theconfirmationofaCDSdealspecifiesastandardsetofevents,oneofwhichmustoccurbeforetheprotectionsellercompensatesthebuyer.Thepartiestothedealdecidewhichofthoseeventstoincludeandwhichtoexclude.30信用事件CreditEventWithregard31信用事件CreditEventsFailuretopayBankruptcyRestructuringCouponreductionMaturityextensionRepudiationorMoratoriumObligationAccelerationandObligationDefault31信用事件CreditEventsFailuret32清算SettlementPhysicalsettlement:TheCDSsellerpaysthebuyerparvalue,andinreturntakesdeliveryofadebtobligationofthereferenceentity.Cashsettlement:TheCDSsellerpaysthebuyerthedifferencebetweenparvalueandthemarketpriceofadebtobligationofthereferenceentity.32清算SettlementPhysicalsettle33收覆率RecoveryRatesCDSRecoveryRate=40%LCDS(LoanCDS)RecoveryRate=70%33收覆率RecoveryRatesCDS34收覆率拍賣RecoveryRateAuctionsInternationalSwapsandDerivativesAssociation(ISDA)Source:DTCC,ISDA34收覆率拍賣RecoveryRateAuctions35信用違約交換

(利差與破產(chǎn)機率)

CDSSpreadandProbabilityofDefaultConsidera1-yearCDScontractandassumethatthetotalpremiumispaidupfrontLetS:CDSspread(premium),p:defaultprobability,R:recoveryrateTheCDSbuyerexpectstopay=SHisexpectedpay-off=(1-R)pWhentwopartiesenteraCDStrade,SissetsothatthevalueoftheswaptransactioniszeroS=(1-R)p?S/(1-R)=pIfR=40%;S=500bp?p=8.3%.IfR=0,S=p=5%35信用違約交換(利差與破產(chǎn)機率)

CDSSpread36BloombergWCDS(全球CDS評價WorldCDSPricing)Source:DTCC,ISDA36BloombergWCDS(全球CDS評價Worl37Source:DTCC,ISDABloombergWCDS(全球CDS評價WorldCDSPricing)37Source:DTCC,ISDABloomberg38BloombergCDSD(利差曲線CDSSPREADCURVE)38BloombergCDSD(利差曲線CDSSPR39BloombergCDSW(計算器CDSCalculator)MarketSpreadUpfrontpaymentAccruedInterestCDXspread39BloombergCDSW(計算器CDSCalc40BloombergCDSH(歷史利差CDSHistoricalSpreads)Source:DTCC,ISDA40BloombergCDSH(歷史利差CDSHis41歐豬五國PIIGSCDS–2011/04/2010YCDSGreece:1240bpPortugal:661bp41歐豬五國PIIGSCDS–2011/04/20142歐債危機EuropeanSovereignCDS–2012October10YCDS42歐債危機EuropeanSovereignCDS43毛名目本金GrossNotionalGrossnotionalvaluesarethesumofCDScontractsbought(orequivalentlysold)forallWarehousecontractsinaggregate,bysectororforsinglereferenceentitiesdisplayed.Aggregategrossnotionalvalueandcontractdataprovidedarecalculatedonaper-tradebasis.Forexample,atransactionof$10millionnotionalbetweenbuyerandsellerofprotectionisreportedasonecontractfor$10milliongrossnotional,asopposedtotwocontractsfor$20millionnotional.43毛名目本金GrossNotionalGrossno44凈名目本金NetNotionalNetnotionalvalueswithrespecttoanysinglereferenceentityisthesumofthenetprotectionboughtbynetbuyers(orequivalentlynetprotectionsoldbynetsellers).Netnotionalpositionsgenerallyrepresentthemaximumpossiblenetfundstransfersbetweennetsellersofprotectionandnetbuyersofprotectionthatcouldberequiredupontheoccurrenceofacrediteventrelatingtoparticularreferenceentities(actualnetfundstransfersaredependentontherecoveryratefortheunderlyingbondsorotherdebtinstruments).44凈名目本金NetNotionalNetnotion45名目本金NotionalAmount-2011/12/31GrossNotionalAmount:$25.9trillionNetNotionalAmount:$2.7trillionEveryReferenceEntityhasaCreditEventRecoveryRate=045名目本金NotionalAmount-2011/46案例Top10CDSPositions–GrossNotional–2012/11/10Source:DTCC,ISDA46案例Top10CDSPositions–Gr47案例Top10CDSPositions–NetNotional–2012/11/10Source:DTCC,ISDA47案例Top10CDSPositions–Ne48中央清算CentralClearingCentralCounterpartyclearingfacilities(CCPs)ICETrustandICEClearEurope,bothoperatedbytheIntercontinentalExchangeCMEClearing,ownedbyCMEGroupEurexCreditClear,operatedbyEurexFrankfurtAGLCH.Clearnet85percentofCDStrading90percentofIRStradingSource:DTCC,ISDA48中央清算CentralClearingCentral49中央清算CentralClearing49中央清算CentralClearing50個別公司信用違約交換SingleNameCDS–2012/10/24Source:DTCC,ISDA50個別公司信用違約交換SingleNameCDS–51個別公司信用違約交換報價

LastQuoteforthemostLiquidCreditDefaultSwaps51個別公司信用違約交換報價

LastQuotefor52MarkitCDXindicesMarkitCDXNorthAmericanInvestmentGrade(125names)MarkitCDXNorthAmericanInvestmentGradeHighVolatility(30namesfromCDXNAIG)MarkitCDXNorthAmericanHighYield(100names)MarkitCDXNorthAmericanHighYieldHighBeta(30names)MarkitCDXEmergingMarkets(15names)MarkitCDXEmergingMarketsDiversified(40names).52MarkitCDXindicesMarkitCD53MarkitCDXindices信用違約交換指數(shù)Source:DTCC,ISDA53MarkitCDXindices信用違約交換指數(shù)So54MarkitCDXFixedCouponRates

信用違約交換票面利率指數(shù)54MarkitCDXFixedCouponRate55MarkitiTraxxEuropeindices

信用違約交換歐洲指數(shù)MarkitiTraxxEuropeindex(125equally-weightedEuropeannames)MarkitiTraxxEuropeHiVolindex(30widestspreadnon-financialnames)MarkitiTraxxEuropeCrossoverindex(40mostliquidsub-investmentgradeentities)MarkitiTraxxEuropeNon-FinancialindexMarkitiTraxxEuropeSeniorFinancialsindexMarkitiTraxxEuropeSubFinancialsindex55MarkitiTraxxEuropeindices56MarkitiTraxxCEEMEAindex

信用違約交換指數(shù)MarkitiTraxxCEEMEAindex(25corporateandquasi-sovereignentitiesfromCentral&EasternEuropean,MiddleEasternandAfricancountries)56MarkitiTraxxCEEMEAindex信57MarkitiTraxxAsiaPacificindices

信用違約交換亞太指數(shù)MarkitiTraxxAsianex-JapanIGindex(50equally-weightedinvestmentgradeAsianentities)MarkitiTraxxAustraliaindex(25equally-weightedAustralianentities)MarkitiTraxxJapanindex(50equally-weightedCDSofJapaneseentities).57MarkitiTraxxAsiaPacifici58案例MarkitCDXandiTraxxIndices–2012/11/19Source:DTCC,ISDA58案例MarkitCDXandiTraxxInd59信用違約交換風險CDSRisksCounterpartyriskfromLehmanBrothersLiquidityrisk

Jump-to-defaultrisk59信用違約交換風險CDSRisksCounterpa60美國政府接管二房案例LehmanBrothers1YCDS60美國政府接管二房案例LehmanBrothers161美國政府接管二房案例LehmanBrothers5YCDS61美國政府接管二房案例LehmanBrothers562信用違約交換用法CDSUsesSpeculationBuyLow;SellHighSellHigh;BuyLowHedging

ArbitrageStock↑

CDSSpread↓Stock↓

CDSSpread↑Exception:LeveragedBuyout(LBO)

Stock↑&CDSSpread↑62信用違約交換用法CDSUsesSpeculatio63NegativeBasisTradesCDSSpread<BondSpreadBuyBond&BuyCDSGood,ButCounterpartyCreditRiskUnwindingRisk63NegativeBasisTradesCDSSp64NegativebasisTrades–2009/1064NegativebasisTrades–200965案例JPMorganChase-LondonWhaleBrunoIksil,aSoviet-borntraderbullishoncreditmarketsandsoldMarkitCDXNorthAmericaInvestmentGradeSeries910-YearIndex,CDXIG92BillionLossreportedinMay20125.8BillionLossupdatedonJuly13,201265案例JPMorganChase-London66一籃子信用違約交換

BasketCreditDefaultSwapAcreditderivativecontractthatprovidesapayoffwhenanyofthemultiplereferenceentitiesdefault.Thecontractspecifiesthenumberofdefaultsafterwhichthepayoffisgenerated.First-to-default(FTD)CDSSecond-to-default(STD)CDSNth-to-defaultCDS.66一籃子信用違約交換BasketCreditDefa67信用違約交換組合PortfolioCreditDefaultSwapPortfolioCDScoversaprespecifiedamountratherthanaprespecifiedsequentialdefaultnumber(first-to-default,second-to-default,andsoon).$10millionCDS67信用違約交換組合PortfolioCreditDe68信用違約交換

DigitalCreditDefaultSwapFixed-recoveryCDSRecoveryrateisfixedbeforehandBinaryCDS68信用違約交換DigitalCreditDefaul69信用違約交換指數(shù)利差交易策略CDSIndexSpreadTradingiTraxxEurope–CDXNAIGIfEuropeansovereign-debtcrisisisgettingworseBuyiTraxxEurope;SellCDXNAIG69信用違約交換指數(shù)利差交易策略CDSIndexSp70信用違約交換個別公司利差交易策略

SingleNameCDSLong-ShortTradingTokyoElectricPowerKansaiElectricPowerBuyTokyo;SellKansaiElectricPowerSellTokyo;BuyKansaiElectricPower70信用違約交換個別公司利差交易策略

SingleNa71信用違約交換個別公司利差曲線交易策略

SingleNameCDSCurveTradingKeepNotionalequal,noDefaultrisk,butMTMrisk1M5YCDSSpread01￥449,1YCDS￥1111Y:650bp5Y:417bpIfbettingCDSCurveisflattening,thenSell1YCDS,Buy5YCDSTokyoElectricPower71信用違約交換個別公司利差曲線交易策略

Single72Keepspread01equal,noMTMrisk,butDefaultrisk1M5YCDSSpread01￥449,1Y￥111(5Y:1Y=1M:4.05M);netof3.05Mcreditexposure1Y:650bp5Y:417bpIfbettingCDSCurveisflattening,thenSell1YCDS,Buy5YCDSTokyoElectricPower信用違約交換個別公司利差曲線交易策略

SingleNameCDSCurveTrading72Keepspread01equal,noMTM73TotalReturnSwapTRS總收益互換73TotalReturnSwap74總收益互換TotalReturnSwap(TRS)Totalreturnswap,orTRSTotalrateofreturnswap,orTRORSonepartymakespaymentsbasedonasetrate,eitherfixedorvariabletheotherpartymakespaymentsbasedonthereturnofanunderlyingasset,referenceassetincomecapitalgain74總收益互換TotalReturnSwap(TRS75總收益互換TotalReturnSwap(TRS)ATRSismadeupoftwolegstheReturnLeg(orTotalReturnLeg)theFundingLeg.TheReturnLegisgenerallymadeupoftwocomponents:cashflowsandcapitalappreciationofthereferenceasset(s).TheFundingLegalsohastwocomponents:floatingcouponsbasedonLIBOR+/-aspreadandpaymentstooffsetanycapitaldepreciationofthereferenceasset(s).75總收益互換TotalReturnSwap(TRS76總收益互換TotalReturnSwap(TRS)

76總收益互換TotalReturnSwap(TRS77總收益互換(付方)

TotalReturnPayer(TRP)TheReturnLegcounterpartyiscalledtheTotalReturnPayer,SwapSeller,Buyerofprotection,orBeneficiary.Ownsreferenceasset(s)HaslowercostfinancingPaystotalreturnofasset(s)ReceivesLIBOR+/-spreadReceivespaymentstooffsetanycapitallossesTakesoninterestrateriskTransfersawayassetreturnrisk77總收益互換(付方)TotalReturnPaye78總收益互換(收方)

TotalReturnReceiver(TRR)TheFundingLegcounterpartyiscalledtheTotalReturnReceiver,SwapBuyer,Sellerofprotection,orGuarantor.Doesnotownreferenceasset(s)-hasaweakerbalancesheetorusesbalancesheetleverageHashighercostfinancingReceivestotalreturnofasset(s)PaysLIBOR+/-spreadPaysforanycapitallossesTakesonassetreturnriskTakesoninterestraterisk78總收益互換(收方)TotalReturnRece79總收益互換TotalReturnSwapExampleInaBankLoanTRS,alargebanksuchasCitigroup(theTotalReturnPayer)ownsaloan(s).ItthenentersintoaTRSwithaninvestor(theTotalReturnReceiver).ThebankpaysalltheinterestandrealizedcapitalgainstotheSeller,minusa"fundingcharge"(akintoanaccessfeetothebank'sbalancesheet).TheinvestorpaysLIBORplusaspread,plusanyrealizedcapitallossestothebank.

Initialcollateral(the"haircut"or"IndependentAmount"inswaplanguage)ofbetween15%and80%ispaidtothebankbytheinvestorattheinceptionoftheTRS.ThebankholdsthiscollateralinaseparateaccountandpaystheinvestorperiodicinterestattheFedFundsEffectiveRate.79總收益互換TotalReturnSwapExam80總收益互換(收方)

PaymentsReceivedbyTotalReturnReceiverIfreferenceassetisabond,thebondcouponThepriceappreciation,ifany,ofthereferenceassetsincethelastfixingdateIfthereferenceassetisabondthatdefaultedsincethelastfixingdate,therecoveryvalueofthebondInterestonanycollateral/haircutbeingheldbytheTotalReturnPayer80總收益互換(收方)

PaymentsReceive81總收益互換(付方)

PaymentsReceivedbytheTotalReturnPayerTheperiodicfloatingpayment(usuallyLIBOR+/-aspread)Thepricedepreciation,ifany,ofthereferenceassetsincethelastfixingdateIfthereferenceassetisabondthatdefaultedsincethelastfixingdate,theparvalueofthebond81總收益互換(付方)

PaymentsReceive82總收益互換(收益)

TotalReturnSwapBenefitsLeverage–InitialCollateralAsyntheticfundinginstrument-improvedfinancingcostsOperationalefficiency–TRSPayerFlexibilityAccesstootherwiseinaccessibleassetclassesLoans82總收益互換(收益)TotalReturnSwap83總收益互換(風險)

TotalReturnSwapRisksInvestmentReturnRiskInterestRateRisk-LIBORLiquidityRiskCounterpartyRiskBankruptcyRisk–ReferenceAsset(s)83總收益互換(風險)TotalReturnSwap84總收益互換(合約文件)

TotalReturnSwapDocumentation84總收益互換(合約文件)TotalReturnSw85CreditLinkedNoteCLN信用聯(lián)結(jié)票據(jù)85CreditLinkedNote86信用聯(lián)結(jié)票據(jù)

CreditLinkedNote(CLN)CreditLinkedNoteBuyaBondfromaInvestmentBankSellCDSonanotherReferenceEntity86信用聯(lián)結(jié)票據(jù)CreditLinkedNote(C87信用聯(lián)結(jié)票據(jù)

CreditLinkedNote(CLN)87信用聯(lián)結(jié)票據(jù)CreditLinkedNote(C88信用聯(lián)結(jié)票據(jù)

CreditLinkedNoteExamples88信用聯(lián)結(jié)票據(jù)CreditLinkedNoteEx89信用聯(lián)結(jié)票據(jù)

CreditLinkedNoteCreditRisksCounterpartyRiskReferenceEntityRisk89信用聯(lián)結(jié)票據(jù)CreditLinkedNoteCr90USA

RealEstateBubble美國房市泡沫90USARealEstateBubble91

20022012美國房市泡沫USARealEstateBubblePeakedin20069120022012美國房市泡沫USARealEst92忍者貸款NinjaLoansNoIncome,NoJob,andnoAssets.NINJAloansareoftendefaultedon,withtheborrowerdisappearinglikeaninja.92忍者貸款NinjaLoansNoIncome,N93美國房市泡沫USARealEstateBubblePeakedin2006OneBedRoomApartmentinNewYorkCityRent$3000Buymonthlymortgage,maintenanceandtaxes>$6000WhyBuy,notRent?93美國房市泡沫USARealEstateBubbl94EverybodythinksthepricesareHighMostpeoplethinkthepriceswillstayhigh美國房市泡沫USARealEstateBubblePeakedin200694Everybodythinkstheprices95CollateralizedDebtObligationCDO抵押債務(wù)債券擔保債務(wù)憑證95CollateralizedDebtObligati96抵押債務(wù)債券

擔保債務(wù)憑證

Collateralizeddebtobligation(CDO)Collateralizeddebtobligations(CDOs)areatypeofstructuredasset-backedsecurity(ABS)withmultiple"tranches"thatareissuedbyspecialpurposeentities(SPV)andcollateralizedbydebtobligationsincludingbondsandloans.Eachtrancheoffersavaryingdegreeofriskandreturnsoastomeetinvestordemand.CDOs'valueandpaymentsarederivedfromaportfoliooffixed-incomeunderlyingassets.CDOsecuritiesaresplitintodifferentriskclasses,ortranches,wherebyseniortranchesareconsideredthesafestsecurities.Interestandprincipalpaymentsaremadeinorderofseniority,sothatjuniortranchesofferhighercouponpayments(andinterestrates)orlowerpricestocompensateforadditionaldefaultrisk.96抵押債務(wù)債券擔保債務(wù)憑證

Collateralize97抵押債務(wù)債券

擔保債務(wù)憑證

–金流

CDOCashFlowDiagram-Simplied97抵押債務(wù)債券擔保債務(wù)憑證–金流

CDOCash98不動產(chǎn)抵押債券

ResidentialMortgageBackedSecurity(RMBS)98不動產(chǎn)抵押債券

ResidentialMortgage99ResidentialMortgageBackedSecurity(RMBS)Subprimemortgagecrisis:2007/7-99ResidentialMortgageBacked100CDO–IMFDiagramSource:DTCC,ISDA100CDO–IMFDiagramSource:DT101CDO^2101CDO^2102102103抵押債務(wù)債券

擔保債務(wù)憑證-不同抵押品

TypesofCDOs–DifferentCollateralsCollateralizedloanobligations(CLOs)—leveragedbankloans.Collateralizedsyntheticobligations(CSOs)—creditderivatives.StructuredfinanceCDOs(SFCDOs)—structuredproducts(suchasasset-backedsecuritiesandmortgage-backedsecurities)CommercialRealEstateCDOs(CRECDOs)—commercialrealestateassets103抵押債務(wù)債券擔保債務(wù)憑證-不同抵押品

Types104Collateralizedbondobligations(CBOs)—corporatebondsCollateralizedInsuranceObligations(CIOs)—insuranceor,moreusually,reinsurancecontractsCDO-Squared—tranchesissuedbyotherCDOs.CDO^n,GenerictermforCDO^3(CDOcubed)andhigher—CDOs/CDO^2/CDO^3.抵押債務(wù)債券

擔保債務(wù)憑證-不同抵押品

TypesofCDOs–DifferentCollaterals104Collateralizedbondobliga105抵押債務(wù)債券

擔保債務(wù)憑證-生命周期

CDOLifeCycleRamp-upphase,whenthemanagerusestheproceedsfromissuingtheCDOtopurchasetheinitialportfolio.TheCDO'sgoverningdocumentsgenerallyspecifyparametersfortheinitialportfoliobutnottheexactcomposition.Reinvestmentphase,duringwhichthemanageractivelymanagestheportfolioandreinvestscashflowfromtheportfolio.Amortizationphase,duringwhichthemanagermustapplythecashflowtowardrepayingtheCDO'sdebtsecurities.105抵押債務(wù)債券擔保債務(wù)憑證-生命周期

CDOLif106抵押債務(wù)債券

擔保債務(wù)憑證-檢測

CDOPerformanceTestsAssetQualityTestsminimumweightedaveragerating(WAR)testIndustryandobligorlimitsminimumweightedaveragecoupon(WAC)testcumulativematuritydistributiontestCashFlowCoverageTestsOvercollateralization,OC,test,theratiooftheportfoliobalancetothebalanceoftheCDO'sdebtsecuritiesInterestcoverage,IC,test,theratioofinterestcashflowontheportfoliototheinterestthattheCDOmustpayonitsownsecurities.106抵押債務(wù)債券擔保債務(wù)憑證-檢測

CDOPerfo107抵押債務(wù)債券

擔保債務(wù)憑證-結(jié)構(gòu)

CDOBuildingBlocks107抵押債務(wù)債券擔保債務(wù)憑證-結(jié)構(gòu)

CDOBuil108抵押品經(jīng)理人CollateralManagerPortfolioorAssetmanagerCollateralmanager’sprimaryfunctionsSellinvestmentsinthecollateralpoolthatmaylosevalue,defaultorbecomeimpairedBuyinvestmentswithattractiveyieldsandafavorableinvestmentoutlook.108抵押品經(jīng)理人CollateralManagerP109抵押品管理ManagedCDO-Example投資組合之交易更換原則Limit同一公司持有上限(BBB-以上)[2.0]%同一公司持有上限(BB+以下)[1.0]%同一產(chǎn)業(yè)持有上限(非銀行或金融業(yè))[20.0]%同一國家持有上限(非歐美國家)[20.0]%替換

(每年)[不限]

其他原則LimitFitchDynamicPortfolioGuidelines適用109抵押品管理ManagedCDO-Example110投行的3個角色

InvestmentBank(Arranger,UnderwriterandPlacementAgent)theArrangerwillorganizemeetingsbetweeninvestorsandacollateralmanagerinordertodiscussapotentialtransactiontheinvestmentbankmayadvisethecollateralmanagerconcerningratingagencyrequirementsorapprisethemofthespecificnuancesofcertaininvestors.AsUnderwriterandPlacementagent,theinvestmentbankisresponsiblefortheorderlyexecutionanddeliveryofthepromisedbonds.110投行的3個角色

InvestmentBank(Ar111信托公司的3個角色

Trustee(Trustee,Custodian,PayingAgent)theTrusteeforaCDOtransactioniscustodianofthecollateralandprotectsinvestors’securityinterestsbyensuringthattransactioncovenantsarehonored.EvaluationofthetraderecommendationsofthecollateralmanagerinordertoensurecompliancewithdealcovenantsReleaseorreceiptofcashorsecurities(fromtradingactivities,forexample),DistributionofcashtoinvestorsCreationanddistributionofdealsurveillancereports.111信托公司的3個角色

Trustee(Trustee,112信用評等公司RatingAgenciesAssigncreditratingstodifferentpartsoftheCDOcapitalstructurebasedontheirperceivedlevelsofrisk.Moody’sInvestorsServiceStandard&Poor’sFitchRatingsLtd112信用評等公司RatingAgenciesAssi113投資者InvestorsCDOinvestorsaretypicallysophisticatedinstitutionalinvestorsInsurancecompaniesMoneymanagersBanksPensionfundsHedgefundsAsset-backedcommercialpaperconduits.113投資者InvestorsCDOinvestors114避險對手方HedgeCounterpartyThehedgecounterpartyisgenerallyahighlyratedinvestmentorcommercialbankthatentersintoaninterestrateswap,currencyswap,liquidityswaporanothertypeofbasisswapforthepurposeofremovingnon-credit-relatedriskfromtheCDOtransaction.114避險對手方HedgeCounterpartyTh115信用保證人CreditEnhancerThecreditenhancerisgenerallyamonolinebondinsurerthatispaidanupfrontand/orongoingfeetoinsureaclassofCDOsecuritiesagainstlosses.AmericanInternationalGroup,AIG115信用保證人CreditEnhancerThec116美國政府為什么救AIG116美國政府為什么救AIG117特別目的公司SpecialPurposeVehicle(Issuer)TheissuerofCDOtransactionsisabankruptcy-remotespecial-purposevehicle(SPV)locatedinatax-friendlyjurisdiction.TheSPVpurchasessecuritieswhichwillcomprisethecollateralpoolissuesCDOsecurities.BecausetheoperationoftheSPVispreciselydefinedintheindenture,thereisnoneedforemployeesandthereforeithasnone.117特別目的公司SpecialPurposeVehi118CDOTypes抵押債務(wù)債券擔保債務(wù)憑證品種118CDOTypes119固定vs.浮動

Staticvs.ManagedCDOsStaticCDO:CollateralsstaythesameManagedCDO:Collateralschange119固定vs.浮動

Staticvs.Managed120金流vs.市值

CashFlowvs.MarketValueCDOsCashFlowCDOusecashflowfromthecollateraltopaytheCDOinvestorsMarketValueCDOcansellcollateraltopaytheCDOinvestors120金流vs.市值

CashFlowvs.Mar121資產(chǎn)負債表vs.套利

BalanceSheetvs.ArbitrageCDOsBalanceSheetCDOtakescollateraloffabank’sbalancesheetArbitrageCDOcreateshigherratingtranchesoutoflowerratingcollateral121資產(chǎn)負債表vs.套利

BalanceSheetvs122CDO–IMFDiagramSource:DTCC,ISDAArbitrageCDOBalanceSheetCDO122CDO–IMFDiagramSource:DT123Cashvs.SyntheticCDOs合成式抵押債務(wù)債券

擔保債務(wù)憑證CashCDOusesbondsorloansascollateralSyntheticCDOusesCDSascollateral123Cashvs.SyntheticCDOs合成式124合成式抵押債務(wù)債券

擔保債務(wù)憑證SyntheticCDOAsyntheticCDOisaportfolioofcreditdefaultswaps(CDS).TheCDSsellerprovidesprotection(insurance)intheeventofadefaultorspecified"creditevent"relatedtothereferencesecurity.TheCDSbuyerpaysapremiuminexchangeforthisprotection.124合成式抵押債務(wù)債券擔保債務(wù)憑證Synthetic125合成式抵押債務(wù)