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1、Copyright 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall1ObjectiveReal OptionsDeferral OptionBlack-Scholes Formula Real OptionsCopyright 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall2Copyright 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall3Copyright 2009 Pearson Educat

2、ion, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall4Copyright 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall5Copyright 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall6Copyright 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall7Copyright 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice

3、 Hall8Copyright 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall9Buy the movie rights to book?(Cost $1 Million)(Probability = 0.5)Make the Movie?(NPV -$4 Million)(Probability = 0.5)Make the movie?(NPV $4 Million)Book aSuccess?Copyright 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall

4、10Copyright 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall11Copyright 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall12Copyright 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall13Copyright 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall14Copyright 2009 Pearson Edu

5、cation, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall15Copyright 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall16Copyright 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall17Copyright 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall18Copyright 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as P

6、rentice Hall19Copyright 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall20Copyright 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall21Copyright 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall22Copyright 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall23Copyright 2009

7、 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall24Copyright 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall25Copyright 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall26Copyright 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall27Copyright 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Pub

8、lishing as Prentice Hall28Copyright 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall29million 98. 7$21*20. 0*000,000,100$2TSCCopyright 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall30Copyright 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall31Copyright 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall32Copyrigh

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