劍橋商務(wù)英語教程-Unit18-Future-trends

Unit18FuturetrendsAIMS1.Expresspredictionoffuturetrends2.Expressdegreesofcertainty3.Futuretimewillfutureforforecastsandpredictions4.Degreesofcertainty18.1MakingpredictionsPrediction

[pr?‘d?k??n]n.預(yù)報；預(yù)言Ifyoumakea

prediction

aboutsomething,yousaywhatyouthinkwillhappen.Eg：Hewasunwillingtomakeapredictionforthecomingyear.他不愿對來年作出預(yù)言。Weatherpredictionhasneverbeenaperfectscience.天氣預(yù)報從來都不是一門準(zhǔn)確無誤的科學(xué)。Earthquakeprediction

地震預(yù)測;地震預(yù)報;Predictionmarket

預(yù)測市場;A.PresentationOurpredictionfornextyeararethatunemploymentwillfallandwageswillincrease.Ifyouwanttobuyahouse,doitnowashousingcostswillrisenextyear.Thegoodnewsisthatpetrolpriceswilldecrease[d?'kris]vt.減少，減小

nextyear,butfoodpriceswillgoup.AnswersHousingcostsFoodpricesUnemploymentWagesPetrolpricesAnswers1T2F3T4F5FB.LanguagefocusWill(forecastsandpredictions)PetrolpricesUnemploymentWagesFoodpricesHousingcostswillwon’tincreaserisegoup/downdecreasefallslightlyslowlyrapidly[‘r?p?dl?]迅速的dramatically

[dr?‘m?t?kli]顯著地Answers:1willrise2willincrease3didn’trise4willgoup5willgodown6willfallC.ListeningNewwords:Economicsn.經(jīng)濟學(xué)Economicsexpert經(jīng)濟專家Indicator['?nd?ke?t?]n.指示器；[試劑]指示劑；Inflation[?n'fle??(?)n]n.膨脹；通貨膨脹Currency['k?r(?)ns?]n.貨幣；通貨Export[?eksp??t]n.輸出,出口Importn.進口，進口貨Interviewer:TodaywehaveBobGreen,aneconomicsexpert,inthestudiowithus.Bob,couldyoutellussomethingabouttheeconomicforecastsfornextyear?Forexample,whatwillhappentoinflation?Green:Well,Ipredictthatinflationwillriseslightly,byabout4%.Wageshavegoneupthisyear,andthisusuallymeanspricesrise,too.I:OK,andwhataboutinterestrates?G:Asyouknow,wheninflationgoesup,interestratesusuallygoup,too,totrytocontrolit.So,yes,I’mafraidthatifyouwanttobuyahouseoracar,it’llcostyoumorenextyear.I:That’stoobad-nonewcarformenextyear!Nowwhataboutproduction?G:Well,thisisallpartofthecycle:wagesgoup,inflationgoesup,interestratesgoup,soproductionusuallyfalls.And,ofcourse,withrisinginflation,wewon’tbuyasmuchourselves,either!Wepredictthatproductionwillfallnextyearbyabout5%becauseourcurrencywillbestronger.Thismeansthatfewerpeopleabroadwillbuyourgoodsbecausetheyaretooexpensive.Exportswillfall,sowewillnotneedtoproduceasmuch.I:Fallingproduction,fallingexports-thatallsoundsratherbad!Whataboutimportsthen?G:Well,wepredictthatthesewillriseby7%.Peoplemightnothavesomuchmoneytospend,butwhattheydobuywillprobablybeelectronicgoods,andwewillimportmoreofthesetomeetdemand.I:Finally,whataboutinvestment?G:Wethinkthatinvestmentwillincreasenextyear.Companieshavetoputmoremoneyintocomputersystemsandintomakingtheirfactoriesmoremodern.I:MrGreen,thankyouverymuchforyourtime.G:Thankyou.AnswersEconomicindicator↑/↓ReasonInflation↑WageshavegoneupInterestrates↑TocontrolinflationProduction↓Inflationup-wecan’t

affordtobuythingsExports↓Strongcurrency-peopleabroadcan’taffordtobuyourproductsImports↑Peoplewillbuymore

electronicgoodsInvestment↑Companieswillbuycomputersystemsandmodernizefactories18.2TalkingaboutthefutureA.VocabularyIllustration[?l?‘stre??(?)n]n.說明；插圖；例證；圖解Smartcard智能卡Serviceindustry服務(wù)業(yè)Electronicimmigrant電子移民Answers1serviceindustries2electronicimmigrants3cash4smartcards5informationB.ReadingNewwords:Raten.比率；速度Transaction[tr?n'z?k?(?)n]n.交易；事務(wù)microprocessor[ma?kr?(?)‘pr??ses?]n.[計]微處理器Memory[計]存儲器

Identification[a?,dent?f?'ke??(?)n]n.身份證明commodity[k?'m?d?t?]n.商品，貨物；日用品

coaln.煤；煤塊

leisureindustry娛樂產(chǎn)業(yè)；休閑服務(wù)業(yè)

telecommutevt.（利用電腦終端機）遠距離辦公

Answers1cash2smartcards3information4serviceindustries5electronicimmigrantsC.LanguagefocusandlisteningExpressingcertaintyaboutfutureevents100%I’mcertainitwillhappen.↓Iexpectitwillhappen.50%It’spossibleitwillhappen.↓Idon’tthinkitwillhappen.0%I’m

sureitwon’thappen.Answers1I’msurecashwill…2Iexpectsmartcardswill…3I’mcertaininformationwill…4Idon’tthinkmanypeoplewill…5Iexpectwewill…1W:Doyouthinkcashwillbecomeunnecessaryinthenextcentury?M:Oh,I’msureitwill.Peoplewillusecreditcardsorotherformsofplasticmoney,sonoonewillneedcashaswell.2W:Iexpectsmartcardswillreplaceallthecardswehaveatpresent.M:Really?Whydoyouthinkthat?W:Well,allyouwillneedisonecard-it’llhavealltheinformationstoresneed.3M:I’mcertaininformationwillbethemostimportantcommodityofthefuture.Ifyoudon’tbelieveme,justlookhowpopulartheInternethasbecomeinthepastfewyears!4W:Theypredictthat95%ofpeoplewillworkinserviceindustries.Idon’tthinksomanypeoplewillworkintheseindustries.M:Whynot?W:Thenumber’stoohigh.Someonehasstillgottobuildthings-roads,cars,aircraft,buildings,computers-youcan’tbuildthembycomputer!5M:Iexpectmanypeoplewillbeelectronicimmigrantsinafewyears’time.I’dcertainlyliketoworkfromhomewithacomputer.W:Really?Whydoyouthinkthat?M:Well,it’llbecheaperforthebigcompaniestopayworkerstostayathome.W:Butwhat’llhappenifthere’sapowercut?M:You’llhaveadayoff!

18.3ChangingthewayweworkA.DiscussionDoyouhaveanyofthesethingsathome?Doyouusethemforworkorforpleasure?COMPAQ(康柏）notebookNEC（日本電器有限公司）desktopfax

machineHaveyougota…?Whatdoyouuseitfor?Iuseitfor–ing.Ineeditto….B.ReadingNewwords:Telecommute[,telik?‘mju?t]vt.（利用電腦終端機）遠距離辦公Telecommutingn.遠程辦公；遠程交換Telecommuter[,telik?‘mju:t?]遠程工作者Expanding擴大、擴展Answers111million2aworkersaremoreproductive;itallowscompaniestoattractandkeepworkersbflexibilityofwheretheywork;abletobewithfamilyclesspollutionC.Listening1I’macomputerconsultant顧問.IusedtoworkforIBM,butnowIhavemyownbusiness.I’mbasedinConnecticut[k?‘netik?t]美國康乃迪克州,butItelecommutewithclientsallovertheStatesandinLondonandParis,too.Ispendabout100nightsayearontheroad,butImanagetokeepintouch.Hotelscanbeabitofaproblem.Someofthemdon’tunderstandthekindofthingsIneed,youknow,adeskwithgoodlighting照明設(shè)備,aphonejack聽筒插口,andsomewheretoplug插入theequipmentin.Butit’smuchbetterthanwhenIfirststarted.Infact,mostofthemarereallycomputer-friendly精通電腦的，善于使用電腦的now.2IworkforaninvestmentcompanyinNewYorkCity.WhenIhadthebabylastyearIworkedfull-timefromhomeforfivemonths.Ithenworkedasapart-timetelecommuterforanothersixmonths.Itwasgreat.Icouldworkbetterathome,becausetherewerenodistractions干擾.Noonecominginandwantingtochat.WhatIlikedbestwasthatIcouldworkforseveralhoursatatime.ThenIcouldtakeabreakandbewithmychild.I’venowgonebacktoworkfull-time,butIstillliketousemyhomeofficeforovertimework.Idosomework-ups診斷檢查atnightandIuseitfo