Informationanalysisanddecisionmaking（信息分析與決策）

1、information analysis and decision making (信息分析與決策)1, sequential decision making (11)answer: sequential decision dynamic decision, it should make a series of interrelated decisions, which has two characteristics: one is that the decision is not one but a string of two; is this a series of decisions a

2、re not independent of each other, but before a decision directly affect a decision.2. bath lawanswer: decision in the implementation process due to changes in the rate of failure of a law, called bath law.3. trace methodanswer: one of the ways to find documents. follow the reference documents enclos

3、ed in a certain document, and trace the text one by one then, according to the reference materials after these texts, gradually expand the clues, continue to track down, and obtain the relevant literature the literature can be indexed by various citation indexes, and can be used as references after

4、the review and concluding articles generally, when there are no suitable retrieval tools or incomplete retrieval tools, a series of related documents can be obtained by using the retrospective method4, the applicability of intelligence (182)answer: the applicability of the so-called intelligence, th

5、at intelligenee for intelligence can use the degree of acceptance.5. creative thinking (187)answer: creative thinking, also called creative imagination, is a semi scientific and semi imaginative thinking activity it is a research method based on local facts, through rough, fuzzy reasoning, coupled w

6、ith bold, super logical imagination.6. angle of change (214)answer: change angle, also be called '"different thinking", this is to highlight divergent thinking process, encourage a kind of research method that considers a problem from different angle, different side7. what are the subs

7、ystems of a scientific decision making system? (299)answer:1, information system;2, think tank system;3, decision system;4 、 executive system and feedback system;5, evaluation system8. what are the basic requirements for an effective decision team? what criteria can be used to measure a decision tea

8、m，s ability to work effectively?9., how many kinds of ways are there for the training of information analysts? how many ways do you know the most effective? (254)answer: 1. formal education in institutions of higher learning;2. intelligence departments recruit postgraduates; 3, further education; 4,

9、 short-term training; 5, correspondence; 6 television and radio;10. what problems should we pay attention to when writing a research report? (233)answer: 1, draw up the writing plan and outline; 2, pay attention to the user object; 3, pay attention to the style of writing, style; 4, advocate to stud

10、y again11. describe several commonly used methods and characteristics of information analysis12., please list several commonly used research materials collection methods? and answer it in one way or another(154)answer: commonly used research material collection method has:1, system retrieval2, often

11、 browse books and new3, visit and investigate4, investigation and research5, attend the meeting6, issue questionnairesvisit1, the introduction of the acceptance unit2, site visits3 talk and ask4. the materials and samples issued by the visiting units13. informal publications are an important source

12、of decision information. what types of information do they include?14, what are the characteristics of information analysis? (115)answer: 1) the pertinence of the research topic2) the comprehensiveness of the research content;3) predictability of research;4) the particularity of research methods15.

13、what are the eight stages of a decision process and what are the three steps that can be simplified? (36)a: the eight stages of the decision-making process are 1 and found the problem; 2, determine the goal; 3, value criteria; 4, the proposed program; 5, analysis and evaluation; 6, the program selec

14、ted; 7, experimental demonstration; 8, universal implementationthe simplified steps are as follows: (1) determine the problem and propose the goal of decision making; (2) discover, explore and formulate possible action plans choose the mostsuitable scheme from various possible alternatives16. what i

15、s the difference and connection between prediction and decision making? (4)answer: prediction is the inference and prediction of what will happen in the future from the point of view of decision theory,prediction is the prediction of a non controlled variable, which describes the possible changes in

16、 a given condition or environment it provides information about what will happen in the futurefirst of all, forecasting is an important basis for making scientific decisions the function of prediction is to reduce and prevent people from making wrong decisions second, decision making has an adverse

17、effect on prediction. when people make decisions, they must consider how these decisions change predictions to sum up, forecasting is both a basis fordecision making and a tool for improving decision making it can help people make decisions or correct decisions, but it is not an end in itself17., if

18、 you are cio of a manufacturing company (information executive), the company decides to develop a new product as an information director, how do you carry out effective information assurance in the product development process?18., the identification of research material mainly has several aspects, p

19、lease expand the discussion separately (176)answer: the identification of research material mainly has the following aspects: 1. the judgment of the reliability of intelligence; 2. the judgment of the advanced nature of intelligence; 3. the applicability of information1, the reliability of intellige

20、nce judgments1)judgingfrom theauthor's identity2)judgingfrom thepublishing units of the literature3)judgingfrom thetype of literature4)judgingfrom thecontent of the article5)judgingfrom theoutside world2, the judgment of the advanced nature of intelligence1) judging from the external characteris

21、tics of the literature2) judging from the content of documents3) judging from the basis of the development of science and technology4) judge from other angles3, the applicability of intelligence judgments1) judging from the sources of intelligence2) judged by the intelligence receiver3) judging from

22、 the effect of social practice and expert opinions4) judge from the need of strategy19. analysis and synthesis are commonly used methods of information analysis please discuss the concepts, basic steps and relationships between them(209)answer:analysis: a method of thinking that divides the whole into parts, and decomposes complex things into simple elementsthe basic steps of: (1) the decomposition of things with diversity; (2) investigate the special structure and the nature of the parts; (3) the diversity of various aspects of the status, fu